Messy-Valance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,178

lifetime

Volume

$7.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-25 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 64% $-7

Other

8% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775646000	3	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-08 11:11
btc updown 15m 1775645100	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 11:00
xrp updown 15m 1775645100	3	$55	31	30	+0	open	—	04-08 10:59
btc updown 15m 1775634300	8	$53	33	32	+1	open	—	04-08 08:00
bnb updown 15m 1775646000	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-08 11:14
eth updown 15m 1775633400	8	$44	24	23	+0	open	—	04-08 07:45
btc updown 5m 1774259400	6	$43	37	37	+0	open	—	03-23 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773517500	9	$40	42	25	+17	open	—	03-14 19:49
btc updown 5m 1773542100	8	$40	22	21	+1	open	—	03-15 02:39
xrp up or down march 23 2026 1am et	4	$36	41	41	+1	open	—	03-23 05:24
btc updown 5m 1773506700	5	$35	27	20	+7	open	—	03-14 16:48
btc updown 5m 1773500400	9	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	03-14 15:04
eth updown 5m 1774269300	5	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	03-23 12:39
btc updown 5m 1773520800	7	$32	30	24	+6	open	—	03-14 20:43
eth updown 15m 1775281500	6	$31	26	25	+1	open	—	04-04 05:52
bnb updown 5m 1775622300	2	$31	20	19	+1	open	—	04-08 04:30
xrp updown 15m 1775324700	6	$31	27	26	+1	open	—	04-04 17:56
xrp updown 5m 1775285400	6	$30	25	24	+1	open	—	04-04 06:53
eth updown 5m 1773543600	6	$30	17	16	+1	open	—	03-15 03:05
eth updown 5m 1775669100	2	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	04-08 17:27
btc updown 5m 1773546000	6	$30	17	16	+1	open	—	03-15 03:45
xrp updown 5m 1774248300	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-23 06:50
sol updown 15m 1775376900	6	$29	23	23	+1	open	—	04-05 08:22
xrp updown 5m 1773589800	6	$29	34	34	+0	open	—	03-15 15:55
eth updown 5m 1773592200	7	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	03-15 16:32
btc updown 5m 1773534900	9	$29	31	30	+0	open	—	03-15 00:39
eth updown 5m 1774206900	3	$28	30	30	+0	open	—	03-22 19:18
sol updown 5m 1773589800	4	$28	22	13	+8	open	—	03-15 15:55
xrp updown 5m 1773597000	5	$28	60	15	+46	open	—	03-15 17:52
btc updown 5m 1774246500	5	$27	28	28	+0	open	—	03-23 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 02:38:47	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x0dbdfd…
05-25 02:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xda0fac…
05-25 02:21:33	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb3d295…
05-23 05:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf00a31…
05-23 05:10:04	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa1c87d…
05-23 05:08:36	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfbcf7c…
05-22 05:13:35	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x564536…
05-21 16:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5734b6…
05-21 15:11:25	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x717ff4…
05-21 15:03:31	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x00a1d6…
05-16 04:51:05	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x48a26b…
05-16 04:28:13	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7aa40e…
05-16 04:28:04	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8f2f25…
05-09 06:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1358a4…
05-09 03:10:38	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x559b57…
05-09 03:10:08	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0f1055…
05-09 02:12:46	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2d8705…
05-08 12:06:30	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0be663…
05-08 12:06:27	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0fcd09…
05-08 07:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe77cba…
05-08 07:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xcc2ac9…
05-08 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x75ec1e…
05-08 06:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x7a24db…
05-08 06:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x09f6d9…
05-08 05:20:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x96fa2d…
05-08 05:19:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x70d125…
05-08 03:46:11	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xef1a5e…
05-08 03:45:16	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x70b8f6…
05-08 03:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x89dd8c…
05-08 03:28:46	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe77c04…
05-08 02:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x26548b…
05-08 02:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xe0c30c…
05-08 02:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7be247…
05-08 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x180f93…
05-08 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xb6c31c…
05-08 01:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5fb25a…
05-06 05:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x749b6e…
05-06 03:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1eaf86…
05-06 03:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f30f2…
05-04 16:53:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xc89fc8…
05-04 16:52:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8259b6…
05-04 16:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x78d6a5…
05-04 16:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x050002…
05-04 16:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x849545…
05-04 16:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xaa8b62…
05-04 16:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2788e2…
05-04 16:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe78844…
05-04 16:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3494c5…
05-04 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xe9454e…
05-04 16:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c79a9…
05-04 16:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x152f7b…
05-04 16:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x8a2892…
05-04 16:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x099ee1…
05-04 16:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa04f52…
05-04 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc72fa2…
05-04 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x9049a9…
05-04 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x855988…
05-04 16:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x7b8b60…
05-04 16:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb77f83…
05-04 15:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x686fdd…
05-04 15:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0ed505…
05-04 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x313f03…
05-04 15:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1141cb…
05-04 15:20:36	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x370b64…
05-04 15:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x34df19…
05-04 15:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe5a404…
05-04 14:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd72577…
05-04 07:43:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x84477b…
05-04 07:42:46	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xc3cac1…
05-04 07:41:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc37dd5…
05-04 07:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x7504a9…
05-04 07:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb222e0…
05-04 07:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x2dd536…
05-04 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6c0b41…
05-04 06:54:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x3af3bb…
05-04 06:52:30	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5e67b1…
05-04 06:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xa9b709…
05-04 06:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6678e4…
05-04 06:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x59169d…
05-04 06:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x41fbfe…
05-03 18:20:46	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x8465ac…
05-03 18:19:46	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe73aa0…
05-03 18:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x560459…
05-03 18:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x162535…
04-29 03:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x32fb83…
04-26 04:53:30	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x785aab…
04-26 04:53:04	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x387ed8…
04-26 04:49:40	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9d8e09…
04-26 04:49:34	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa483e6…
04-26 04:49:34	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9c0986…
04-26 04:48:34	BNB Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x8f6b10…
04-26 04:47:26	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x21cbc1…
04-26 04:47:20	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x6809e7…
04-26 04:46:24	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xed563c…
04-26 04:46:20	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x61b0fa…
04-26 04:46:12	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x302d5d…
04-26 04:46:06	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x50c932…
04-26 04:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9fdfcb…
04-26 04:37:58	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe67275…
04-26 04:37:48	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xde43ba…