(anonymous) 0x1c62ec…c1ca89
cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
835
Trades
1,461
lifetime
Volume
$30.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$644
27 positions
First seen
2026-07-01
last 10-29 19:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% -$678
Sports
23% 51% -$833
Politics
15% 55% -$334
Crypto
2% 71% -$34
Tech
0% 60% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +45 $35 92¢ $41 +$6 10-17 00:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +42 $35 96¢ $40 +$5 10-08 14:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +35 $25 98¢ $34 +$9 10-17 01:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +90 $25 38¢ $34 +$9 10-05 23:43
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +51 $30 66¢ $34 +$4 10-17 01:02
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +43 $30 76¢ $33 +$3 10-17 00:54
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +61 $20 50¢ $31 +$11 10-05 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +39 $30 78¢ $30 +$0 10-05 23:45
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +29 $27 99¢ $29 +$2 09-27 01:49
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +32 $22 82¢ $27 +$5 09-26 13:10
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +40 $23 66¢ $27 +$3 10-09 14:49
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +35 $30 74¢ $26 -$4 10-17 00:55
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +25 $20 98¢ $25 +$5 10-17 01:32
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +35 $25 68¢ $24 -$1 10-08 21:18
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +43 $25 55¢ $23 -$2 10-06 15:56
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +42 $25 52¢ $22 -$3 09-29 00:05
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +35 $25 60¢ $21 -$4 10-05 18:14
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +25 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 10-05 23:54
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +25 $20 84¢ $21 +$1 10-17 01:53
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +19 $15 98¢ $18 +$3 10-17 01:28
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +29 $15 63¢ $18 +$3 10-17 01:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +24 $15 74¢ $18 +$3 10-17 01:47
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +20 $12 74¢ $15 +$2 08-13 15:48
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +47 $13 31¢ $15 +$2 10-17 01:02
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +40 $24 28¢ $11 -$13 08-21 15:09
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +41 $12 15¢ $6 -$6 09-24 13:42
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +37 $25 3¢ $1 -$24 10-17 01:54