Imperturbable-Horst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$145

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 28% $-1

Politics

4% 100% +$4

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$26	2,525	0	+2,525	Down	$-26	05-10 00:49
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	2	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	05-10 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$6	17	0	+17	Up	$-6	05-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-10 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$4	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$4	72	0	+72	Down	$-4	05-10 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$3	11	0	+11	Down	$-3	05-09 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$3	23	0	+23	Up	$-3	05-10 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	Down	+$8	05-10 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$3	23	0	+23	Up	$-3	05-10 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-09 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	55	0	+55	Down	$-2	05-10 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-14 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-10 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-09 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Down	$-2	05-10 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-09 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-09 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-10 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Down	$-2	05-10 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	05-09 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-09 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	16	0	+16	Up	$-2	05-10 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-09 22:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x649f2d…
05-14 00:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4789da…
05-14 00:00:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x6a64a6…
05-12 21:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x047ed3…
05-12 14:06:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x33b2db…
05-12 13:43:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x2c946c…
05-12 13:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1147c4…
05-10 16:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x556036…
05-10 16:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc8487f…
05-10 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0555ba…
05-10 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf51d6e…
05-10 15:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x65239b…
05-10 15:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa7610d…
05-10 15:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd0c493…
05-10 15:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2624b5…
05-10 15:33:59	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	Yes	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xfdd1f3…
05-10 08:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x582984…
05-10 08:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb989c9…
05-10 08:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdcc2ec…
05-10 08:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1eef18…
05-10 08:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5f061e…
05-10 02:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4c5380…
05-10 02:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd866e7…
05-10 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa87469…
05-10 02:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x10af9d…
05-10 02:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xad4cb5…
05-10 02:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3c2773…
05-10 01:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x22f098…
05-10 01:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd8c069…
05-10 01:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x40943f…
05-10 01:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfb78fc…
05-10 01:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x8ef545…
05-10 01:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1d221e…
05-10 01:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe6b7b7…
05-10 01:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd7693b…
05-10 01:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa2b96f…
05-10 01:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe952c8…
05-10 01:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c2996…
05-10 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x203049…
05-10 01:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8ef61a…
05-10 01:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0aae85…
05-10 01:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x81f7ff…
05-10 01:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x015e7c…
05-10 01:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2f8fcf…
05-10 00:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xbc92b2…
05-10 00:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xb32f44…
05-10 00:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe486ea…
05-10 00:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7479cb…
05-10 00:10:25	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x73a3ee…
05-10 00:06:27	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x5ac226…
05-10 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x08100d…
05-09 23:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6ff857…
05-09 23:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x18db19…
05-09 23:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ac368…
05-09 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcecb25…
05-09 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0e7a74…
05-09 23:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf072db…
05-09 23:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2cc5d8…
05-09 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2791bb…
05-09 23:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9b1a12…
05-09 23:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe8eebb…
05-09 23:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xc88890…
05-09 23:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x814419…
05-09 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x21d52c…
05-09 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc079bf…
05-09 23:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x71a6d8…
05-09 22:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x17fa03…
05-09 22:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6501c9…
05-09 22:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbbfa67…
05-09 22:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe95234…
05-09 22:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3d759e…
05-09 22:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbbb312…
05-09 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x44ee63…
05-09 22:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe66952…
05-09 22:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xfab23a…
05-09 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xa38400…
05-09 21:56:47	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1a76fc…
05-09 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x531a10…
05-09 21:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfac7f5…
05-09 21:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2b9713…