Fluffy-Collectivisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

284

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 11:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:13
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:36
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:31
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:21
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd46f1d…
10-27 08:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5b4fa…
10-26 09:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x338377…
10-24 11:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x274e1c…
10-22 10:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8babd…
10-20 07:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x231e92…
10-19 09:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30d531…
10-18 09:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a0efd…
10-17 14:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6196e4…
10-16 08:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4d3fa…
10-15 09:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x260d3d…
10-14 09:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258397…
10-13 09:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7d293…
10-12 08:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dc8a0…
10-11 08:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eb870…
10-08 08:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd781e…
10-07 14:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63890e…
10-06 07:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd68f8e…
10-04 15:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f1928…
10-03 08:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa49d11…
10-02 11:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa11580…
10-01 08:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94e760…
09-30 15:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3abcb4…
09-30 12:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca13c7…
09-29 14:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb579a1…
09-28 09:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d5714…
09-27 08:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc41154…
09-25 12:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f687b…
09-24 08:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35fc4c…
09-23 07:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd5ff4…
09-22 08:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16acd3…
09-21 09:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4fd35…
09-20 05:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d6424…
09-19 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bb17f…
09-18 06:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd53b67…
09-17 04:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1c38a…
09-16 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeaf42…
09-15 09:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87831e…
09-14 08:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b9b0a…
09-12 16:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06b304…
09-11 07:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5846…
09-10 06:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6d422…
09-09 02:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa34c37…
09-08 02:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6efe0…
09-07 08:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77959e…
09-06 17:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc2363…
09-06 09:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84950a…
09-05 01:04:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f0827…
09-03 09:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9fa75…
09-02 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078b87…
08-30 08:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b5f72…
08-29 08:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf92186…
08-28 08:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23edfd…
08-27 08:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0f66b…
08-26 08:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24f8c1…
08-25 09:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fc37e…
08-24 09:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb872d…
08-23 14:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b309b…
08-22 08:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8b756…
08-21 07:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40784d…
08-20 08:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa92b5…
08-19 11:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e211…
08-18 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd39ce5…
08-17 07:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f4067…
08-16 11:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1adbfb…
08-15 09:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe48444…
08-14 06:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1b2e9…
08-13 07:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb64544…
08-12 07:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf4201…
08-11 06:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4527ee…
08-10 07:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4440b…
08-09 01:22:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceac09…
08-08 07:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd3a3d…
08-07 01:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x504dfb…
08-06 06:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x090c9e…
08-05 07:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ca179…
08-04 08:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2df4e…
08-03 07:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d278f…
08-02 01:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08f6a1…
08-01 07:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x815663…
07-31 08:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54dda6…
07-30 06:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe353f3…
07-29 06:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2868ad…
07-28 06:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41684e…
07-27 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0850f…
07-26 06:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb72e87…
07-25 07:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b932e…
07-24 09:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac02e0…
07-23 07:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x499502…
07-22 01:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbba4e2…
07-20 23:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6086f3…
07-20 07:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83a641…
07-18 23:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb219cb…
07-18 00:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22aec3…
07-17 06:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7199f…
07-15 22:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6d8c8…
07-15 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fc4ef…
07-14 07:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91c497…
07-13 07:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x81becc…
07-12 02:15:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe66ca6…