Simplistic-Selection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

15,594

Trades

48,506

lifetime

Volume

$174.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-27 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% -$3,363

Other

2% 32% -$447

Sports

0% 42% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1761 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	68	$185	279	60	+219	Down	-$25	05-07 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:35 UTC	1	$183	185	0	+185	Up	+$2	04-21 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:10 UTC	1	$179	183	0	+183	Down	+$4	04-21 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:00 UTC	1	$169	180	0	+180	Down	+$12	04-21 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:50 UTC	1	$162	169	0	+169	Down	+$7	04-21 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:45 UTC	1	$156	163	0	+163	Up	+$7	04-21 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:40 UTC	1	$153	156	0	+156	Down	+$3	04-21 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC	1	$148	154	0	+154	Up	+$6	04-21 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:20 UTC	1	$146	148	0	+148	Down	+$2	04-21 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:00 UTC	1	$140	146	0	+146	Up	+$6	04-21 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:55 UTC	1	$139	140	0	+140	Up	+$1	04-21 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:45 UTC	1	$138	139	0	+139	Up	+$1	04-21 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:35 UTC	3	$135	138	0	+138	Up	+$3	04-21 15:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC	8	$135	215	0	+215	Down	-$135	08-09 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:30 UTC	4	$132	135	0	+135	Down	+$3	04-21 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:25 UTC	1	$130	132	0	+132	Down	+$3	04-21 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:20 UTC	1	$127	130	0	+130	Down	+$3	04-21 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:15 UTC	1	$125	128	0	+128	Up	+$3	04-21 15:18
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 16:00 UTC	8	$122	173	0	+173	Down	-$122	08-09 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:35 UTC	4	$122	63	63	+0	Down	-$4	04-21 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	53	$116	230	0	+230	Down	-$6	05-05 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:05 UTC	1	$112	126	0	+126	Up	+$14	04-21 15:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC	6	$110	147	0	+147	Down	+$37	08-09 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:50 UTC	1	$108	112	0	+112	Down	+$4	04-21 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:45 UTC	1	$107	108	0	+108	Down	+$1	04-21 14:48
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	6	$107	149	0	+149	Up	+$42	08-09 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	45	$106	186	0	+186	Down	-$34	05-06 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:40 UTC	1	$104	107	0	+107	Up	+$3	04-21 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	48	$104	210	0	+210	Down	+$1	05-06 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	16	$102	195	0	+195	Down	-$5	05-02 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x3a7a21…
10-27 10:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x27019e…
10-27 09:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdc8a8a…
10-27 09:31:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xffefb6…
10-27 09:17:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xa7fe42…
10-27 09:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf5f456…
10-27 08:46:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x555367…
10-27 08:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0357ed…
10-27 08:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x55dc0d…
10-27 08:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x1dc6bb…
10-27 07:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd8f408…
10-27 07:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x2b8b1e…
10-27 07:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xabada3…
10-27 07:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4f5dd7…
10-27 06:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x14d1e9…
10-27 06:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x0d9cb7…
10-27 06:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x836ad4…
10-27 06:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xeceff3…
10-27 05:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb622c3…
10-27 05:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x69c327…
10-27 05:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x02f20f…
10-27 04:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x9fffa8…
10-27 04:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x82087a…
10-27 04:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2e614a…
10-27 04:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd0e4a3…
10-27 03:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x12d2ad…
10-27 03:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x7c1556…
10-27 03:01:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x183eb6…
10-27 02:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xddc179…
10-27 02:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x09b9a3…
10-27 02:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x42f0cc…
10-27 02:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb64d65…
10-27 01:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x3c7db2…
10-27 01:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x37fb62…
10-27 01:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbf30e0…
10-27 01:02:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xfeba7c…
10-27 00:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x8dc928…
10-27 00:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe482a7…
10-27 00:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe03134…
10-27 00:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4ff0d2…
10-26 23:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x60c4d7…
10-26 23:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0703b1…
10-26 23:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x291850…
10-26 22:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x998e7c…
10-26 22:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x81fa7e…
10-26 22:25:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x38a4f1…
10-26 22:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x958ae5…
10-26 21:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x250c3a…
10-26 21:32:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x53eec0…
10-26 21:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x6674df…
10-26 21:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x67b8a8…
10-26 20:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8471ee…
10-26 20:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x2e37bf…
10-26 20:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x3a12f2…
10-26 20:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7a1ddd…
10-26 19:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x933075…
10-26 19:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xeb8589…
10-26 19:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x654b87…
10-26 19:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x07c4d2…
10-26 18:46:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xde3cfc…
10-26 18:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3b7dc5…
10-26 18:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf96fba…
10-26 18:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xbb4933…
10-26 17:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x109839…
10-26 17:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x305d3c…
10-26 17:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8bea78…
10-26 17:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa8f177…
10-26 16:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8f2630…
10-26 16:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x082aa4…
10-26 16:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x5011a4…
10-26 16:02:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x92accd…
10-26 15:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2043e5…
10-26 15:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x808ae3…
10-26 15:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbb323d…
10-26 15:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x4f6910…
10-26 14:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xdeef53…
10-26 14:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x02ece2…
10-26 14:17:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x5639d5…
10-26 14:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xcaec7f…
10-26 13:46:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7f3970…
10-26 13:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x40ce22…
10-26 13:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x05cf18…
10-26 13:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x20c319…
10-26 12:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x352b6e…
10-26 12:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x418108…
10-26 12:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x047d75…
10-26 11:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x14e2d5…
10-26 11:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc46299…
10-26 11:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa08d50…
10-26 11:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x418391…
10-26 10:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6c8cab…
10-26 10:34:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x6ac5cb…
10-26 10:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd05d68…
10-26 10:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x2deaa5…
10-26 10:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x74cf86…
10-26 09:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3633bf…
10-26 09:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8f4d5b…
10-26 09:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe09025…
10-26 09:04:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x2f024e…
10-26 08:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3793eb…