Honest-Building — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

+$94

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

788

lifetime

Volume

$275.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$349

Open exposure

$1.51K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-02 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

38% 29% +$1,171

Crypto

34% 57% +$2,292

Politics

12% 50% +$5,097

Sports

10% 27% -$10,104

Tech

7% 67% -$370

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	+12,070	$1,328	12¢	$1.4K	+$60	11-08 20:43
vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	No	+78	$64	95¢	$75	+$10	07-01 20:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	+55	$29	94¢	$52	+$23	11-02 23:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$32.1K	30,900	30,900	+0	No	+$3,090	09-04 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	100	$26.7K	37,423	31,423	+6,000	No	-$3,133	06-15 17:17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	42	$24.0K	26,449	11,449	+15,000	Yes	-$7,531	09-18 16:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	86	$22.4K	21,223	21,223	+0	No	-$4,350	06-27 17:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	42	$20.5K	27,897	0	+27,897	No	+$7,435	05-08 21:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	107	$20.3K	95,486	0	+95,486	No	+$10,127	04-29 20:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	2	$15.5K	12,470	12,470	+0	No	+$5,987	10-27 15:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	23	$13.3K	21,968	1,362	+20,605	Yes	+$7,421	06-14 23:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	77	$11.7K	10,864	7,575	+3,289	Yes	+$468	06-14 21:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	6	$8.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$218	06-12 13:09
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$7.9K	17,000	0	+17,000	No	-$7,922	06-04 19:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	1	$7.9K	15,397	0	+15,397	Yes	-$7,852	04-25 19:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	10	$6.3K	5,318	5,318	+0	No	+$262	06-12 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	5	$5.1K	6,300	0	+6,300	No	+$1,197	05-30 15:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$5.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$850	06-12 13:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$4.5K	4,583	4,583	+0	open	—	10-28 04:28
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	5	$4.5K	5,592	1,005	+4,587	No	+$1,974	10-27 18:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 218pt5	57	$4.3K	7,410	0	+7,410	Under	+$3,065	06-05 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	2	$4.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$1,000	10-29 16:54
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	6	$3.6K	13,067	0	+13,067	Yes	-$3,579	09-18 16:06
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	Knicks	-$3,200	06-03 01:52
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	4	$2.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$1,200	05-30 15:13
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	45	$2.5K	4,000	0	+4,000	Knicks	-$2,480	06-03 22:07
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 9pt5	2	$2.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	Knicks	-$30	06-05 18:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	24,000	0	+24,000	Yes	-$2,200	06-15 01:29
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	24	$2.2K	2,049	2,049	+0	Spurs	-$13	06-08 16:37
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	1	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Under	+$1,960	06-02 20:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	2	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$234	09-18 16:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	9	$1.6K	2,066	2,066	+0	No	+$685	10-30 02:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	1	$1.3K	12,070	0	+12,070	open	—	11-08 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 20:43:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	12,070	11¢	$1,328	0x04a9f2…
11-02 23:54:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0xa817ec…
10-30 02:14:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x4d4026…
10-30 02:01:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,850	56¢	$1,029	0x02d934…
10-30 02:00:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	215	55¢	$119	0x811f68…
10-30 01:32:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x11129a…
10-30 01:27:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc2e7b1…
10-30 01:23:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x679017…
10-29 23:33:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0xadc32f…
10-29 23:33:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	144	23¢	$33	0x31ea83…
10-29 23:32:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x00df81…
10-29 23:32:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x80c130…
10-29 23:30:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x8413dc…
10-29 23:27:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	564	23¢	$127	0x594daf…
10-29 23:26:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	564	22¢	$125	0xc311b9…
10-29 16:54:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	5,000	52¢	$2,600	0x36a780…
10-29 16:07:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	5,000	32¢	$1,600	0x66485a…
10-28 04:28:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4,583	62¢	$2,854	0x008d3a…
10-27 18:52:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	637	96¢	$609	0x08b76d…
10-27 16:21:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,778	38¢	$667	0xe7c885…
10-27 16:21:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	812	38¢	$305	0x8de5ac…
10-27 16:16:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xcb3c09…
10-27 16:14:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,976	36¢	$709	0xa07e4e…
10-27 15:58:47	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	363	96¢	$347	0x9d8c54…
10-27 15:56:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8bbc53…
10-27 15:54:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	12,470	86¢	$10,724	0x1b3033…
