Substantial-Rocketship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$137

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$5.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$101

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-14 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

66% 100% +$151

Other

19% 50% $-13

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No		-112	$-102	90¢	$-101	+$1	06-14 10:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$520	400	200	+200	Thunder	+$60	05-06 02:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	15	$424	1,000	1,800	-800	open	—	05-06 23:56
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	3	$383	271	271	+0	open	—	05-29 17:59
Canadiens vs. Sabres	4	$379	400	0	+400	Canadiens	+$21	05-09 01:29
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	7	$372	400	0	+400	open	—	05-16 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$324	750	1,350	-600	open	—	05-30 19:34
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$287	300	0	+300	Golden Knights	+$13	05-09 03:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	3	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	05-16 18:57
Lakers vs. Thunder	6	$273	150	150	+0	Thunder	+$13	05-08 04:00
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	10	$273	149	150	-1	open	—	05-16 19:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$196	134	534	-400	open	—	05-12 06:28
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	05-22 01:58
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	2	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 01:48
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$160	172	0	+172	open	—	05-02 04:54
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	2	$150	160	0	+160	Detroit Tigers	+$10	05-14 01:54
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	3	$146	152	0	+152	Tampa Bay Rays	+$6	05-13 02:18
Magic vs. Pistons	5	$136	200	0	+200	open	—	05-03 20:17
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	9	$102	0	112	-112	open	—	06-14 10:06
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$100	179	0	+179	open	—	05-23 16:20
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 03:16
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	05-16 01:24
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	05-16 01:19
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 01:38
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	2	$91	104	0	+104	Yes	+$13	05-08 19:53
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 02:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$74	50	100	-50	Yes	$-26	05-03 19:41
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$56	80	0	+80	Thunder	+$24	05-12 04:40
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 19:02
mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	1	$50	185	0	+185	open	—	06-04 23:22
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)	1	$50	51	0	+51	Houston Astros	+$1	05-12 02:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 10:06:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xe46e8b…
06-14 09:28:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xc2e79c…
06-14 09:28:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x9ceade…
06-06 07:47:00	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x05ca3a…
06-06 04:54:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x0c1baa…
06-06 04:00:15	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x902367…
06-06 04:00:07	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x332220…
06-06 04:00:07	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x1f936a…
06-06 03:46:36	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xe159cf…
06-04 23:22:21	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Soto	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x6ef115…
05-30 19:34:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	3¢	$31	0xdcdf7a…
05-29 18:48:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x2d604f…
05-29 17:59:25	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	271	52¢	$141	0x2fbe94…
05-29 15:57:58	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x39569d…
05-29 15:47:39	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x4ae3f6…
05-23 16:20:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x055eba…
05-22 01:58:03	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x404c13…
05-16 19:42:07	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xa28267…
05-16 19:41:53	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xc96a6f…
05-16 19:41:53	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x63bf3e…
05-16 19:41:39	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xc79305…
05-16 19:41:39	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xa0322f…
05-16 19:30:36	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8a7911…
05-16 19:30:36	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0x3e0779…
05-16 19:30:25	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x9e03d0…
05-16 19:30:08	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd308f1…
05-16 19:30:04	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x858cb6…
05-16 19:29:49	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x62b2fe…
05-16 19:24:41	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb9b65f…
05-16 19:23:08	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc8a29f…
05-16 19:23:08	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xa6fa1b…
05-16 19:18:00	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe9922c…
05-16 19:17:56	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xba5ba1…
05-16 19:17:55	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x4e9e00…
05-16 18:57:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0x9ca69a…
05-16 18:52:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc7cf27…
05-16 18:50:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x143134…
05-16 03:50:39	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x6fa20a…
05-16 01:48:24	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x08a337…
05-16 01:44:00	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x226757…
05-16 01:38:47	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2da467…
05-16 01:24:05	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x311d8b…
05-16 01:19:21	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf64220…
05-16 01:17:17	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x87f04f…
05-15 03:16:09	Spread: Ducks (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5e928d…
05-15 02:58:43	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xcda7eb…
05-14 19:38:04	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	New York Mets	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x59c77d…
05-14 01:54:51	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x2187db…
05-14 01:53:58	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x11ae05…
05-13 19:37:56	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x388770…
05-13 02:20:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x65febb…
05-13 02:18:05	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6adb65…
05-13 02:18:05	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x4dee93…
05-13 02:15:45	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9cdebd…
05-12 06:28:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	534	29¢	$154	0xaf58ed…
05-12 04:40:29	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x88ba77…
05-12 04:40:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x91358b…
05-12 04:40:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xce576d…
05-12 04:40:18	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xf8b2bc…
05-12 02:37:50	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2465d6…
05-12 02:36:16	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf13971…
05-11 23:32:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	31¢	$41	0xdc1b9d…
05-09 03:12:26	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x243196…
05-09 02:45:19	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x78ff8e…
05-09 01:29:53	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x49f469…
05-09 00:44:58	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd16aef…
05-09 00:38:42	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xd2bfb8…
05-09 00:38:38	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd4233d…
05-08 19:53:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x9cfa54…
05-08 19:29:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1f8afa…
05-08 04:00:07	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xc2a667…
05-08 04:00:05	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x702613…
05-08 03:59:57	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0a2ce5…
05-08 03:59:57	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x0436e6…
05-08 02:38:24	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xa3321d…
05-08 02:20:55	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x6369dd…
05-06 23:56:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	15¢	$14	0x4f74c7…
05-06 23:53:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xff6772…
05-06 23:49:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x7ff739…
05-06 23:47:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	15¢	$44	0x44d278…
05-06 23:37:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x4aaaa8…
05-06 21:11:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	28¢	$112	0xb5f8f2…
05-06 20:51:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x30a2c5…
05-06 20:42:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	559	15¢	$85	0x35c285…
05-06 20:36:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	474	15¢	$72	0xb6c989…
05-06 20:36:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x438c09…
05-06 20:35:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0xb4a189…
05-06 20:34:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	30¢	$13	0x2b19aa…
05-06 20:34:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x21b098…
05-06 20:34:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xd6bcb7…
05-06 20:34:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x26ded3…
05-06 20:34:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x336a64…
05-06 20:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x9d309f…
05-06 20:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x902df2…
05-06 20:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x8f5966…
05-06 20:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4cf749…
05-06 20:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x1ced5b…
05-06 20:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x0efae8…
05-06 20:26:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x1d4913…
05-06 20:25:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0xdcc2df…