Yellow-Kneejerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

1,672

Trades

6,299

lifetime

Volume

$46.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-09 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 36% -$1,540

Other

2% 12% -$196

Politics

1% 38% -$90

Sports

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:30 UTC	9	$438	335	335	+0	Down	+$38	07-25 13:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:25 UTC	8	$334	409	409	+0	Up	+$14	07-25 13:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	12	$296	202	202	+0	Down	+$16	07-02 13:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:10 UTC	8	$285	308	308	+0	Down	+$5	07-25 13:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:55 UTC	7	$277	270	270	+0	Down	-$43	07-25 13:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	12	$241	206	206	+0	Up	+$1	07-02 13:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:00 UTC	11	$240	168	124	+44	Down	-$40	07-02 14:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:35 UTC	4	$236	221	221	+0	Up	+$196	07-24 20:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 10:00 UTC	4	$236	217	217	+0	Up	+$136	06-27 10:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:50 UTC	12	$231	178	178	+0	Down	-$9	07-02 13:55
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	6	$222	115	115	+0	Yes	$0	09-10 02:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:55 UTC	8	$216	134	134	+0	Up	+$16	07-02 14:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:05 UTC	10	$210	160	160	+0	Up	+$10	07-02 14:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 11:50 UTC	10	$206	666	666	+0	Up	+$26	07-25 11:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:55 UTC	6	$199	259	208	+51	Up	-$1	07-25 12:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 20:15 UTC	8	$198	234	234	+0	Down	+$118	07-10 20:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:25 UTC	5	$192	1,241	65	+1,176	Up	-$108	06-26 17:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	8	$192	131	131	+0	Up	-$8	07-02 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:15 UTC	11	$190	554	554	+0	Up	-$20	07-08 15:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:20 UTC	10	$179	306	206	+100	Down	+$14	07-08 15:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:20 UTC	9	$179	412	312	+100	Down	+$54	07-09 11:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC	3	$176	280	280	+0	Down	+$96	07-12 15:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 10:10 UTC	6	$169	240	240	+0	Up	+$49	07-08 10:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:05 UTC	8	$166	281	218	+63	Down	+$7	07-08 15:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:10 UTC	7	$164	479	218	+262	Down	+$78	07-20 21:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:20 UTC	8	$164	94	94	+0	Down	+$4	07-02 14:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:15 UTC	5	$161	163	163	+0	Down	+$1	07-25 13:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:35 UTC	12	$157	205	205	+0	Up	+$51	06-06 20:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 20:20 UTC	8	$157	303	303	+0	Down	+$57	07-10 20:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:25 UTC	4	$154	247	247	+0	Down	+$54	06-27 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 18:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5a2850…
10-09 18:55:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5ad499…
10-09 18:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x141c23…
10-09 18:52:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x648634…
10-09 18:47:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0x8edbc0…
10-09 18:47:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x013780…
10-09 15:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x82807a…
10-09 15:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x4dd4ee…
10-09 15:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb3e7de…
10-09 15:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd255d3…
10-09 15:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x69a241…
10-09 15:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe50df9…
10-09 15:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x008c22…
10-09 15:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd4320e…
10-09 15:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x6bcc5e…
10-09 15:38:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xcabcfd…
10-09 15:31:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4ff15e…
10-01 16:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa428a6…
10-01 16:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x13a81a…
10-01 16:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xeaf918…
10-01 16:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x29056e…
10-01 16:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x72e8d8…
10-01 16:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x811e5b…
10-01 16:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa84872…
10-01 16:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x3bc957…
10-01 16:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe76724…
10-01 16:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x511142…
10-01 16:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4ea890…
10-01 16:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x039be9…
10-01 16:22:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x113a59…
10-01 16:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0x059189…
10-01 16:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf60fee…
10-01 16:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xcb6440…
10-01 16:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5d5990…
10-01 16:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0x86710b…
10-01 16:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe7a5e9…
09-12 05:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6473c0…
09-12 05:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x389406…
09-12 05:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7dab4b…
09-12 05:27:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x2aaa91…
09-12 05:26:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2dbed9…
09-12 05:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x865dfe…
09-12 05:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0358f4…
09-12 05:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xe74816…
09-12 05:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf64782…
09-12 05:16:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1b6b83…
09-12 05:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x180829…
09-11 07:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x423a04…
09-11 05:33:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x19fac1…
09-11 05:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x5daf46…
09-11 05:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfd6dfa…
09-11 05:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	73	13¢	$9	0xaa1858…
09-11 05:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x45ae1e…
09-11 05:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x12cd3d…
09-11 05:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8f1752…
09-11 05:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0xfb47f6…
09-11 05:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa4914e…
09-11 05:27:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x844327…
09-11 05:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x87c956…
09-11 05:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0xccf249…
09-11 05:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	13¢	$7	0x0d3320…
09-11 05:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x6102d6…
09-11 05:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	98	6¢	$6	0x9c6efe…
09-11 05:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xc4670a…
09-11 05:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x4da53d…
09-11 05:05:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd05779…
09-11 05:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x587219…
09-11 05:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x352e43…
09-11 05:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	62	9¢	$5	0x12b0b9…
09-11 05:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x813dcd…
09-11 05:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0xd4a4bc…
09-11 05:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2c41db…
09-11 04:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x1c2720…
09-11 04:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	30¢	$14	0x12a4f4…
09-11 04:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa78a79…
09-10 19:56:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x11c424…
09-10 19:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xe9f58b…
09-10 19:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf85d48…
09-10 19:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd24373…
09-10 19:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	27	46¢	$12	0x38950e…
09-10 19:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf12da1…
09-10 19:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fcf6f…
09-10 19:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0xb8baf9…
09-10 19:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8d4d51…
09-10 19:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x7e5769…
09-10 19:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa238c8…
09-10 19:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xc2321a…
09-10 19:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x26556c…
09-10 19:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xed7dd4…
09-10 19:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xf51631…
09-10 19:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xfade6a…
09-10 19:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0ccb7b…
09-10 19:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8a12d8…
09-10 19:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbc947a…
09-10 19:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x7ed983…
09-10 19:02:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x611824…
09-10 19:01:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4e8e4c…
09-10 06:03:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x4edb3b…
09-10 05:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	62	44¢	$28	0xa552a7…
09-10 05:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x9e394d…