Melodic-Brochure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

268

Trades

665

lifetime

Volume

$986

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-15 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

78% 36% -$78

Crypto

16% 55% -$16

Sports

4% 33% -$1

Politics

2% 43% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$26	93	93	+0	Yes	$0	06-29 04:03
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	15	$25	32	23	+9	FURIA Esports	-$1	05-03 02:16
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	14	$24	32	29	+3	Rex Regum Qeon	-$1	05-03 12:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 15:52
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	5	$22	14	12	+2	MIBR	-$2	05-02 01:07
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	15	$20	20	17	+4	Division One	$0	05-06 01:09
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	13	$19	20	20	+0	100 Thieves	-$1	05-02 23:32
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	11	$19	18	16	+2	LOUD	+$5	05-03 23:18
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winner	6	$18	13	13	+0	F9 EICAR	+$2	05-03 20:08
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	3	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 04:53
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	9	$14	20	16	+4	Global Esports	$0	05-02 14:01
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	5	$14	26	26	+0	Joblife	-$4	05-03 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	8	$14	20	20	+0	No	+$2	06-23 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	5	$13	20	17	+3	Yes	+$6	06-19 07:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	6	$13	41	41	+0	Yes	-$3	06-30 06:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	7	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	06-23 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$12	15	10	+5	No	-$4	06-30 09:18
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	6	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-28 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$10	42	42	+0	No	-$4	07-05 09:31
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	5	$10	10	5	+6	Yes	+$2	06-27 01:56
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	9	$10	10	8	+2	Team Heretics	$0	05-10 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$10	16	16	+0	No	+$2	06-29 13:16
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner	8	$10	26	12	+14	WIP Esports	-$2	05-03 17:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	7	$9	17	17	+0	No	-$1	06-15 17:13
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner	3	$9	13	13	+0	Sentinels	-$5	05-03 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	5	$9	7	6	+2	Up	+$0	04-28 04:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	7	$9	18	18	+0	No	-$2	06-02 16:11
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	7	$8	14	14	+0	No	-$2	06-28 03:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$8	17	17	+0	Yes	-$2	06-30 06:08
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner	5	$8	9	5	+4	MIBR	-$2	05-02 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:42:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xd35f39…
07-15 19:08:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x522c4e…
07-06 20:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x5a0b68…
07-06 20:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xbb16d5…
07-05 09:32:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x777a08…
07-05 09:31:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x09f423…
07-05 09:31:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xf79da7…
07-05 09:31:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x628438…
07-05 09:31:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xff8221…
07-01 06:35:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5d1601…
07-01 06:35:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5cbb9a…
06-30 09:19:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x898592…
06-30 09:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe6e968…
06-30 06:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x17c8a7…
06-30 06:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe76e30…
06-30 06:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x5cfe23…
06-30 06:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x629a9e…
06-29 13:16:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x6632ce…
06-29 11:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3c9826…
06-29 11:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe81db5…
06-29 11:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x45998e…
06-29 04:03:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x2ee739…
06-29 04:01:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4cae36…
06-29 03:58:49	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x317f46…
06-29 03:58:16	Brazil to score first vs. Japan?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc3669c…
06-29 00:31:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xc22db8…
06-28 08:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4b2cac…
06-28 04:01:40	Canada to score first vs. South Africa?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xef28bd…
06-28 03:59:46	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd8a547…
06-28 03:43:13	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x38b50a…
06-28 03:37:49	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x56c017…
06-28 03:37:43	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x587b6d…
06-28 03:32:58	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x68bd00…
06-28 03:32:50	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xf3b7d8…
06-28 03:22:38	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x90befc…
06-28 02:37:29	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x8180b4…
06-28 02:34:49	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	No	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x87e155…
06-28 01:30:05	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x606e9d…
06-28 01:29:16	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x659b17…
06-28 01:28:46	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x89198a…
06-28 01:28:14	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdbf432…
06-28 01:28:10	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9da7c7…
06-28 01:27:08	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x06e2bc…
06-28 01:14:04	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x507425…
06-27 22:13:08	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x42b506…
06-27 22:09:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xbf2e87…
06-27 22:08:56	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xc42f91…
06-27 08:14:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x69acc1…
06-27 08:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x12f3cd…
06-27 08:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x5735e9…
06-27 08:12:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb8bb38…
06-27 08:12:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x718952…
06-27 08:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x305882…
06-27 08:10:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x08b721…
06-27 08:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x59b01d…
06-27 05:04:32	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa3e609…
06-27 04:56:25	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x367904…
06-27 04:47:10	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9ed52c…
06-27 04:07:26	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfbd731…
06-27 03:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7f952d…
06-27 03:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x10fc6b…
06-27 03:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x41e5ee…
06-27 01:56:29	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e1c29…
06-26 20:52:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0d6ad7…
06-26 20:52:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xac9ac5…
06-26 05:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0cea43…
06-26 05:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x64457f…
06-26 05:09:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x15814e…
06-26 05:09:11	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2170ea…
06-25 23:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc8ebc3…
06-25 22:59:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfc5faf…
06-25 22:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x603247…
06-25 22:59:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6d800f…
06-25 22:58:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	79	14¢	$11	0x30742d…
06-25 22:58:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb77721…
06-25 22:58:05	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x46716c…
06-25 07:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa74133…
06-24 03:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x706f24…
06-23 21:57:28	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x2efb57…
06-23 21:40:04	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe5103c…
06-23 19:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xa7d44c…
06-23 18:59:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x85a9bd…
06-23 18:58:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3400a1…
06-23 18:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x4082f9…
06-23 17:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3ed30c…
06-23 17:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa4706b…
06-23 08:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x68e22d…
06-23 06:45:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7284e3…
06-23 06:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x488f5f…
06-23 06:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2a8c74…
06-23 05:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0c1347…
06-23 05:18:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdf3c1a…
06-23 05:18:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x929ebe…
06-23 05:06:22	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2c8012…
06-23 04:57:26	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7b3c73…
06-23 04:56:04	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4b2690…
06-23 04:53:23	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x1a4613…
06-23 04:51:14	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd88c6b…
06-23 04:48:32	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x654883…
06-23 04:47:37	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8c8138…