Polished-Good — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$780

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

1,308

Trades

2,814

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-19 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

91% 42% -$797

Crypto

6% 70% +$12

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Politics

0% 17% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 25corhigher	53	$785	443	441	+2	Yes	+$62	04-13 20:08
highest temperature in warsaw on april 14 2026 16c	3	$601	303	302	+0	No	+$3	04-14 17:21
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	11	$527	300	300	+0	Yes	+$7	01-29 01:27
highest temperature in warsaw on april 14 2026 15c	7	$397	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	04-14 17:42
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	9	$397	394	394	+0	Yes	-$54	03-01 04:02
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 12 2026 11c	2	$385	200	199	+1	No	+$10	04-11 02:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 82 83f	5	$306	353	342	+11	No	-$284	04-14 19:33
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 400 419	8	$297	150	150	+0	No	+$1	03-02 12:51
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	4	$283	170	170	+0	No	-$6	03-02 17:07
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	11	$275	325	0	+325	Yes	-$275	04-13 12:13
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	7	$251	140	140	+0	No	+$4	03-01 11:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 11 2026 26corhigher	7	$242	144	144	+0	No	+$2	04-10 20:10
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 84 85f	1	$238	252	0	+252	Yes	-$238	04-14 19:18
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$234	120	120	+0	No	+$4	01-30 23:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$223	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	01-31 10:51
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 10 2026 14corbelow	7	$213	112	112	+0	Yes	+$8	04-10 18:57
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$213	110	110	+0	No	+$1	02-22 10:08
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	12	$211	345	345	+0	No	-$10	02-23 09:52
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	7	$202	117	117	+0	Yes	+$1	02-05 09:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 17corhigher	9	$201	128	128	+0	No	-$4	04-10 19:40
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	3	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$2	01-30 02:47
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 15c	3	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	04-11 23:27
cs2 vit 3dmax 2026 02 02	2	$192	105	105	+0	Vitality	+$18	02-02 16:09
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$190	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	01-26 17:41
highest temperature in mexico city on april 11 2026 23corhigher	19	$185	200	0	+200	Yes	+$15	04-11 09:10
will bad bunny say fuck ice at the super bowl	6	$181	100	100	+0	No	+$5	01-25 07:50
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	12	$181	150	150	+0	No	-$19	04-13 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 6?	16	$175	90	90	+0	No	+$4	05-06 08:24
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	5	$174	140	140	+0	No	-$25	02-08 09:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 16c	5	$171	86	86	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 12:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x578666…
08-19 12:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3bf265…
08-19 11:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x960b47…
08-19 08:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x40a7ab…
08-19 08:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x64fd50…
08-19 07:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x99bc43…
08-19 07:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x8eb59d…
08-19 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xf5a9b8…
08-19 06:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x6850d3…
08-19 06:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x81efdb…
08-19 06:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7844d5…
08-19 06:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x25e44f…
08-19 06:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xaf9f99…
08-19 06:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x021c37…
08-19 06:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x71886c…
08-19 06:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x4bda72…
08-19 06:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xee9fdd…
08-19 06:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x95dfa4…
08-19 06:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x661760…
08-19 06:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x12acd3…
08-19 06:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdddfc7…
08-19 06:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xd4eb56…
08-19 06:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa2770e…
08-19 06:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x2ada9a…
08-19 06:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x2a7293…
08-19 06:03:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xf7590f…
08-19 06:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc6a568…
08-19 06:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xb542a1…
08-19 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7056b2…
08-19 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x50d5e8…
08-19 06:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xc93fe9…
08-18 11:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x1135d8…
08-18 10:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x16a41a…
08-18 10:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc0b1bd…
08-18 10:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7fd929…
08-18 10:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1ed2a4…
08-18 08:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x578386…
08-18 06:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x5d35fc…
08-18 06:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x9a02d8…
08-18 06:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcbc5f6…
08-18 06:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0a7a8b…
08-18 06:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x2989f2…
08-18 06:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xffde3c…
08-18 06:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe3b26a…
08-18 06:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5aadb4…
08-18 06:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x3d70c0…
08-18 06:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x0c9022…
08-18 06:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x90e5b3…
08-18 06:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5317d9…
08-18 06:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xd62f23…
08-18 06:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xcf06d3…
08-18 06:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xac6459…
08-18 06:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x51ff64…
08-18 06:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xe3baf8…
08-18 06:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf6fdc6…
08-17 12:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x231a6a…
08-17 12:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0c3a8c…
08-17 11:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4fd821…
08-17 11:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc4feab…
08-17 11:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6244a5…
08-17 11:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xee9ad6…
08-17 11:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xece156…
08-17 10:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xfa1160…
08-17 10:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x3af7be…
08-17 10:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x9c84a1…
08-17 10:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x3c9b0f…
08-17 09:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x03f378…
08-17 09:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x03d933…
08-17 08:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc35033…
08-17 06:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xacdae2…
08-17 06:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x633bca…
08-17 06:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x19f9f6…
08-17 06:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x763663…
08-17 06:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1bad70…
08-17 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd66df4…
08-17 06:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xaf1f16…
08-17 06:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x0ec23e…
08-17 06:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x242c70…
08-17 06:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x746f06…
08-17 06:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x2c4995…
08-17 06:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x1023e0…
08-17 06:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xaecd90…
08-17 06:17:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x9f1000…
08-17 06:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x650105…
08-17 06:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc91aae…
08-17 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xcd30d0…
08-17 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x425191…
08-17 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x1de38f…
08-17 06:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x720391…
08-17 06:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xbda14f…
08-17 06:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x8ac206…
08-17 06:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x0b3eb8…
08-17 06:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xf3ffa7…
08-17 06:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xf9a706…
08-16 15:46:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xa5afd3…
08-16 15:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x2d94bf…
08-16 15:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xf5c8c5…
08-16 12:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x4ab478…
08-16 10:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x3505f4…
08-16 10:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xf32eb6…