Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$6.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$294

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-01 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

54% 38% -$201

Politics

26% 71% +$40

Sports

15% 96% +$5

Tech

4% 75% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	+150	$95	100¢	$150	+$55	10-30 20:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+137	$92	72¢	$99	+$7	11-01 09:27
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	+100	$48	46¢	$46	-$2	10-30 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$944	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$56	10-27 16:12
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	7	$466	293	293	+0	open	—	10-30 00:10
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	5	$177	130	106	+24	Yes	+$11	10-28 19:34
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	5	$116	120	50	+70	Yes	-$38	10-30 17:56
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5	2	$107	110	0	+110	Yes	+$2	10-27 00:14
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	2	$95	150	0	+150	open	—	10-30 20:52
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	4	$94	152	0	+152	open	—	10-30 22:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	3	$92	137	0	+137	open	—	11-01 09:27
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	4	$86	100	50	+50	Yes	+$41	10-29 21:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	5	$86	100	100	+0	No	+$24	10-29 22:29
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	2	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	10-29 00:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	3	$79	96	0	+96	No	+$18	10-26 21:30
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 1.5	1	$78	80	0	+80	Yes	+$2	10-26 23:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?	6	$77	84	20	+64	open	—	11-01 22:57
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	2	$68	100	0	+100	Yes	+$32	10-30 18:18
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 1.5	1	$68	70	0	+70	Yes	+$2	10-26 18:14
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$65	50	50	+0	No	+$3	10-29 14:03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-30 16:09
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$64	100	0	+100	Yes	-$64	10-28 17:40
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	3	$63	40	40	+0	No	+$6	10-30 15:06
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5	2	$61	63	0	+63	Yes	+$2	10-26 15:31
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 1.5	2	$61	63	0	+63	Yes	+$2	10-26 15:30
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$57	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	10-28 17:27
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?	4	$54	37	22	+15	open	—	10-29 17:41
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 1.5	1	$53	54	0	+54	Yes	+$2	10-26 15:29
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5	1	$52	54	0	+54	Yes	+$2	10-26 15:27
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.5	1	$52	54	0	+54	Yes	+$2	10-26 15:27
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$52	100	0	+100	No	-$52	10-29 15:08
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	1	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	10-30 22:10
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	2	$47	120	0	+120	open	—	10-31 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:57:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x6c165b…
11-01 17:21:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x5684f5…
11-01 16:27:13	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in September?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb2168a…
11-01 14:18:49	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf91b23…
11-01 09:27:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x327a7b…
11-01 07:13:46	Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x2266c8…
10-31 22:31:12	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x6946d6…
10-31 22:26:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xfd08d7…
10-31 21:42:00	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xe13f6e…
10-31 18:47:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x33ef05…
10-31 15:34:18	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xead5df…
10-31 15:12:16	Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x39c0a3…
10-31 14:47:22	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x6b8023…
10-31 14:47:19	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdbf75f…
10-31 14:47:19	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x0ecb2f…
10-31 13:54:25	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x160995…
10-31 11:19:45	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xfeddc7…
10-31 11:07:43	Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4e9b3f…
10-31 11:07:42	Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x07b178…
10-31 10:15:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6e1e61…
10-31 10:09:21	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x580bff…
10-31 09:38:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x43c908…
10-31 07:49:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb2ba08…
10-31 05:59:27	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x32c14f…
10-31 05:45:57	Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x29e4b2…
10-31 05:20:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa933af…
10-31 04:38:04	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xabb956…
10-31 04:30:42	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?	Yes	SELL	31	17¢	$5	0x598e32…
10-31 04:20:40	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcb7bff…
10-31 03:57:33	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x50e17c…
10-31 03:10:12	Will PNV win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x4ba380…
10-31 03:06:31	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xefa462…
10-31 02:04:13	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb7e111…
10-31 02:04:10	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 29?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbb5108…
10-31 01:03:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf0734c…
10-31 01:01:48	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x85860e…
10-31 00:46:30	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x50620a…
10-31 00:31:15	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0x0fb642…
10-31 00:08:49	Will PSOE win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd3e858…
10-30 23:58:45	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x8c918a…
10-30 23:57:55	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6756bc…
10-30 23:24:58	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xda7e70…
10-30 23:24:58	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xb839d6…
10-30 23:20:49	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x3d78e0…
10-30 23:04:55	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc99b02…
10-30 22:23:12	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x92946c…
10-30 22:10:37	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x815bce…
10-30 22:10:37	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x693cc2…
10-30 21:33:37	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x661530…
10-30 21:09:40	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x53d072…
10-30 21:09:40	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x2079ed…
10-30 21:05:10	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x6e30dd…
10-30 20:52:31	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xc88bd7…
10-30 20:51:55	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xab607e…
10-30 20:51:55	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x558e1f…
10-30 20:48:40	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x55278d…
10-30 20:13:18	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe1cff5…
10-30 19:05:10	Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x4b3958…
10-30 18:18:46	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x15eb5b…
10-30 17:56:28	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xd2ecd5…
10-30 17:14:40	Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf619a0…
10-30 16:53:49	Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb7d61c…
10-30 16:53:12	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$35	0x6de4b1…
10-30 16:46:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x53f729…
10-30 16:36:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x1978a1…
10-30 16:09:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xfa0e5a…
10-30 15:48:21	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xf35bc1…
10-30 15:09:21	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x71fbe1…
10-30 15:06:04	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x14ec42…
10-30 13:45:37	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xebcec2…
10-30 13:25:49	Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3380d2…
10-30 12:55:09	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x399533…
10-30 10:03:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x93417b…
10-30 08:58:58	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x39084c…
10-30 08:00:03	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xd5d0d2…
10-30 07:43:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x96410d…
10-30 06:55:01	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth <-0.5%?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xcecd1c…
10-30 05:56:07	Will Jorja Johnson / JW Johnson advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x129faa…
10-30 04:15:31	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x02fbe7…
10-30 03:54:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x7f4b63…
10-30 03:34:15	Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 0.5% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe7b533…
10-30 02:38:12	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth <-0.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xbf7482…
10-30 02:31:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf1add6…
10-30 02:23:51	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x46d9c2…
10-30 02:19:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x0681d2…
10-30 02:17:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8e2c41…
10-30 02:07:01	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7a6c62…
10-30 02:04:33	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6378b9…
10-30 02:00:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3b2509…
10-30 01:58:39	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x8e0a68…
10-30 01:58:13	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x670ed4…
10-30 01:55:07	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4f0ffc…
10-30 01:46:07	Will Rachel Rohrabacher / Parris Todd advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x896a12…
10-30 01:46:07	Will Rachel Rohrabacher / Parris Todd advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0dfb88…
10-30 01:44:42	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x4a32c5…
10-30 01:43:15	Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Jorja Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb7b9c9…
10-30 01:01:27	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa52c8e…
10-30 00:33:06	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x5b12dc…
10-30 00:28:22	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3997f3…
10-30 00:10:48	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	136	73¢	$99	0xc6cea8…