Flaky-Campaign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$619.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$234

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

1,017

Trades

10,411

lifetime

Volume

$10.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.05K

Open exposure

$30.2K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 01:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Sports

81% 50% -$756,993

Other

19% 48% +$137,098

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers		+46,870	$30,466	64¢	$30.2K	-$234	10-27 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb tor sea 2026 07 04	17	$136.8K	231,659	+231,659	Seattle Mariners	+$94,858	07-04 18:42
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	18	$105.5K	153,843	+153,843	Milwaukee Brewers	+$48,356	06-02 15:07
mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	16	$99.6K	146,671	+146,671	Los Angeles Angels	-$99,569	06-07 18:32
mlb wsh oak 2026 07 17	33	$95.2K	180,652	+180,652	Washington Nationals	+$85,454	07-17 15:16
mlb sea nyy 2026 08 13	8	$93.3K	158,066	+158,066	Seattle Mariners	-$93,259	08-13 15:35
Spread: Lions (-6.5)	2	$89.5K	175,625	+175,625	Lions	+$24,912	09-27 14:17
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	4	$89.3K	137,405	+137,405	Milwaukee Brewers	+$48,092	10-04 00:23
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	4	$88.2K	170,521	+170,521	Texans	-$54,811	10-18 13:25
mlb phi mil 2026 06 13	39	$87.4K	144,129	+144,129	Philadelphia Phillies	-$87,406	06-13 15:09
mlb min ari 2026 06 19	2	$86.8K	140,000	+140,000	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$53,200	06-20 00:01
mlb oak kc 2026 08 19	1	$85.3K	137,561	+137,561	Kansas City Royals	+$52,273	08-19 21:00
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$83.7K	137,184	+137,184	Cleveland Guardians	-$83,682	10-12 15:05
mlb cws tor 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	67	$83.2K	146,401	+146,401	Under	-$83,187	07-18 18:55
mlb det sea 2026 08 05	3	$82.8K	190,271	+190,271	Seattle Mariners	-$54,807	08-06 01:52
mlb chc mil 2026 06 26	6	$82.3K	118,960	+118,960	Milwaukee Brewers	+$36,693	06-26 21:03
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	6	$73.9K	127,044	+127,044	Los Angeles Angels	-$73,894	05-30 15:17
mlb sf sea 2026 07 17	84	$73.2K	117,558	+117,558	San Francisco Giants	-$73,250	07-18 02:04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	14	$73.2K	136,029	+136,029	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$73,168	09-02 19:15
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$71.2K	125,000	+125,000	Milwaukee Brewers	+$53,750	06-01 22:35
mlb atl sd 2026 06 22	4	$70.6K	142,603	+142,603	San Diego Padres	-$70,583	06-23 00:07
mlb laa min 2026 07 10	35	$69.9K	122,424	+122,424	Los Angeles Angels	-$69,928	07-10 16:39
mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	1	$68.0K	121,445	+121,445	San Diego Padres	+$53,436	09-30 15:05
mlb wsh mil 2026 04 11	1	$65.2K	105,200	+105,200	Washington Nationals	-$65,224	04-11 16:54
mlb tb mil 2026 03 30	11	$63.2K	105,434	+105,434	Tampa Bay Rays	-$63,212	03-30 23:40
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	7	$63.0K	105,606	+105,606	Minnesota Twins	-$57,894	09-16 21:22
mlb tor hou 2026 08 05	22	$62.9K	95,861	+95,861	Toronto Blue Jays	-$62,864	08-05 15:20
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08 spread away 3pt5	209	$62.3K	118,764	+118,764	Miami	-$62,305	01-06 03:45
mlb ari mia 2026 06 09	5	$61.9K	109,510	+109,510	Miami Marlins	+$47,650	06-09 15:06
mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	1	$61.2K	120,000	+120,000	Seattle Mariners	+$58,800	06-09 15:15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	34	$58.5K	101,508	+101,508	Seattle Mariners	+$42,997	05-30 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:39:02	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd766a9…
10-29 01:38:43	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,928	40¢	$771	0x32b65f…
10-29 01:38:14	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10,101	80¢	$8,081	0x453fc3…
10-29 00:17:53	Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	17,445	49¢	$8,548	0xd5eedb…
10-29 00:09:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	628	43¢	$270	0x204735…
10-29 00:09:11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x771879…
10-29 00:08:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x50d9f2…
10-29 00:07:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc8a833…
10-29 00:07:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xa3cf32…
10-28 23:49:41	Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	21,700	54¢	$11,718	0xdb0c1a…
10-27 23:37:35	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3,696	39¢	$1,441	0x128a8f…
10-27 23:32:14	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	9,016	39¢	$3,516	0xb84325…
10-27 23:26:24	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	164	39¢	$64	0x934842…
10-27 23:18:02	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	124	39¢	$48	0xf2d10f…
10-27 22:12:14	Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	1,393	65¢	$905	0x301fdd…
10-27 21:26:33	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5,468	53¢	$2,898	0x47d709…
10-27 21:24:29	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,229	53¢	$651	0x0ac332…
10-27 21:20:24	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	28,059	53¢	$14,871	0xc70d28…
10-27 21:16:05	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,765	53¢	$1,465	0x588da4…
10-27 21:14:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	30,722	53¢	$16,283	0x17d882…
10-27 19:32:45	Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	21,223	65¢	$13,795	0xd6bcf3…
10-27 19:27:50	Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	24,255	65¢	$15,766	0x0768bf…
10-27 00:13:14	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x287dcc…
10-26 23:38:08	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc42c3a…
10-26 23:38:08	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	2,451	49¢	$1,201	0xc0179f…
10-26 22:57:26	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb56da4…
10-26 22:49:06	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	992	49¢	$486	0x74acbf…
