Prize-Underestimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

108

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$4.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 06-04 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% -$275

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	2	$433	346	346	+0	Down	+$253	06-03 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$317	333	333	+0	Down	+$117	06-03 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$241	299	299	+0	Up	+$131	06-03 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	1	$200	603	0	+603	Up	-$200	06-03 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	2	$170	118	118	+0	Down	+$43	06-04 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$166	166	153	+12	Down	+$73	06-03 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$135	247	175	+71	Up	+$26	06-03 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$134	192	192	+0	Up	+$84	06-03 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$129	149	115	+33	Up	+$19	06-03 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC	4	$124	195	195	+0	Up	+$64	06-04 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	3	$103	141	89	+52	Down	+$23	06-04 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:15 UTC	1	$100	482	0	+482	Down	-$100	06-03 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$100	238	0	+238	Up	-$100	06-03 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	3	$99	109	88	+21	Down	+$44	06-04 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$89	73	73	+0	Down	+$40	06-03 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$88	234	68	+167	Up	+$15	06-04 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$82	71	71	+0	Down	+$32	06-03 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:10 UTC	3	$78	119	52	+67	Down	+$20	06-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$77	71	71	+0	Down	+$27	06-03 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:00 UTC	4	$74	69	69	+0	Down	+$18	06-04 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:35 UTC	1	$68	825	0	+825	Up	-$68	06-03 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	2	$62	351	0	+351	Down	-$62	06-03 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	2	$54	40	40	+0	Down	+$14	06-04 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	4	$50	627	0	+627	Up	-$50	06-03 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:55 UTC	1	$50	312	0	+312	Up	-$50	06-04 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$50	696	0	+696	Up	-$50	06-03 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$50	192	0	+192	Up	-$50	06-03 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:35 UTC	1	$49	94	0	+94	Up	-$49	06-04 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:05 UTC	2	$43	37	37	+0	Up	+$7	06-04 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	3	$42	33	33	+0	Down	+$22	06-04 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 16:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	94	52¢	$49	0x4bc241…
06-04 16:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	264	12¢	$32	0x2cbb85…
06-04 16:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xdd9fca…
06-04 16:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xc403e2…
06-04 16:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	68	76¢	$51	0xa7102d…
06-04 16:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	68	39¢	$27	0x8c94c2…
06-04 16:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x5cd6ed…
06-04 16:14:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xf703e8…
06-04 16:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xf002d4…
06-04 16:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xf4b943…
06-04 16:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	37	68¢	$25	0xd04352…
06-04 16:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x57031c…
06-04 16:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	118	90¢	$106	0xdc1a7a…
06-04 16:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	118	54¢	$64	0xea9275…
06-04 15:57:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x48ddc0…
06-04 15:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xf7c9b4…
06-04 15:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x2b114a…
06-04 15:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0x69163c…
06-04 15:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xa9a7cf…
06-04 15:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	89	71¢	$63	0xf42970…
06-04 15:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xf7bfca…
06-04 15:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0x7280e6…
06-04 15:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xb9d9cd…
06-04 15:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	88	81¢	$72	0xfd13d8…
06-04 15:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0xa0de75…
06-04 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x822a75…
06-04 15:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xd77dc3…
06-04 15:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x348f39…
06-04 15:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xeb2a9d…
06-04 15:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	77	37¢	$28	0x98bab3…
06-04 15:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x1f9072…
06-04 15:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	118	56¢	$66	0x6dbfcd…
06-04 15:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x311dd6…
06-04 15:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xad3da1…
06-04 15:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8f8662…
06-04 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xe6f14f…
06-04 15:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x8cd790…
06-04 15:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	52	76¢	$40	0x9a5252…
06-04 15:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x55e639…
06-04 14:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0xcec2cd…
06-04 14:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x4ad419…
06-04 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xde7ecc…
06-04 14:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x53d904…
06-04 14:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x167b3a…
06-04 14:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x35e0ef…
06-04 14:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x03577f…
06-04 14:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6ceacb…
06-04 14:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xb05851…
06-04 14:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xb937a5…
06-04 14:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa13a47…
06-04 14:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59cb02…
06-04 14:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x4c062a…
06-04 14:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xe78a10…
06-04 13:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x74f54f…
06-04 13:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x02b6f7…
06-04 13:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xaf560d…
06-04 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9b90f6…
06-04 13:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xd3e759…
06-04 13:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xb1a6ab…
06-04 13:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9fd5ab…
06-04 13:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x2a4100…
06-04 13:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa9ee62…
06-04 13:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x169dd6…
06-04 13:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x881c2e…
06-04 08:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xab5433…
06-04 08:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3a6ce2…
06-04 08:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0b99a4…
06-04 08:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcbe7ad…
06-04 08:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5e87c8…
06-04 08:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa0db53…
06-04 08:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdddc56…
06-04 08:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdf032a…
06-04 08:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd16e25…
06-04 07:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcf19b5…
06-04 07:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x69e698…
06-04 07:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xaf6791…
06-04 07:45:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x8a5df9…
06-04 07:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x86f781…
06-04 07:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x13e0b7…
06-04 07:36:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd835c6…
06-04 07:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62d846…
06-04 07:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf59fcc…
06-04 07:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x698c1a…
06-04 07:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3b7586…
06-04 07:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe8ead7…
06-04 07:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf700af…
06-04 07:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3e95d9…
06-04 07:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9f3345…
06-04 07:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf2a46b…
06-04 06:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd6e13f…
06-03 20:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	603	33¢	$200	0x407a59…
06-03 20:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	482	21¢	$100	0x28f76e…
06-03 20:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x055d17…
06-03 20:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	350	2¢	$7	0x3c9e5b…
06-03 20:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0xaf1c98…
06-03 20:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	150	26¢	$39	0x56ea48…
06-03 20:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	158	12¢	$19	0x5f3178…
06-03 20:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	180	5¢	$9	0xf09c06…
06-03 20:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	171	31¢	$53	0xf66a1d…
06-03 19:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x3c3fa4…