Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 09-22 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

76% 40% -$5

Politics

22% 33% -$3

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-09 08:44
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-19 05:21
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 08:20
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 14:39
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-13 21:57
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-18 20:26
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-18 05:23
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-08 00:44
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-20 21:39
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-17 17:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-13 13:54
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-16 16:23
will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-19 14:14
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-02 19:59
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-30 01:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-03 15:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	1	$1	5	+5	Down	-$1	08-24 16:51
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-30 18:33
spx up or down on august 31 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Down	-$1	08-31 02:35
will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-17 02:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	1	+1	Down	-$1	09-22 18:48
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-25 01:54
will ewy reach 186 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-30 09:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-25 20:27
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-18 14:21
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-20 23:19
spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	08-17 11:24
github com critical incident by august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-22 12:40
will warsh say regime during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-21 15:43
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-29 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 18:48:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf360c2…
09-20 21:39:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9efb99…
09-19 05:21:55	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x32fe33…
09-18 20:26:09	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9871f6…
09-17 17:33:31	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbd878d…
09-16 16:23:27	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd5ef0e…
09-16 08:20:40	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x592680…
09-09 08:44:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcd0b23…
09-09 08:43:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfb9ad3…
09-08 14:39:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa19817…
09-08 00:44:00	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x607d59…
09-07 14:16:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd8ba5c…
09-03 15:13:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c9656…
09-02 19:59:39	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc3ae05…
09-01 06:53:43	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x79e1da…
08-31 18:49:13	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x020d5a…
08-31 10:48:05	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9cd0ab…
08-31 02:35:16	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3efaf1…
08-30 18:33:36	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf2df45…
08-30 09:42:43	will ewy reach 186 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x89b12b…
08-30 01:34:57	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xab4d1b…
08-29 16:33:13	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2cfd38…
08-29 08:31:40	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf25ff1…
08-25 20:27:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44a499…
08-25 10:00:22	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4f4324…
08-25 01:54:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa98a1e…
08-25 01:42:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x137420…
08-24 16:51:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa97ac2…
08-24 08:44:28	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x72383f…
08-24 00:43:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0072b6…
08-23 09:53:30	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in august 20260731154203515	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9dcede…
08-22 12:40:42	github com critical incident by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6532cc…
08-21 15:43:48	will warsh say regime during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x82a99e…
08-21 07:21:06	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0e616e…
08-20 23:19:10	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0c6898…
08-19 14:14:30	will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdac37b…
08-19 01:34:36	will tsla dip to 330 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6678c9…
08-18 14:21:03	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x24208b…
08-18 05:23:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x829817…
08-17 21:20:22	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x230488…
08-17 11:24:49	spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d2912…
08-17 02:54:15	will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4883f…
08-14 17:29:24	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3fec7f…
08-14 05:58:15	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc761de…
08-13 21:57:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x929392…
08-13 13:54:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x03ad7e…