Sophisticated-Associate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

664

Trades

3,408

lifetime

Volume

$73.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-20 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 64% -$2,625

Other

33% 63% -$1,975

Sports

5% 81% +$28

Politics

1% 0% -$385

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	5	$1.4K	774	774	+0	Yes	+$108	04-25 15:46
lol lgd edg 2026 04 23 game2	15	$1.4K	824	824	+0	LGD Gaming	+$68	04-23 11:15
lol gx th 2026 04 06 game2	19	$1.2K	1,090	1,090	+0	Team Heretics	+$36	04-06 16:37
lol fnc g2 2026 04 05 game2	3	$973	532	532	+0	Fnatic	+$90	04-05 18:31
lol vit mkoi 2026 04 06 game2	20	$837	826	826	+0	Movistar KOI	-$254	04-06 19:12
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	7	$596	400	400	+0	Top Esports	+$96	05-06 13:26
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	9	$590	550	300	+250	LGD Gaming	+$259	04-30 11:41
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$584	400	400	+0	Gen.G	+$44	05-02 10:19
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	7	$561	300	300	+0	JD Gaming	+$21	04-25 09:55
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	7	$551	400	400	+0	Dplus KIA	-$63	05-02 09:27
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	7	$551	400	400	+0	HANJIN BRION	-$35	05-03 08:52
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	13	$527	509	506	+3	Ultra Prime	+$101	04-26 10:54
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	5	$521	300	300	+0	JD Gaming	+$79	05-06 14:19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	8	$503	390	390	+0	T1	-$107	05-01 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	9	$486	508	198	+310	Up	-$389	04-27 04:55
nba den okc 2026 02 27	4	$465	300	300	+0	Thunder	+$135	02-28 05:36
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	8	$463	650	200	+450	T1	-$179	04-26 09:25
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1	12	$438	730	300	+430	Hanwha Life Esports	-$390	06-12 09:02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	8	$404	300	300	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$195	04-25 12:37
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	3	$388	480	0	+480	Team WE	-$388	05-02 07:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$387	748	748	+0	Yes	-$385	03-01 17:42
nba bkn mil 2026 04 10	2	$382	200	200	+0	Bucks	+$18	04-11 02:06
nba tor ind 2026 01 14	7	$378	200	200	+0	Raptors	+$22	01-15 02:28
lol los lev 2026 04 05 game2	7	$373	200	200	+0	LOS	+$27	04-05 17:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 16:30 UTC	2	$370	200	200	+0	Down	+$10	03-08 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	43	$369	500	300	+200	Up	-$37	04-26 16:00
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$360	200	200	+0	JD Gaming	+$40	04-25 12:05
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	7	$358	232	232	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$106	04-25 15:57
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner	3	$358	200	200	+0	MVK Esports	+$42	04-26 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$357	400	100	+300	Down	-$17	04-28 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 06:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe4155c…
10-19 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xbee2d6…
10-19 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x1f473a…
10-19 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbf0d88…
10-18 14:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xc5b4de…
10-18 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc0b4ce…
10-18 12:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x9bd377…
10-18 12:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe7b94b…
10-18 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5cac3e…
10-18 09:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe69ce6…
10-18 09:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd83cff…
10-18 07:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf8a9ec…
10-18 07:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfffd9a…
10-15 14:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7ea7bd…
10-15 08:14:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xce24f5…
10-13 08:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd12d2b…
10-13 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xdcb1f7…
10-11 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x191ff0…
10-11 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x118a9a…
10-11 12:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc24551…
10-11 12:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc15bb8…
10-11 12:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3080e5…
10-11 12:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27583d…
10-11 12:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4d9e4e…
10-10 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xbc393c…
10-10 09:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x666382…
10-10 09:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8c0e75…
10-09 11:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xef6ca2…
10-09 11:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x061558…
10-09 11:08:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x95b87e…
10-09 11:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8ee361…
10-09 11:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x20d8c2…
10-09 11:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x16da54…
10-09 00:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8eb65f…
10-09 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4e93c6…
10-08 01:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x855ba9…
10-08 01:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcbe69d…
10-08 01:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf1a652…
10-06 00:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x37d02a…
10-06 00:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1c52b0…
10-06 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb1f036…
10-06 00:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x3e7118…
09-09 10:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe03aba…
09-09 10:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xeaf466…
09-09 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3317df…
09-09 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x627fc1…
09-09 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x1cc060…
09-09 10:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4ef63c…
09-09 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xbcb064…
09-09 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x9d2268…
09-09 10:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x80aa93…
09-09 10:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xe4e05d…
09-09 10:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa598f3…
09-09 10:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf68422…
09-09 10:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x7039de…
09-09 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xd852ff…
09-09 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xb023d5…
09-09 10:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x950a09…
09-09 10:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x248a81…
09-09 09:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0fcc17…
09-09 09:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb6a003…
09-09 09:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe1403f…
09-09 09:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x02f10a…
09-09 09:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x203488…
09-09 09:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb88896…
09-09 09:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd7521b…
09-09 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe960ac…
09-09 09:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfed6fc…
09-09 09:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xd552fd…
09-09 09:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x3e47ec…
09-09 09:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xae7ca3…
09-09 09:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x82e1cc…
09-09 09:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x81b009…
09-09 09:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0b5b4f…
09-09 09:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xca865e…
09-09 09:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x897965…
09-09 09:19:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xe93bef…
09-09 09:18:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd53a11…
09-09 09:18:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xc67fe5…
09-09 09:18:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x71c4c0…
09-09 09:18:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf6ad65…
09-08 20:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb8c3c5…
09-08 20:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x66b3f6…
09-08 20:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0464c4…
09-08 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x75a3dc…
09-08 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6ad9df…
09-08 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7c497c…
09-08 20:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xf10f06…
09-08 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xfd0c7f…
09-08 20:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2b96c0…
09-08 20:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xfa5a2e…
09-08 20:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x81e079…
09-08 20:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x39b18b…
09-08 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf63929…
09-08 20:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x751650…
09-08 20:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6e3e08…
09-08 20:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2f359c…
09-08 18:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a11e1…
09-08 18:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2a1e8a…
09-08 18:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x0a67dc…