Tinted-Drapes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,692

lifetime

Volume

$1.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$627

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-15 03:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

79% 50% $-1,236

Other

18% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	234	$188.8K	138,525	109,116	+29,409	open	—	03-10 13:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	161	$100.8K	174,113	88,591	+85,522	open	—	04-07 23:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$89.6K	107,845	0	+107,845	open	—	06-15 03:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	109	$76.4K	92,261	92,261	+0	open	—	04-07 22:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	126	$76.3K	85,109	40,005	+45,104	open	—	03-01 14:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$73.8K	42,699	42,699	+0	open	—	03-31 23:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	143	$48.7K	55,558	55,558	+0	open	—	01-31 00:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	56	$38.9K	39,788	20,000	+19,788	open	—	03-01 14:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	34	$37.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	02-28 15:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	61	$36.7K	29,308	29,308	+0	open	—	04-08 01:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$34.0K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	03-22 17:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$29.4K	27,835	27,835	+0	open	—	04-05 13:09
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	50	$26.5K	29,773	10,900	+18,873	open	—	04-07 16:41
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	35	$24.0K	36,158	0	+36,158	open	—	04-14 18:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	100	$22.6K	29,326	22,178	+7,148	open	—	04-07 23:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	17	$21.4K	15,992	16,223	-231	open	—	04-08 03:03
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	28	$21.1K	40,653	40,653	+0	open	—	04-07 23:00
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	14	$16.4K	20,951	0	+20,951	open	—	01-31 21:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	33	$12.1K	77,379	10,000	+67,379	open	—	01-14 22:41
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	13	$9.9K	28,392	28,392	+0	open	—	03-08 14:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	23	$9.7K	12,970	15,231	-2,261	open	—	04-10 14:27
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	47	$9.5K	15,687	900	+14,787	open	—	04-04 23:49
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	150	$9.4K	14,500	0	+14,500	open	—	03-16 14:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$8.8K	14,558	14,558	+0	Yes	$-1,409	04-14 12:40
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$6.2K	3,856	3,856	+0	open	—	03-18 03:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	6	$4.6K	6,802	0	+6,802	open	—	01-15 00:02
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	26	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-31 10:41
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	30	$3.1K	6,880	6,880	+0	open	—	04-07 22:58
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	4	$3.0K	1,910	1,910	+0	open	—	04-07 02:24
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	14	$2.1K	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	01-04 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6,936	86¢	$5,951	0x7eab49…
06-15 03:31:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xea9de1…
06-15 03:31:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	208	86¢	$178	0xc74958…
06-15 03:31:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	835	86¢	$717	0x9b787b…
06-15 00:26:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,270	84¢	$4,426	0xb5e61b…
06-15 00:05:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	26,598	84¢	$22,391	0x89f372…
06-15 00:04:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,384	84¢	$2,829	0xbe3cd3…
06-14 23:58:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,092	84¢	$916	0x620eb0…
06-14 23:58:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	12,501	84¢	$10,489	0x806bdf…
06-14 23:58:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0xf2a038…
06-14 23:56:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50,000	82¢	$40,840	0xe16f3e…
06-14 14:17:51	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium norris 2026 06 14	No	BUY	215	61¢	$131	0xb58c07…
06-14 14:17:45	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium norris 2026 06 14	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x04cd13…
06-14 14:17:42	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium norris 2026 06 14	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc75302…
06-14 14:17:37	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium norris 2026 06 14	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc652a9…
06-14 14:17:37	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium norris 2026 06 14	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6507b9…
06-14 14:17:31	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium norris 2026 06 14	No	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x1a0aa5…
05-24 02:29:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,128	46¢	$979	0x10ce9b…
05-24 02:29:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	46¢	$33	0x7b1afb…
05-23 19:09:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	34¢	$850	0x6d1393…
04-15 18:51:02	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	1,600	70¢	$1,120	0x29020f…
04-14 23:07:02	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x21bee0…
04-14 22:20:46	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x1835d6…
04-14 21:12:18	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xaf67f5…
04-14 18:29:46	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	1,989	70¢	$1,392	0xb512ed…
04-14 15:07:11	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xff6eba…
04-14 12:40:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14,558	25¢	$3,680	0x7fabe6…
04-10 14:31:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,558	35¢	$5,089	0x82d88c…
