Bruised-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$331

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

427

Trades

1,038

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-10 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$331

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:10 UTC	8	$691	882	871	+11	Down	+$84	03-25 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:30 UTC	4	$471	466	451	+16	Up	-$20	04-01 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:25 UTC	2	$395	386	370	+16	Up	+$55	04-01 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:35 UTC	4	$388	489	466	+22	Down	+$28	04-01 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:20 UTC	2	$299	186	182	+4	Down	+$43	04-01 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$281	185	185	+0	Down	+$81	10-20 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$267	185	185	+0	Down	+$67	10-21 04:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:45 UTC	5	$257	253	237	+16	Up	+$33	03-22 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$253	189	189	+0	Up	+$53	10-21 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$252	170	170	+0	Down	+$52	10-22 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 12:55 UTC	2	$236	208	201	+8	Down	+$36	04-03 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$224	185	185	+0	Up	+$24	10-20 14:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 14:45 UTC	4	$221	152	149	+3	Up	+$4	04-01 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$220	200	200	+0	Down	+$20	10-19 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	13	$214	196	196	+0	Up	+$21	10-21 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$203	167	167	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$199	182	182	+0	Down	-$1	10-21 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	13	$174	198	98	+100	Up	-$26	10-21 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$171	147	147	+0	Up	+$71	10-20 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:05 UTC	4	$170	272	269	+4	Up	-$28	03-25 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$153	94	94	+0	Down	+$33	10-21 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$149	120	120	+0	Down	+$19	10-19 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	8	$144	127	127	+0	Up	+$24	10-20 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$144	121	121	+0	Up	+$24	09-06 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$144	98	98	+0	Down	+$44	09-07 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:40 UTC	2	$142	338	321	+17	Down	-$58	04-01 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:15 UTC	2	$142	384	364	+20	Up	-$58	04-01 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$142	98	98	+0	Up	+$42	09-07 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 04:20 UTC	2	$138	89	89	+0	Up	+$38	09-07 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:15 UTC	2	$137	230	226	+3	Down	-$63	03-25 12:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8ea57a…
11-10 18:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xc0d5b9…
11-10 18:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0xd87a7e…
11-10 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xac4abc…
11-10 18:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x3ef716…
11-10 17:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x298a95…
11-10 17:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x907860…
11-05 13:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	99	51¢	$50	0x07862c…
11-05 13:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x53aa63…
11-05 13:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xf04b10…
11-05 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xe6f99f…
11-05 13:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xaac1cd…
11-05 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x467277…
11-05 12:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x2a5723…
11-05 12:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xb6110a…
11-05 11:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xf88bda…
11-05 11:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x130ee0…
11-05 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0xb6e29a…
11-05 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xaa5291…
11-05 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x936103…
11-05 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x43b0fc…
11-05 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x5e673e…
11-05 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4f22de…
11-05 11:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0x91fc4c…
11-05 11:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x6012a4…
11-05 11:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xf4fa80…
11-05 11:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xae495d…
11-05 11:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5ae9a8…
11-05 11:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfc2cdc…
11-05 11:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0xa22415…
11-05 11:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc42e2f…
11-05 11:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4f89de…
11-05 05:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x60e19f…
11-05 05:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x2c24b1…
11-05 05:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x8f67a3…
11-05 05:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	41	65¢	$26	0x228730…
11-05 05:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x232848…
11-05 05:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x649ce5…
11-05 05:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x81bb09…
11-05 04:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	98	80¢	$78	0x657ead…
11-05 04:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x3647a9…
11-05 04:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x22b773…
11-05 04:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x0b2895…
11-05 04:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x71d9b4…
11-05 04:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaca4fc…
11-05 04:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x10c549…
11-05 03:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x5ecb6f…
11-05 03:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xd2feba…
11-05 03:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xb81d0c…
11-05 03:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x8a4ccd…
11-05 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x96bf83…
11-05 03:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbb7c1e…
11-05 03:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa6dbf0…
11-05 03:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92	45¢	$41	0xf2be91…
11-05 03:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0xb7cde1…
11-05 03:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x1f5351…
11-05 03:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc9c17e…
11-05 03:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	76¢	$18	0xeab61b…
11-05 03:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xad186c…
11-05 03:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0xebf4f1…
11-05 03:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc249f0…
11-05 03:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x723496…
11-05 02:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9bb368…
11-03 09:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x964bc2…
11-03 09:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	53¢	$30	0x7b6480…
11-03 09:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x7a12a0…
11-03 09:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x17af10…
11-03 09:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd99147…
11-03 09:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xe080c2…
11-03 09:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x109256…
10-22 12:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	170	89¢	$152	0xd6d3ac…
10-22 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x94286a…
10-21 12:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	53¢	$66	0xa235ec…
10-21 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	139	45¢	$63	0x0f01d6…
10-21 12:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	139	43¢	$60	0x3aa2e5…
10-21 12:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	74	60¢	$45	0xd87b7e…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf829f5…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf51c1c…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc3d902…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x4aee8c…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x3b608f…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x3ae88f…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x1fc33a…
10-21 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xe6dc4a…
10-21 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd922f2…
10-21 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x210e7f…
10-21 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x1afaa4…
10-21 12:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0xd5cf3c…
10-21 12:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	104	52¢	$54	0xfc32f6…
10-21 12:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x0c268a…
10-21 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x063fe3…
10-21 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0xb1c0f9…
10-21 11:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x4391be…
10-21 11:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0x1076db…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb281e8…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0xa2bf6d…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xa22509…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x90ddb3…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x76a8c1…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x737596…