Notable-Excess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

461

Trades

803

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-12 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% $-52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	7	$37	34	21	+13	Down	+$16	05-09 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	10	$29	40	35	+5	Down	$-4	05-05 16:14
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 23:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$16	38	28	+10	Up	$-4	05-09 23:48
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	13	$15	18	12	+6	Up	$-1	05-12 14:59
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	9	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	9	$13	25	20	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$12	5	10	-5	Down	+$2	05-05 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$12	15	10	+5	Down	+$3	05-12 00:57
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	11	$12	7	7	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$11	20	10	+10	Down	$-1	05-11 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 19:04
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 23:25
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 00:00
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-5	05-10 00:09
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-10 00:04
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-10 00:03
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-09 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$10	15	10	+5	Down	+$6	05-12 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 13:50
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$8	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	7	$8	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$7	10	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 17:24
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	Down	+$3	05-10 01:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$6	10	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-12 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$6	10	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-08 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:31:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf9f7da…
05-12 15:31:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x63b4d7…
05-12 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5ea715…
05-12 15:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc8ba85…
05-12 15:30:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5a5be5…
05-12 15:30:45	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa4a522…
05-12 15:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf37fce…
05-12 15:30:10	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf9ac4d…
05-12 15:30:08	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9b271d…
05-12 15:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x224a21…
05-12 15:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4230b9…
05-12 15:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0a33b6…
05-12 15:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4d298a…
05-12 15:29:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x71bc9a…
05-12 15:29:05	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x04bd4a…
05-12 15:28:57	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x573183…
05-12 15:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x332263…
05-12 15:27:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x16b0ca…
05-12 15:27:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xad4f7f…
05-12 15:27:05	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7bb3d…
05-12 15:27:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1ba5f3…
05-12 15:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x90dd10…
05-12 15:26:26	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5199a9…
05-12 15:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x494b91…
05-12 15:26:23	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd23b20…
05-12 15:26:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x369337…
05-12 15:26:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x3b6f51…
05-12 15:25:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x790fdd…
05-12 15:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb65552…
05-12 15:24:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae9a29…
05-12 15:23:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81c423…
05-12 15:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x006c31…
05-12 15:22:53	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8f51e…
05-12 15:22:46	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x952eab…
05-12 15:22:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e5c41…
05-12 15:22:44	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7f38b…
05-12 15:22:11	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x819c0d…
05-12 15:19:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3eef8…
05-12 15:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa8aea1…
05-12 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64f315…
05-12 15:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x605701…
05-12 15:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95d16c…
05-12 15:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x655565…
05-12 15:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x28503c…
05-12 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1b282e…
05-12 15:10:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa27e68…
05-12 15:09:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xecc4e9…
05-12 15:00:27	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x585420…
05-12 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20c105…
05-12 14:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d6a8b…
05-12 14:59:41	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c1513…
05-12 14:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5c117…
05-12 14:59:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd3355f…
05-12 14:58:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa4f51c…
05-12 14:58:14	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x257146…
05-12 14:58:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6de924…
05-12 14:58:00	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x96c6f1…
05-12 14:57:28	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7f3053…
05-12 14:57:27	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x161dbe…
05-12 14:57:25	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x2e2cb6…
05-12 14:56:55	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x807a31…
05-12 14:56:20	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x659f80…
05-12 14:56:20	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x09e74c…
05-12 14:56:08	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc81e03…
05-12 14:55:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf419c6…
05-12 14:55:17	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x305af5…
05-12 14:55:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x89b4ed…
05-12 14:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd49c48…
05-12 14:54:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc82b82…
05-12 14:54:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4299e0…
05-12 14:53:43	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf783f4…
05-12 14:53:23	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x40ca66…
05-12 14:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x08e15e…
05-12 14:53:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6910be…
05-12 14:52:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0cc574…
05-12 14:52:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xc77e1e…
05-12 14:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd5b428…
05-12 14:52:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd48ae5…
05-12 14:52:24	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb341f9…
05-12 14:52:19	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe00c00…
05-12 14:51:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa66be9…
05-12 14:51:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ce8bf…
05-12 14:51:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4853fd…
05-12 14:51:45	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1afab6…
05-12 14:51:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x264511…
05-12 14:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xffdd0b…
05-12 14:51:09	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5560e…
05-12 14:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x315103…
05-12 14:34:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36853a…
05-12 14:34:08	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc52fc2…
05-12 14:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f8f11…
05-12 14:33:21	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55d1df…
05-12 14:32:46	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa7323a…
05-12 14:32:44	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xae49f5…
05-12 14:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8c6da5…
05-12 14:32:41	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xac10bc…
05-12 14:32:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x9af819…
05-12 14:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x245caa…
05-12 14:32:06	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x960661…
05-12 14:32:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4ad63e…