Wary-Diesel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-11 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 50% $-1

Other

42% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	04-08 12:40
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 8	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	03-07 03:15
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	03-23 10:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 13c	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	03-21 06:56
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 20	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	03-19 11:59
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 9 2026 11c	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	04-08 12:40
highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 80forhigher	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	04-15 12:50
ethereum above 2200 on april 22	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-22 11:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 12	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-11 12:38
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	2	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	04-17 13:57
will bitcoin reach 78k june 8 14 2026	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	06-11 10:52
bitcoin above 86k on january 15	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	01-14 11:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-27 13:12
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 90 114	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	01-09 10:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 7	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	01-07 13:50
bitcoin above 92k on january 18	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	01-18 12:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	1	$94	94	0	+94	open	—	05-22 11:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$86	86	0	+86	Yes	+$0	05-06 10:30
israel strikes iran by january 25 2026	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	01-26 12:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 31	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-31 12:15
will countdown app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	02-10 12:46
will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	1	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	02-03 10:54
will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	03-15 07:29
will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	02-13 13:45
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	02-10 12:53
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-15 07:25
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-31 12:10
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on january 27	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	01-26 12:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	02-03 10:33
lol ig1 jdg 2026 02 03	1	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	02-03 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 10:52:52	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfdd461…
06-11 10:52:22	will bitcoin reach 78k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf62e8f…
05-22 11:06:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x316b4b…
05-22 11:04:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x93a4ea…
05-06 10:31:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	345	0¢	$1	0x67c880…
05-06 10:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x00a980…
05-04 06:55:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66ba8c…
04-27 13:12:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9224ca…
04-22 11:33:42	ethereum above 2200 on april 22	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc4cea1…
04-17 13:57:30	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8007e3…
04-17 13:43:38	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	Yes	BUY	912	0¢	$2	0x2c03e3…
04-17 13:42:46	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x0782a5…
04-15 12:50:56	highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 80forhigher	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x84d9b9…
04-08 12:40:35	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 9 2026 11c	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8cab58…
04-08 12:40:15	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xff588f…
04-05 07:26:05	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4dc0ab…
03-31 12:15:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 31	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x92b3a8…
03-31 12:10:49	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 165 189	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2e5778…
03-31 12:10:13	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x670df0…
03-23 10:32:35	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x60e688…
03-21 06:56:07	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 13c	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x5b9d0d…
03-19 11:59:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 20	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x883eef…
03-15 07:35:53	highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 6c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ed355…
03-15 07:29:43	will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x92d94a…
03-15 07:25:59	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9d976b…
03-11 12:38:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 12	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x311b09…
03-11 12:24:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x8a6f1b…
03-07 03:15:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 8	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x2b4e21…
02-13 13:45:59	will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xabfc3b…
02-10 12:53:03	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7da6cd…
02-10 12:46:41	will countdown app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xfd472f…
02-03 10:54:26	will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x7c75ef…
02-03 10:33:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x8626f3…
02-03 10:26:02	lol ig1 jdg 2026 02 03	JD Gaming	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x147b20…
01-26 12:58:41	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on january 27	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x855cda…
01-26 12:40:11	israel strikes iran by january 25 2026	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x611b0c…
01-18 12:55:54	bitcoin above 92k on january 18	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5c42e2…
01-14 11:29:32	bitcoin above 86k on january 15	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4de940…
01-09 10:19:22	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 90 114	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xccf7eb…
01-07 13:50:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 7	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc5171c…