10-26 22:49:06	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	2,134	49¢	$1,046	0x0e3417…
10-26 22:06:44	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	118	49¢	$58	0xa39ca4…
10-26 21:29:41	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	962	49¢	$471	0x95b492…
10-26 21:25:32	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb2b26…
10-26 21:01:24	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x4e3d3e…
10-26 21:00:14	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xa378ad…
10-26 20:59:24	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x91dec5…
10-26 20:58:38	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	85	49¢	$42	0xd6c2ea…
10-26 20:57:35	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x6c16fa…
10-26 20:51:35	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x640fbc…
10-26 20:41:41	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6017f7…
10-26 20:40:05	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x10cbf9…
10-26 20:22:20	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x2bf21d…
10-26 20:17:03	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	142	49¢	$70	0x6b2e91…
10-26 20:03:45	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xec42bf…
10-26 20:00:11	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xb580ed…
10-26 19:59:18	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x179791…
10-26 19:40:47	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	116	49¢	$57	0x88db05…
10-26 19:36:44	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x33af7d…
10-26 19:35:29	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0xa0cd22…
10-26 19:35:08	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x0e4135…
10-26 19:15:50	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	85	49¢	$42	0x661a0b…
10-26 15:05:27	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	115,000	49¢	$56,350	0x05aec7…
10-26 00:26:27	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	2,572	53¢	$1,363	0xca56bf…
10-26 00:26:24	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdbcde5…
10-26 00:26:20	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xe0c013…
10-26 00:22:59	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xfc6cdc…
10-26 00:22:57	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	7,500	54¢	$4,050	0x0de975…
10-26 00:22:29	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xfc0203…
10-26 00:20:57	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x93abfa…
10-25 22:09:38	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	5,800	55¢	$3,190	0xc3b9e1…
10-25 20:16:00	Packers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5	Over	BUY	4,321	53¢	$2,290	0xb1fb0b…
10-25 20:15:02	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x8ddf60…
10-25 19:56:45	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf8304c…
10-25 19:20:27	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0xe48441…
10-25 19:20:08	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x62a9e5…
10-25 19:17:18	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	2,856	52¢	$1,485	0xd92c0a…
10-25 16:17:17	Spread: Panthers (-6.5)	Panthers	BUY	3,166	37¢	$1,171	0x5fec2f…
10-25 15:09:38	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	36,526	52¢	$18,994	0xf31596…
10-25 15:02:20	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	5,430	51¢	$2,769	0x1106ce…
10-25 15:00:09	Spread: Texans (-10.5)	Texans	BUY	50,777	49¢	$24,881	0x14b41d…
10-25 14:54:05	Spread: Jets (-4.5)	Dolphins	BUY	63,312	52¢	$32,922	0xc345cc…
10-25 14:49:44	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	25,381	50¢	$12,690	0xf6440b…
10-25 13:22:29	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x956d84…
10-25 13:17:47	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0xf7c95f…
10-25 13:17:15	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	189	47¢	$89	0x67c3ca…
10-25 00:45:21	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Houston	BUY	15,741	49¢	$7,713	0x8386aa…
10-24 19:23:53	Spread: Iowa (-7.5)	Minnesota	BUY	4,670	50¢	$2,335	0x31858e…
10-24 19:13:48	Spread: Ball State (-14.5)	Ball State	BUY	1,944	49¢	$953	0xc5ef2c…
10-24 19:13:35	Spread: Ball State (-14.5)	Ball State	BUY	1,500	49¢	$735	0x9a353f…
10-24 19:13:35	Spread: Ball State (-14.5)	Ball State	BUY	16,556	49¢	$8,112	0x8f6f8d…
10-24 19:10:33	Spread: Iowa (-7.5)	Minnesota	BUY	25,381	50¢	$12,690	0xce78ab…
10-24 16:58:21	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	South Carolina	BUY	77,700	55¢	$42,735	0xc17ace…
10-24 15:51:27	California vs. SMU: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	1,392	50¢	$696	0xdac4e5…
10-24 15:49:38	California vs. SMU: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	473	50¢	$237	0x629be3…
10-24 15:09:47	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	11,126	51¢	$5,674	0x669550…
10-24 14:55:26	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	1,200	52¢	$624	0x27b333…
10-24 14:54:44	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x599a1d…
10-24 14:54:32	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	14,387	52¢	$7,481	0x8ba5b0…
10-24 14:53:41	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	140	51¢	$71	0xd68cff…
10-24 14:51:45	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	2,463	53¢	$1,306	0x12c95f…
10-24 14:50:45	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x736083…
10-24 14:50:44	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb60dd9…
10-24 14:50:44	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x4d1f5b…
10-24 14:50:44	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x24892a…
10-24 14:50:36	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x3e3310…
10-24 14:50:29	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x626585…
10-24 14:50:09	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xaa8536…
10-24 14:50:03	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xaf1531…
10-24 14:50:00	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa222a4…
10-24 14:49:57	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xad521e…
10-24 14:49:57	Baylor vs. Kansas: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x484ac1…
10-24 13:52:26	Spread: BYU (-7.5)	UCF	BUY	12,141	53¢	$6,435	0x9b95b3…