Murky-Passing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$522

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

1,117

Trades

2,351

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-29 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 86% -$210

Other

41% 67% -$312

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	3	$804	411	411	+0	No	+$5	06-05 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 29?	2	$698	714	0	+714	No	+$16	05-28 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 27?	9	$419	212	212	+0	No	+$4	05-27 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 5?	2	$404	204	204	+0	No	+$4	06-05 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 2?	3	$403	385	33	+352	No	+$13	06-01 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 8?	1	$213	217	0	+217	No	+$4	06-07 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$210	216	60	+156	Down	-$90	10-24 12:09
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 27 2026 32c	2	$202	112	112	+0	No	-$6	03-27 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$200	140	101	+38	Down	+$0	10-24 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$169	119	91	+28	Up	-$7	10-24 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 2?	3	$158	161	0	+161	No	+$3	05-31 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$120	77	50	+27	Up	-$20	10-24 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$110	88	62	+26	Up	+$0	10-24 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$109	59	59	+0	Up	+$7	10-24 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 26?	19	$104	55	55	+0	No	+$5	09-26 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:00 UTC	1	$102	104	0	+104	Up	+$2	03-27 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$101	71	71	+0	Up	+$41	10-24 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 11?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	06-10 07:40
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 67forbelow	1	$97	98	0	+98	No	+$0	03-27 03:24
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 30 2026 32c	10	$96	56	41	+16	No	$0	03-30 03:46
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 33c	3	$90	71	71	+0	Yes	-$44	04-05 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$87	72	72	+0	Up	+$7	10-24 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$86	71	37	+34	Up	-$14	10-24 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	4	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$1	06-14 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$85	58	58	+0	Up	+$5	10-24 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$79	90	0	+90	Up	+$11	10-22 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$76	47	47	+0	Up	+$16	10-24 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2?	3	$76	40	40	+0	No	-$2	10-02 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$73	39	39	+0	Up	+$4	10-24 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$73	48	48	+0	Down	-$7	10-24 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x199763…
10-29 16:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x4d75a2…
10-29 16:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdb9866…
10-29 16:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xacbc2b…
10-29 15:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd525b1…
10-29 15:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x63d3fb…
10-29 11:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xe313b3…
10-29 10:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x6d363c…
10-29 10:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0x1f1a82…
10-29 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x924ea8…
10-29 07:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xa0f594…
10-29 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x18d338…
10-29 06:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x2c8fce…
10-28 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x626892…
10-28 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xf6678c…
10-28 12:19:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0x172d1f…
10-28 10:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa3e930…
10-28 09:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x6079f6…
10-28 08:34:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x24de2a…
10-28 03:19:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x92a7c4…
10-28 01:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xdc4c55…
10-28 00:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x6a83d7…
10-28 00:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x658302…
10-27 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x9f9c6d…
10-27 23:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x707dfb…
10-27 22:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x07d918…
10-27 21:39:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xafa63c…
10-27 12:44:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x2a93d4…
10-27 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0xb93b8e…
10-27 10:19:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x980dcf…
10-27 09:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xbb1bae…
10-27 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x852209…
10-27 06:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x91759f…
10-27 04:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xbfb55a…
10-27 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xaaa159…
10-27 00:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf37a46…
10-26 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xf70b6e…
10-26 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xf4508d…
10-26 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2d4fc4…
10-26 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x6d54ce…
10-26 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x481a12…
10-26 05:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x53ac95…
10-26 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf1f034…
10-26 05:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x50c867…
10-26 04:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7792fc…
10-26 04:23:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x505a23…
10-26 04:19:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cb18f…
10-26 04:03:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b9b21…
10-26 03:53:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0d609…
10-26 03:48:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1ffbc5…
10-26 03:43:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0b097…
10-26 03:28:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1aff5b…
10-26 03:23:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc918b0…
10-26 02:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x09e7b0…
10-26 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd4b83b…
10-26 02:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda77d9…
10-26 02:43:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa816d9…
10-24 16:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x86b4bb…
10-24 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xb4e5ad…
10-24 13:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf15fb8…
10-24 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0xce2459…
10-24 13:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xf76421…
10-24 13:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x62dd43…
10-24 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x025e09…
10-24 13:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2bd178…
10-24 13:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x964745…
10-24 13:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9855e3…
10-24 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x97125b…
10-24 13:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x246a2b…
10-24 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd523fa…
10-24 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd5df7d…
10-24 12:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x0fea24…
10-24 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x2f32de…
10-24 12:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x324a5c…
10-24 12:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xe9212e…
10-24 12:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x162d84…
10-24 12:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8e3385…
10-24 12:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0xab7e1f…
10-24 12:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x463dec…
10-24 12:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xebc7d3…
10-24 12:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x1970af…
10-24 12:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x3b4afb…
10-24 12:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x815f38…
10-24 12:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xb0728e…
10-24 12:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5a04ad…
10-24 12:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xca50b7…
10-24 12:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf2449b…
10-24 12:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	52	80¢	$41	0x9c8132…
10-24 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x28c34d…
10-24 12:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	58	78¢	$45	0x0e2305…
10-24 12:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x9d73a4…
10-24 12:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5cff6d…
10-24 12:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf70223…
10-24 12:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x5d2f62…
10-24 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x0731b9…
10-24 12:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x2378b8…
10-24 12:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x3e4046…
10-24 12:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3df179…
10-24 12:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xcbd34e…
10-24 12:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x22ddd9…