Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$307

11 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 10-29 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

66% 95% -$2

Politics

20% 75% -$289

Sports

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+83	$81	96¢	$80	-$1	10-22 03:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+71	$59	98¢	$69	+$10	10-28 18:36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+46	$43	94¢	$43	+$0	10-26 03:32
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+29	$29	98¢	$29	+$0	10-20 21:07
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+30	$28	96¢	$29	+$0	10-22 02:04
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+23	$18	78¢	$18	+$0	10-14 04:22
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+15	$15	98¢	$15	$0	10-25 18:56
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	+12	$8	76¢	$9	+$1	10-27 04:16
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+7	$7	98¢	$7	+$0	10-26 16:00
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	+6	$6	97¢	$6	+$0	10-27 04:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 20%-25%?	No	+6	$6	51¢	$3	-$2	10-20 00:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$421	422	+422	No	+$1	10-26 22:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	15	$364	483	+483	No	+$120	10-26 22:20
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$328	357	+357	No	+$28	10-26 22:48
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$206	293	+293	Yes	-$206	10-27 19:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$165	211	+211	No	+$46	10-25 23:45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$164	580	+580	Yes	-$164	10-26 21:52
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	10-26 15:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$130	691	+691	Yes	-$130	10-25 23:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$115	122	+122	No	+$6	10-28 14:01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	10-26 18:01
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$81	83	+83	open	—	10-22 03:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$59	71	+71	open	—	10-28 18:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	10-28 17:51
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	10-27 18:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	10-25 22:07
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$43	46	+46	open	—	10-26 03:32
Will Milio be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	10-29 13:35
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-20 13:11
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	10-20 21:07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$1	10-20 18:13
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	1	$29	34	+34	No	+$5	10-23 15:47
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$28	30	+30	open	—	10-22 02:04
Will Gumayusi have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	1	$24	26	+26	open	—	10-15 21:31
Will Shyvana be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	10-29 13:35
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	2	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	10-28 02:25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 25?	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	10-25 23:34
2026 vidantaworld mexico open third round leader kevin streelman	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	10-24 17:09
Will Michael Porter Jr. lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	10-21 20:32
Will Jordan Goodwin lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	10-25 07:55
Will Brandon Ingram lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	10-25 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:35:13	Will Shyvana be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf6fe94…
10-29 13:35:08	Will Milio be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x138f56…
10-29 12:04:19	Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x73fa24…
10-29 11:26:53	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x80e637…
10-29 07:05:59	Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bd6c4…
10-29 06:42:47	Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c8476…
10-29 05:49:31	Will Wendell Carter Jr. lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8148d1…
10-28 18:36:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	71	83¢	$59	0x51f2f5…
10-28 17:51:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x5e7a14…
10-28 14:01:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xf1cb68…
10-28 12:31:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xe551e2…
10-28 11:20:23	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x730433…
10-28 02:47:06	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa0ebf6…
10-28 02:25:53	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xac68e4…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x397231…
10-28 02:23:23	Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5cbd9f…
10-27 19:35:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	78	68¢	$53	0x4e1a8f…
10-27 19:26:36	Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xdec18b…
10-27 19:13:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x1389ea…
10-27 19:00:06	Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xa68270…
10-27 18:55:33	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x493a5a…
10-27 18:51:57	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x190b5f…
10-27 18:47:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0xde0f5e…
10-27 17:08:05	Will Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6559cb…
10-27 16:09:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	71	75¢	$53	0xd6aa88…
10-27 12:52:08	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x007356…
10-27 11:31:03	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xeca276…
10-27 04:16:12	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x789d56…
10-27 04:15:47	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xfb4983…
10-26 22:50:47	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x72e4d5…
10-26 22:48:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$54	0x94e230…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x77c3b4…
10-26 22:20:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf7f479…
10-26 21:52:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0x037b97…
10-26 21:52:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x82a959…
10-26 21:47:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x3dd429…
10-26 21:46:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	160	23¢	$36	0x0009c3…
10-26 21:10:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	131	27¢	$36	0xfed4ee…
10-26 21:00:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	54	75¢	$40	0x09a88a…
10-26 20:42:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa9c134…
10-26 18:53:50	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb89c58…
10-26 18:50:32	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaf1460…
10-26 18:44:05	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8709cf…
10-26 18:25:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0xa071c3…
10-26 18:14:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc35ef9…
10-26 18:10:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8add88…
10-26 18:01:42	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xe9b8f8…
10-26 17:41:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	46	92¢	$43	0xeb3293…
10-26 17:26:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x7a3ac9…
10-26 17:12:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x4c375c…
10-26 17:08:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xe42de2…
10-26 17:00:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0x91e355…
10-26 16:38:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0x0f1315…
10-26 16:26:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xfe48b9…
10-26 16:24:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x37d6f1…
10-26 16:14:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x86dcd1…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xb5283a…
10-26 16:08:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9b9d17…
10-26 16:06:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f9a6f…
10-26 16:03:47	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4d9877…
10-26 16:00:41	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd5cdb0…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xb176b8…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x825bc8…
10-26 15:52:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6b21fa…
10-26 15:45:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfaeffb…
10-26 15:40:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x7cf292…
10-26 15:37:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb26167…
10-26 15:32:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xd0c8e9…
10-26 15:28:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3a4ade…
10-26 15:23:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x29809f…
10-26 15:21:23	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x804af6…
10-26 14:43:57	Will Chet Holmgren lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a0f4a…
10-26 14:33:45	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7506eb…
10-26 14:32:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x40d609…
10-26 14:32:02	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4efce6…
10-26 14:24:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x312a98…
10-26 14:19:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x577fba…
10-26 14:15:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x66e2e0…
10-26 14:14:03	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8745c1…
10-26 14:08:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9fe5bb…
10-26 13:57:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4b1af0…
10-26 13:55:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf76d83…
10-26 13:53:12	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7107c1…
10-26 13:46:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$21	0x652cb5…
10-26 13:41:41	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x1cf652…
10-26 13:16:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb1605d…
10-26 13:09:27	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xe628f3…
10-26 13:09:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6f062b…
10-26 12:56:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x2e112d…
10-26 12:48:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc4246b…
10-26 12:45:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0xb2b289…
10-26 03:32:08	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x86b8c7…
10-26 02:32:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x104ef8…
10-26 02:29:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	57	81¢	$46	0x37cb96…
10-26 00:39:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0xb296d1…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x9b582d…
10-25 23:34:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xedfc11…
10-25 23:28:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xc2a628…
10-25 23:21:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x996ddf…
10-25 23:18:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	106	10¢	$10	0x77bcd4…