10-19 04:09:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	4,370	65¢	$2,840	0x3c4d68…
10-19 04:09:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	12,470	38¢	$4,737	0xb342e5…
10-16 01:16:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,222	60¢	$733	0xa4b00e…
09-18 16:18:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,975	88¢	$1,744	0x070f29…
09-18 16:18:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xc13365…
09-18 16:17:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	3,193	60¢	$1,916	0xb8a491…
09-18 16:17:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	177	60¢	$106	0x41a266…
09-18 16:17:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x89f641…
09-18 16:17:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	177	60¢	$106	0x8b54d6…
09-18 16:17:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	174	60¢	$104	0x310b5d…
09-18 16:17:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	177	60¢	$106	0x090594…
09-18 16:16:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	179	60¢	$107	0x90b32b…
09-18 16:16:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	178	60¢	$107	0xb36f2f…
09-18 16:16:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc6b913…
09-18 16:16:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0xb19ee6…
09-18 16:16:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	176	60¢	$106	0x8306d2…
09-18 16:16:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	179	60¢	$107	0xe1bc3f…
09-18 16:16:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	136	60¢	$82	0xcf1799…
09-18 16:15:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x033c92…
09-18 16:15:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0x249578…
09-18 16:13:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xf3d928…
09-18 16:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x8a74d8…
09-18 16:12:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xf8de3c…
09-18 16:12:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x20f9ac…
09-18 16:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	6,000	61¢	$3,660	0xcfb6e0…
09-18 16:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,116	61¢	$680	0x527bcb…
09-18 16:08:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	32	61¢	$19	0x9a6c01…
09-18 16:07:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,000	61¢	$1,220	0x49f7dc…
09-18 16:06:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	7,993	27¢	$2,158	0x153252…
09-18 16:04:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x36ec75…
09-18 16:04:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	3,000	28¢	$840	0xa0282f…
09-18 16:03:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	1,117	28¢	$313	0x1ac920…
09-18 16:03:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1bc463…
09-18 16:03:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	294	28¢	$82	0xc438f3…
09-18 16:03:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	657	28¢	$184	0x7b71f0…
09-18 15:56:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	128	61¢	$78	0xc4e476…
09-18 15:52:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	691	61¢	$422	0xd501b5…
09-11 17:47:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	7,901	72¢	$5,688	0xa0c2e3…
09-11 17:04:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x233088…
09-11 16:56:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	2,160	72¢	$1,555	0x5b8ac0…
09-09 04:38:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	888	59¢	$524	0x917dad…
09-09 04:12:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xfb20c1…
09-09 02:21:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x425ceb…
09-08 22:44:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0x1c97f7…
09-08 19:11:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x37840c…
09-08 17:56:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8892cb…
09-08 16:52:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,413	59¢	$834	0x73dd13…
09-08 05:36:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	932	59¢	$550	0x035c10…
09-08 04:04:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x3e3f19…
09-08 03:44:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x78018e…
09-08 03:44:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	3,998	58¢	$2,319	0xdd851f…
09-08 03:43:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	4,000	58¢	$2,320	0x15494a…
09-04 02:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15,914	57¢	$9,071	0x1ba988…
09-04 02:52:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x8be775…
09-04 02:52:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x4c7400…
09-04 02:49:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd180ae…
09-04 02:49:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	123	57¢	$70	0x36f854…
09-04 02:47:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe24576…
09-04 02:45:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x30520d…
09-04 02:44:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9ac322…
09-04 02:38:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x146b31…
09-04 02:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,148	57¢	$654	0x9fadce…
09-04 02:36:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0xa717ff…
09-04 02:36:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x0e3d69…
09-04 02:35:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	57¢	$76	0x9451e0…
09-04 02:34:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	232	57¢	$132	0x2701f3…
09-04 02:34:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	510	57¢	$291	0xdb634a…
09-04 02:34:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x7251ca…
09-04 02:34:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,600	57¢	$3,762	0x6d64d1…
09-04 02:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,862	57¢	$3,341	0x9f93b5…
09-04 02:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x572f33…
08-31 03:02:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,900	47¢	$14,523	0x4854d0…
07-01 20:45:01	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x33e900…
07-01 20:44:38	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	No	BUY	48	82¢	$40	0x45df6e…