Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
107
Trades
159
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$92
14 positions
First seen
2026-11-03
last 11-10 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
61% 89% +$0
Politics
31% 91% +$30
Sports
6% 100% +$10
Crypto
1% 50% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +12 $11 76¢ $9 -$2 11-09 04:41
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +8 $6 88¢ $8 +$1 11-08 23:12
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +8 $7 95¢ $7 +$0 11-08 06:47
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 11-05 20:14
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$1 11-04 03:13
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 11-04 03:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 11-04 03:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 11-04 04:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 11-04 04:58
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 11-04 06:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-04 13:53
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +6 $4 99¢ $6 +$2 11-04 15:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +6 $6 91¢ $6 $0 11-04 23:12
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +7 $6 80¢ $6 -$1 11-06 03:25