04-10 14:29:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	12¢	$24	0x57689d…
04-10 14:27:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,496	37¢	$928	0x15ca7f…
04-10 03:49:17	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	59	67¢	$39	0x071e63…
04-10 03:08:45	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1b2a84…
04-10 02:41:23	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	413	67¢	$277	0xbb5b55…
04-10 02:41:17	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4b7dc3…
04-10 02:41:13	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	7,498	67¢	$5,024	0x9f4051…
04-10 02:41:13	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x64b286…
04-10 02:41:13	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3efd12…
04-10 01:02:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	236	50¢	$119	0xcf445b…
04-09 21:41:11	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x7d1048…
04-09 21:13:09	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf3c311…
04-09 18:12:01	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	4,348	64¢	$2,783	0xe04349…
04-09 15:49:49	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	523	64¢	$335	0xb4b644…
04-08 19:49:31	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	128	64¢	$82	0xd81d58…
04-08 03:05:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	716	52¢	$372	0xc50543…
04-08 03:04:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	284	52¢	$148	0x41626e…
04-08 03:03:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	16,144	66¢	$10,735	0x979110…
04-08 03:03:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	271	52¢	$141	0x12a445…
04-08 03:03:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	74	67¢	$50	0x4ce019…
04-08 03:01:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	989	52¢	$513	0x48cc59…
04-08 03:01:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xe985fd…
04-08 01:28:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	12,223	68¢	$8,346	0xf8fb61…
04-08 01:21:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	7,734	34¢	$2,662	0x11c156…
04-08 01:14:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,000	35¢	$353	0xff9b9c…
04-08 01:14:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	160	39¢	$62	0x1c48c0…
04-08 01:14:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xcd3cc3…
04-08 01:14:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	71	39¢	$28	0xc4d58d…
04-08 01:13:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	893	38¢	$344	0xdcbeb0…
04-08 01:12:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	107	39¢	$41	0xcf3276…
04-08 01:05:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,970	0x7479e7…
04-08 01:04:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,578	32¢	$497	0xaa231a…
04-08 00:57:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	920	31¢	$282	0xa26f62…
04-08 00:55:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$24	0x539829…
04-08 00:54:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	656	31¢	$201	0xa6cf7d…
04-08 00:52:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	245	60¢	$146	0xd09b63…
04-08 00:50:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	769	60¢	$460	0x274f1c…
04-08 00:45:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x422e40…
04-08 00:45:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xb3f8e0…
04-08 00:43:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0xa544f0…
04-08 00:42:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xa55402…
04-08 00:40:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x1d5d37…
04-08 00:38:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	143	60¢	$85	0xfce534…
04-08 00:38:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x0101bf…
04-08 00:38:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xfed8e5…
04-08 00:38:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	288	60¢	$172	0x15dfe0…
04-08 00:32:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	5,002	26¢	$1,305	0xee97e7…
04-08 00:27:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x8c0938…
04-08 00:19:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	2,002	35¢	$701	0xb6b60d…
04-08 00:11:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$296	0x1b7e24…
04-08 00:09:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$581	0x388e33…
04-08 00:08:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x088174…
04-08 00:08:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	996	32¢	$317	0xa10bc4…
04-08 00:07:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$322	0xe92ca5…
04-07 23:39:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,749	39¢	$682	0xf01ba5…
04-07 23:38:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2,124	39¢	$828	0x0dec70…
04-07 23:36:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	284	39¢	$111	0xead13a…
04-07 23:36:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	157	39¢	$61	0x0f7ded…
04-07 23:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	435	39¢	$170	0x0d0399…
04-07 23:35:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	834	62¢	$517	0x4191d8…
04-07 23:34:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0xa4e5d5…
04-07 23:34:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	159	62¢	$98	0xde8d08…
04-07 23:33:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xcca549…
04-07 23:33:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	479	62¢	$297	0x5b61cd…
04-07 23:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	156	62¢	$96	0xcccf1e…
04-07 23:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x9e1899…
04-07 23:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	381	62¢	$236	0x8e7f4b…
04-07 23:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	222	62¢	$138	0x3ba9a8…
04-07 23:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	137	62¢	$85	0x31524d…
04-07 23:30:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	329	62¢	$204	0xdf292e…
04-07 23:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4,229	33¢	$1,406	0xc23cf8…
04-07 23:28:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	212	36¢	$76	0x07312d…