Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

2,324

Trades

14,802

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-09 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 36% -$2,914

Politics

7% 7% -$1,920

Other

1% 24% -$26

Sports

0% 26% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1296 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+10	$2	15¢	$1	-$1	11-06 15:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-75	-$1	2¢	$-1	$0	11-07 18:13
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	-2	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	11-07 18:26
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-5	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	11-07 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	50	$245	1,570	707	+864	No	-$156	02-01 01:02
solana up or down january 25 3am et	22	$195	300	150	+150	Down	+$105	01-25 10:12
solana up or down january 25 4pm et	16	$191	270	120	+150	Up	+$49	01-25 22:39
ethereum up or down january 25 3am et	14	$167	360	130	+230	Down	+$93	01-25 10:12
xrp up or down january 30 12pm et	27	$147	146	150	-4	Down	+$19	01-30 19:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:15 UTC	23	$140	200	90	+110	Up	+$39	02-03 10:31
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	35	$135	1,628	0	+1,628	No	-$135	02-10 23:09
xrp up or down january 25 3am et	13	$119	270	80	+190	Down	+$41	01-25 10:01
xrp up or down january 30 2pm et	13	$117	155	85	+70	Down	+$53	01-30 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	26	$111	160	160	+0	Down	+$48	11-07 14:53
solana up or down february 2 6am et	15	$109	140	80	+60	Down	+$41	02-02 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	12	$109	140	70	+70	Down	+$30	11-07 15:19
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	21	$109	611	611	+0	No	-$47	02-15 06:00
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	32	$108	838	0	+838	No	-$108	01-25 18:38
xrp up or down february 3 3am et	20	$108	144	80	+64	Down	+$38	02-03 09:02
solana up or down february 2 9am et	15	$106	170	70	+100	Up	+$27	02-02 15:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:15 UTC	18	$104	170	110	+60	Up	+$53	02-03 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	24	$101	170	170	+0	Down	+$33	11-06 17:54
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	24	$101	1,271	10	+1,261	No	-$95	02-01 13:18
solana up or down january 26 3am et	19	$100	120	75	+45	Down	+$24	01-26 10:17
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:30 UTC	16	$95	150	60	+90	Up	+$15	01-31 21:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	15	$94	1,717	1,460	+257	No	-$22	01-25 22:43
solana up or down february 1 8am et	10	$94	120	60	+60	Down	+$26	02-01 14:06
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	20	$94	1,033	639	+394	No	-$65	01-25 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 18:15 UTC	7	$93	180	40	+140	Up	+$65	01-18 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	19	$91	135	60	+75	Up	+$12	11-06 14:25
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	17	$91	120	60	+60	Down	+$28	11-07 14:45
solana up or down february 2 5am et	28	$90	150	70	+80	Up	+$17	02-02 11:17
solana up or down february 2 8am et	10	$89	120	60	+60	Up	+$24	02-02 14:02
xrp up or down february 3 6am et	13	$89	100	60	+40	Up	+$24	02-03 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 15:36:37	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x37de00…
11-09 15:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25d1ed…
11-09 15:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc99655…
11-09 15:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xe65616…
11-09 15:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x45e2ee…
11-09 15:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x3d0708…
11-09 15:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xef2e6a…
11-09 15:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x42a5d3…
11-09 15:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x422094…
11-09 15:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0d57f8…
11-09 15:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x857d23…
11-09 15:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x2c1779…
11-09 15:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe02c6a…
11-09 15:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xc70bd3…
11-09 15:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xa08f88…
11-09 15:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x28882f…
11-09 15:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x1d97a9…
11-09 15:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x087262…
11-09 15:30:40	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xea9fcc…
11-09 15:30:34	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8342f9…
11-09 15:30:34	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2fa633…
11-09 15:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x3177ca…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xca03a3…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa278e5…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x995be9…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x3af0bc…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x359aa6…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x249a15…
11-09 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x02d345…
11-09 15:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x6445cd…
11-09 15:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x61903d…
11-09 15:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x30dd2b…
11-09 15:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xd8acf5…
11-09 15:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa3fb7a…
11-09 15:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x20e141…
11-09 15:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0d5e04…
11-09 15:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfef146…
11-09 15:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xa25b17…
11-09 15:25:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0d5947…
11-09 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xf700e0…
11-09 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8dcd26…
11-09 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x84cf7f…
11-09 15:24:07	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x700e52…
11-09 15:23:36	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x73752f…
11-09 15:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xef6d0a…
11-09 15:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xe156fd…
11-09 15:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x7a01d7…
11-09 15:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb3cff0…
11-09 15:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x25eb6f…
11-09 15:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0dcf16…
11-09 15:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x572a00…
11-09 15:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbf9d7f…
11-09 15:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6f6710…
11-09 15:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xe63349…
11-09 15:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2f19bd…
11-09 15:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xde6074…
11-09 15:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x5c9bad…
11-09 15:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xf00246…
11-09 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xeeaccd…
11-09 15:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xd5259d…
11-09 15:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xa337e0…
11-09 15:17:18	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x937da1…
11-09 15:17:18	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3ea8ed…
11-09 15:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf8e8ea…
11-09 15:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xeccdd7…
11-09 15:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xd69453…
11-09 15:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x4b1222…
11-09 15:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x294484…
11-09 15:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x195628…
11-09 15:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x08a187…
11-09 15:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x80da39…
11-09 15:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b4bf9…
11-09 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf23c67…
11-09 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x1ef9a6…
11-09 15:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x3f7f90…
11-09 15:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x05856f…
11-09 15:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x793daa…
11-09 15:10:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1725ef…
11-09 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xe1dd36…
11-09 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xae71f0…
11-09 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x67881b…
11-09 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x211419…
11-09 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x039d12…
11-09 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xe21d86…
11-09 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xd4b5ef…
11-09 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9f03ca…
11-09 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x7b1dd7…
11-09 15:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6232b7…
11-09 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x038006…
11-09 15:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x45c015…
11-09 15:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xa5397c…
11-09 15:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x34810e…
11-09 15:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xe29b8f…
11-09 15:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x563871…
11-09 15:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd9a8cd…
11-09 15:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc3fcd3…
11-09 15:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd5a0c6…
11-09 15:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xeef9dc…
11-09 15:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xa6eaeb…
11-09 15:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9e3920…