Wary-Lad — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$625

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved (30d)

544

Trades (30d)

555

3,455 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.58K

$112.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$2,810

Other

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	—	+11	$5	60¢	$7	+$2	10-31 15:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 9	1	$1.9K	3,612	0	+3,612	Down	-$1,928	02-08 17:25
bitcoin up or down on january 10	3	$1.7K	1,446	1,160	+286	Down	+$479	01-09 22:40
bitcoin up or down on january 29	2	$1.4K	2,661	0	+2,661	Down	+$1,085	01-28 16:46
bitcoin above 90k on january 13	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	Yes	+$55	01-13 16:32
bitcoin up or down february 9 12pm et	2	$993	515	515	+0	Up	+$36	02-09 18:10
bitcoin up or down on february 8	1	$964	1,890	0	+1,890	Up	-$964	02-07 16:54
bitcoin up or down on february 7	2	$962	1,878	0	+1,878	Down	-$5	02-06 17:08
bitcoin up or down on february 4	11	$931	1,545	0	+1,545	Down	+$614	02-03 17:47
bitcoin up or down on january 28	2	$840	1,672	0	+1,672	Up	-$448	01-27 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$789	1,683	0	+1,683	Down	+$894	09-12 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 05:00 UTC	1	$653	1,151	0	+1,151	Up	+$499	09-20 04:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:45 UTC	1	$600	611	0	+611	Down	-$600	07-15 17:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 03:20 UTC	1	$592	613	0	+613	Down	+$21	07-14 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$575	599	0	+599	Down	+$24	07-15 13:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 02:40 UTC	1	$565	592	0	+592	Up	+$27	07-14 02:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:50 UTC	1	$560	577	0	+577	Up	+$17	07-15 12:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:10 UTC	1	$535	564	0	+564	Up	+$29	07-14 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:30 UTC	2	$526	273	272	+0	Up	+$14	02-09 19:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:50 UTC	1	$525	540	0	+540	Up	+$15	07-13 23:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 19:00 UTC	1	$520	1,073	0	+1,073	Up	-$520	09-25 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	1	$517	1,047	0	+1,047	Down	-$517	09-27 21:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:20 UTC	1	$516	528	0	+528	Down	+$12	07-11 23:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:30 UTC	1	$515	562	0	+562	Up	+$47	07-15 12:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:20 UTC	1	$509	518	0	+518	Down	+$9	07-11 22:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	1	$500	933	0	+933	Up	-$500	09-27 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC	1	$500	1,103	0	+1,103	Down	-$500	09-25 18:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:45 UTC	1	$500	955	0	+955	Up	-$500	09-20 04:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:00 UTC	1	$500	529	0	+529	Up	+$29	07-13 18:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:30 UTC	1	$491	520	0	+520	Down	+$29	07-15 01:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:35 UTC	1	$489	499	0	+499	Down	+$10	07-13 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x71faef…
10-31 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x49c610…
10-31 15:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x0dce97…
10-31 14:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc40177…
10-31 14:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf17293…
10-31 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1b6f38…
10-31 14:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xae4dae…
10-31 14:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xc5af6f…
10-31 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6355c2…
10-31 14:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x566462…
10-31 04:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf0c661…
10-31 04:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x775f0f…
10-31 04:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x62a6bf…
10-31 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x27b9da…
10-31 03:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0xdde6bc…
10-31 03:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0xa1bdfd…
10-31 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x77ba40…
10-31 03:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	598	54¢	$320	0x604f63…
10-31 02:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	322	50¢	$160	0xb3488a…
10-31 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	158	51¢	$80	0xdfe576…
10-31 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x00d5cd…
10-31 01:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa28fd5…
10-31 01:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8eb3be…
10-31 01:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x488dc8…
10-31 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd57634…
10-31 00:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0d8545…
10-31 00:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x746be8…
10-31 00:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6641e2…
10-31 00:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a240d…
10-31 00:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x29950a…
10-30 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8607a2…
10-30 23:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7d4205…
10-30 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x7f9b6e…
10-30 23:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x240607…
10-30 22:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4b2dbe…
10-30 22:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4f0f5e…
10-30 04:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xe7a361…
10-30 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa973db…
10-30 04:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8d9e46…
10-30 04:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x15e4e2…
10-30 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd23bbd…
10-30 03:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c2304…
10-30 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1ad4b8…
10-30 02:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x40875a…
10-30 02:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd7619d…
10-30 02:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7a59d5…
10-30 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x59c192…
10-30 01:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x09b8bf…
10-30 01:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa3ffdd…
10-30 01:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4ac3ec…
10-30 01:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdcd73c…
10-30 00:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4761cc…
10-30 00:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x04ce1a…
10-30 00:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc4d6a6…
10-30 00:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x616898…
10-29 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x586b57…
10-29 23:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x94e794…
10-29 23:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf72628…
10-29 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa895fe…
10-29 22:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x91db8a…
10-29 22:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x593b22…
10-29 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x976a70…
10-29 22:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9834bd…
10-29 04:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x761266…
10-29 04:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa0ce45…
10-29 04:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x66bf98…
10-29 04:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x1417dd…
10-29 03:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbb2790…
10-29 03:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x94f29a…
10-29 03:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfe15f9…
10-29 03:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5e51fd…
10-29 03:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe4fac4…
10-29 02:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3fa18d…
10-29 02:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9660cc…
10-29 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x40f4b5…
10-29 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0a4c4e…
10-29 01:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x05fb2c…
10-29 01:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x77f682…
10-29 01:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc4716d…
10-29 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbf214f…
10-29 00:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x07e244…
10-29 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc36aec…
10-29 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xffac52…
10-29 00:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xf5114d…
10-29 00:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xb6044b…
10-29 00:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xdf03f4…
10-28 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2e4940…
10-28 23:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc1169c…
10-28 23:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf1c8c1…
10-28 23:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x975a62…
10-28 22:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6ed02b…
10-28 22:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5b21a0…
10-28 22:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf96c13…
10-28 06:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0x75179b…
10-28 06:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x49b7c4…
10-28 05:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5b91c3…
10-28 05:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0d3030…
10-28 05:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9324e6…
10-28 05:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd1edbb…
10-28 04:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec6aae…