Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 08-19 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

59% 40% -$450

Other

34% 71% +$364

Tech

7% 100% +$10

Crypto

1% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	08-19 14:59
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	4	$645	511	511	+0	open	—	08-10 14:51
Iran leadership change by December 31?	4	$560	578	578	+0	open	—	08-10 14:52
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	9	$524	300	300	+0	No	+$10	08-19 14:59
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	4	$469	391	391	+0	Yes	+$109	08-19 15:00
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	3	$452	565	565	+0	No	-$147	08-07 15:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$403	263	263	+0	open	—	08-19 14:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$307	181	181	+0	No	+$7	08-07 15:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	3	$286	194	194	+0	No	+$66	08-07 15:03
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	2	$238	825	58	+767	Yes	-$162	08-03 06:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	2	$234	135	135	+0	Yes	+$34	08-19 15:00
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	1	$200	280	0	+280	Yes	+$80	07-25 14:57
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	1	$200	290	0	+290	Yes	-$200	07-25 14:56
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$200	211	0	+211	No	+$11	07-25 16:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	2	$189	110	110	+0	No	-$7	08-07 15:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$188	222	222	+0	Yes	-$12	08-09 14:14
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$182	588	588	+0	No	-$18	07-10 09:48
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	2	$179	150	150	+0	open	—	08-11 08:43
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	2	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	08-19 15:00
will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	2	$127	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	08-19 15:00
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	2	$113	77	77	+0	No	+$13	08-19 15:00
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	1	$100	240	0	+240	No	+$140	07-15 19:02
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	+$11	07-22 20:11
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	3	$86	58	58	+0	Yes	+$21	08-11 08:55
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	2	$73	385	385	+0	No	-$27	08-10 14:51
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	3	$42	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	08-07 15:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	2	$36	100	100	+0	open	—	08-17 12:46
will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	3	$33	40	40	+0	Yes	-$10	08-19 14:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	2	$22	324	324	+0	open	—	08-07 15:03
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	08-19 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 15:00:58	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x049dcd…
08-19 15:00:51	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4c6bb2…
08-19 15:00:46	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa231ef…
08-19 15:00:40	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0xc7b3a6…
08-19 15:00:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x86b151…
08-19 15:00:30	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	77	81¢	$63	0x7fc340…
08-19 15:00:24	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x1a54c5…
08-19 15:00:16	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xb4fdd5…
08-19 15:00:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x3fd1ae…
08-19 15:00:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	Yes	SELL	205	97¢	$199	0x940fa3…
08-19 14:59:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	263	77¢	$203	0x1775ca…
08-19 14:59:40	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	300	89¢	$267	0xe636b8…
08-19 14:59:33	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	556	93¢	$517	0xbf5796…
08-19 14:38:46	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x46fc6a…
08-19 14:38:42	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$11	0x20e390…
08-18 11:29:01	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3c2a36…
08-17 17:58:55	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xff83a7…
08-17 12:46:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xcea2a2…
08-12 02:03:01	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x1568f0…
08-11 19:21:49	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x04016e…
08-11 19:15:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x688b48…
08-11 12:35:31	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x556cc1…
08-11 10:46:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x0509e4…
08-11 10:03:48	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x37905e…
08-11 10:03:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa25252…
08-11 10:03:42	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x80d9d7…
08-11 09:58:51	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x99e964…
08-11 09:58:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x3fc275…
08-11 09:51:12	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x232d48…
08-11 09:46:48	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xb944bd…
08-11 08:55:46	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0xdc5752…
08-11 08:43:40	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	SELL	150	56¢	$84	0x243274…
08-10 14:52:04	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	260	81¢	$210	0x540581…
08-10 14:51:55	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	No	SELL	261	67¢	$175	0xceb7c3…
08-10 14:51:52	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	385	6¢	$23	0x37d6b3…
08-10 14:38:57	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xd89e0e…
08-10 14:23:34	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x36d432…
08-10 14:11:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xba93f6…
08-10 14:06:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x03d064…
08-09 14:14:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	35¢	$39	0xa1de4f…
08-07 15:04:10	Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x22a19b…
08-07 15:03:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	565	27¢	$152	0xf20db5…
08-07 15:03:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	110	83¢	$91	0x428090…
08-07 15:03:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	324	4¢	$12	0x84c2e0…
08-07 15:03:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	194	91¢	$176	0x7c17aa…
08-07 15:02:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xa8d3f9…
08-07 15:02:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	181	87¢	$157	0x20a7a1…
08-07 15:01:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xbabf79…
08-07 07:08:10	Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4d3797…
08-07 07:07:36	Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfac3ef…
08-06 22:20:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	338	1¢	$3	0xaeb8ef…
08-05 21:27:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	44¢	$49	0x34963d…
08-05 21:03:26	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1e8f4e…
08-05 21:00:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x492d83…
08-05 20:23:15	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x35dd8d…
08-05 20:03:12	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x0bbc45…
08-05 20:03:09	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	150	63¢	$95	0x3eb688…
08-05 17:30:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4fd731…
08-05 17:24:50	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x36cc4d…
08-05 16:27:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x29dcd3…
08-05 16:12:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xd72b97…
08-05 16:11:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0x2758bf…
08-05 15:57:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0x5a4e1e…
08-05 15:55:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	338	3¢	$10	0xf7362a…
08-05 15:17:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9e31aa…
08-05 15:16:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xcb7fe9…
08-03 21:49:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xf6d798…
08-03 06:24:29	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	SELL	58	66¢	$38	0x982e02…
07-26 07:54:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x313162…
07-26 07:51:24	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	186	48¢	$90	0xaef0e8…
07-25 17:06:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x43b864…
07-25 17:05:01	gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x1d2664…
07-25 17:04:49	gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xff620b…
07-25 17:02:54	gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x309fe7…
07-25 17:02:37	gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb8e9d4…
07-25 16:57:27	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x997dfa…
07-25 16:29:13	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x98de17…
07-25 16:28:19	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x5ebfc9…
07-25 16:27:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x187a27…
07-25 16:26:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	318	23¢	$73	0xb479f4…
07-25 16:15:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x218957…
07-25 16:13:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xb5570f…
07-25 16:08:58	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	194	62¢	$120	0x44b703…
07-25 16:02:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x93c9a2…
07-25 15:23:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xafa924…
07-25 15:15:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	318	24¢	$76	0x0a94bb…
07-25 14:57:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	280	71¢	$200	0x3fa67e…
07-25 14:56:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x0ecca5…
07-22 20:16:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	318	63¢	$200	0xc7219a…
07-22 20:11:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa1eaac…
07-16 20:26:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	352	57¢	$200	0x782b27…
07-15 19:02:11	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0x286677…
07-10 09:48:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	588	14¢	$82	0xf59d39…
07-09 17:53:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x925b4e…
07-09 17:09:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x901238…
07-09 16:52:34	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	825	24¢	$200	0x77c7c6…