Improbable-Rainbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$157

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

547

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-21 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% +$158

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$170	217	217	+0	Up	+$158	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$73	148	139	+9	open	—	04-26 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$54	74	74	+0	Down	+$40	05-08 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$36	77	27	+50	open	—	05-17 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$30	51	26	+25	open	—	05-17 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$28	38	22	+16	open	—	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$24	51	18	+33	open	—	05-17 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$23	26	13	+13	open	—	05-17 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$19	44	26	+18	Down	+$7	05-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$18	31	9	+22	open	—	05-17 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$18	30	7	+23	open	—	05-17 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$15	13	13	+0	Up	+$11	05-09 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$12	60	0	+60	open	—	05-17 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$12	118	4	+114	open	—	05-20 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$11	20	13	+7	Down	+$3	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$10	245	0	+245	open	—	04-26 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-17 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-26 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-17 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$9	14	5	+8	open	—	05-17 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$9	12	5	+7	open	—	05-20 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$9	18	3	+15	open	—	05-17 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$9	83	0	+83	open	—	04-27 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	04-26 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$8	45	3	+42	open	—	05-20 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$8	12	10	+2	Up	+$4	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$8	119	17	+103	Down	+$2	05-12 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	7	$7	60	3	+57	open	—	05-20 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$7	59	3	+56	open	—	05-17 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 14:19:19	sol updown 5m 1782051300	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x5b98c6…
06-21 13:46:34	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7bef2…
06-21 13:46:19	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x4c31fa…
06-21 13:45:17	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9965aa…
06-21 13:45:14	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x534cd2…
06-21 13:43:40	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0444bf…
06-21 13:43:05	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6983a3…
06-21 13:42:53	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x11e836…
06-21 13:41:25	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x25768a…
06-21 13:40:58	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x299db2…
06-21 13:40:49	btc updown 5m 1782049200	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0f7494…
06-21 13:39:59	btc updown 5m 1782048900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x82aff8…
06-21 13:38:05	btc updown 5m 1782048900	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2d5fd9…
06-21 13:36:38	btc updown 5m 1782048900	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x75a3b7…
06-21 13:36:32	btc updown 5m 1782048900	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x078e38…
06-21 13:31:44	btc updown 5m 1782048600	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcc20c9…
05-20 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1a93b1…
05-20 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6a0689…
05-20 20:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa1d189…
05-20 20:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x5327d2…
05-20 20:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cd298…
05-20 20:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xde0107…
05-20 20:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc5f251…
05-20 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x18f13b…
05-20 20:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf04ecf…
05-20 20:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x436296…
05-20 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdadb8a…
05-20 20:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2e9193…
05-20 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe47463…
05-20 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2104cd…
05-20 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x47ed34…
05-20 20:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x29d657…
05-20 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x86137b…
05-20 20:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9086d7…
05-20 20:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x317c08…
05-20 20:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x881629…
05-20 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9b519c…
05-17 18:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x46354b…
05-17 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x1e85c1…
05-17 18:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x38934a…
05-17 18:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xc5d415…
05-17 18:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xda9437…
05-17 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x145e28…
05-17 18:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x98418c…
05-17 18:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xed6568…
05-17 18:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc5c66d…
05-17 18:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xf4048f…
05-17 17:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x60f264…
05-17 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x0c93f6…
05-17 17:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaf1e85…
05-17 17:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x2909ab…
05-17 17:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xba18f6…
05-17 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x829c1f…
05-17 17:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdcc0c6…
05-17 17:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0xeb33d5…
05-17 17:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa3dc61…
05-17 17:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1c5743…
05-17 17:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa46e22…
05-17 17:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x427019…
05-17 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0x327a5c…
05-17 17:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6e55f3…
05-17 17:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x852422…
05-17 17:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbd23bb…
05-17 17:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x20f1fe…
05-17 17:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xa34b08…
05-17 17:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x198c21…
05-17 17:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5d26ce…
05-17 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdd4f8e…
05-17 17:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbfcd56…
05-17 17:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f572d…
05-17 17:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x80a2e6…
05-17 17:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe7ef0b…
05-17 17:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9fec65…
05-17 17:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x11fbe7…
05-17 17:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2a8628…
05-17 17:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x95804f…
05-17 17:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6379c0…
05-17 17:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3e2311…
05-17 17:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0f39ba…
05-17 17:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x23637e…
05-17 17:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x088720…
05-17 17:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x92c410…
05-17 17:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x59d249…
05-17 17:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3cd8c9…
05-17 17:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0773c2…
05-17 17:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x874bae…
05-17 17:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6c5a62…
05-17 17:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8b2c14…
05-17 17:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3c2b18…
05-17 17:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x4c7183…
05-17 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x2ac600…
05-17 17:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9ea31c…
05-17 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x67be43…
05-17 17:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x444767…
05-17 17:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa2e359…
05-17 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfa0675…
05-17 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc61295…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf26e5c…
05-17 16:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90a48b…
05-17 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9ea794…