Realized P&L
+$4.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.43K
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
100
Trades
933
lifetime
Volume
$111.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$2.81K
7 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-02 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
60% 50% +$1,948
Other
40% 50% +$2,178
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70,018 $140 2¢ $1.2K +$1,050 10-08 19:42
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30,459 $305 3¢ $914 +$608 10-14 16:01
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $260 32¢ $315 +$55 11-02 02:15
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +700 $196 30¢ $206 +$10 11-02 02:23
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +280 $84 40¢ $113 +$29 10-22 04:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +110 -$1,630 44¢ $48 +$1,678 10-30 02:28
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,500 $23 1¢ $22 -$2 11-02 02:17