Squiggly-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

183

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$102.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

41% 38% +$2,512

Politics

25% 50% -$1,048

Sports

17% 67% +$2,516

Crypto

10% 59% +$352

Tech

7% 67% -$1,175

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$13.6K	8,558	8,558	+0	No	+$2,840	05-30 10:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$12.8K	7,142	7,142	+0	Yes	+$645	03-20 00:11
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$12.0K	227,000	275,600	-48,600	No	+$6,143	06-20 03:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$8.4K	10,700	340	+10,360	Yes	+$2,270	02-16 00:08
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	35	$4.8K	2,773	2,773	+0	No	+$27	03-23 07:24
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$4.7K	1,111	3,851	-2,740	Yes	+$4	01-10 01:01
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.3K	10,454	0	+10,454	No	-$4,286	07-19 07:07
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	26	$3.3K	1,865	1,865	+0	Yes	+$373	03-16 02:36
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	2	$3.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$2,580	02-28 06:42
israel closes its airspace by june 8	5	$3.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$450	06-08 11:25
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	26	$2.8K	2,048	2,048	+0	Yes	+$97	02-18 13:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	8	$2.6K	7,922	7,922	+0	No	-$1,336	06-12 16:19
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	3	$2.1K	1,209	1,209	+0	No	+$63	02-12 02:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$2.1K	7,300	7,300	+0	Yes	-$1,675	02-28 07:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$1.6K	848	848	+0	No	+$51	01-31 15:16
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$1.1K	714	714	+0	No	+$103	02-14 05:25
bitcoin up or down on january 5	1	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	Up	+$53	01-05 12:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$980	700	700	+0	No	-$14	03-18 12:21
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	7	$924	500	500	+0	Yes	+$24	01-30 04:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$877	1,680	1,680	+0	Yes	-$15	01-28 11:27
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	7	$666	404	404	+0	Yes	+$141	02-04 22:01
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$659	0	16,900	-16,900	No	+$659	06-19 23:16
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	7	$637	388	388	+0	Gold	$0	01-19 12:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$590	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$190	04-03 15:18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$562	750	750	+0	No	-$322	06-13 23:55
bitcoin up or down january 20 12am et	8	$556	270	340	-70	Down	+$54	01-20 05:58
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	12	$532	587	587	+0	No	+$155	05-11 04:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$464	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$16	04-07 16:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$450	0	530	-530	Yes	-$79	04-30 00:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 11:00 UTC	3	$445	263	261	+2	Down	+$47	02-04 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 07:07:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0x2606eb…
07-19 07:06:39	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,384	41¢	$4,257	0x5bacb5…
06-28 03:52:59	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	180	21¢	$38	0xc841f3…
06-28 03:39:53	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x1c1828…
06-28 03:20:32	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	386	50¢	$193	0x0102c0…
06-28 03:20:20	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	114	49¢	$56	0xdfba6f…
06-25 09:51:34	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	450	19¢	$84	0x0f8d7e…
06-20 03:59:22	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	275,600	3¢	$9,095	0xb1431d…
06-19 23:16:19	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16,900	4¢	$659	0xeede79…
06-15 06:27:06	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22,000	2¢	$462	0x4c8e56…
06-15 06:27:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	430	15¢	$64	0x3d9242…
06-15 04:01:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xcef70e…
06-15 04:01:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x74d456…
06-15 03:59:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	268	17¢	$46	0x83b1e7…
06-13 23:55:25	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	750	16¢	$120	0x34982f…
06-13 12:57:15	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	750	59¢	$442	0x8b0f6d…
06-12 16:19:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	7,922	8¢	$609	0xe88939…
06-11 07:56:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	1,400	25¢	$350	0xc89756…
06-11 07:40:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	822	24¢	$197	0xf9fd07…
06-10 09:11:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	3,500	22¢	$770	0x181812…
06-08 23:34:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xa1a1ea…
06-08 11:25:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1,800	95¢	$1,710	0x7099fe…
06-08 04:17:18	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	800	60¢	$480	0xc45375…
06-08 03:24:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0x73c760…
06-08 03:24:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	935	78¢	$729	0x4c6696…
06-08 03:24:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x37b7e3…
06-07 07:40:09	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	150,000	1¢	$1,800	0x3e29b8…
06-07 03:39:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	800	31¢	$248	0xefb159…
06-06 05:39:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0xbf0a1e…
06-06 05:38:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x254536…
05-30 10:18:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8,558	96¢	$8,216	0x9b5e62…
05-27 03:42:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	75¢	$44	0x03e7fc…
05-24 12:59:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	56¢	$1,120	0xd5c586…
05-24 05:52:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0xdc2027…
05-24 05:51:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	65¢	$3,892	0x5d2cd7…
05-23 12:37:17	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,000	1¢	$88	0x3cd051…
05-23 12:36:49	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15,000	1¢	$165	0xc07e5a…
05-22 07:34:27	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,000	1¢	$78	0xa29c95…
05-22 07:02:50	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19,000	1¢	$247	0x43d8bd…
05-11 04:33:35	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,000	2¢	$112	0xe4bc43…
05-11 04:32:32	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	397	65¢	$258	0x84de9b…
05-06 02:58:58	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	62¢	$39	0x2358f9…
04-30 00:01:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	530	85¢	$450	0x5f0b03…
04-28 03:00:44	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0x5c5256…
04-28 02:58:48	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	36¢	$29	0x0be3c1…
04-26 23:48:28	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x67ce8f…
04-14 12:39:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	422	28¢	$118	0x6eddc8…
04-12 22:49:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	SELL	49	36¢	$18	0x5cd880…
04-12 13:07:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xdf3946…
04-09 13:43:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	276	35¢	$97	0x401ece…
04-09 13:43:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	393	35¢	$138	0x53b7de…
04-07 16:52:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	688	16¢	$110	0x6e69af…
04-07 13:46:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x616d8f…
04-07 13:46:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	695	16¢	$111	0x8f20f4…
04-07 11:43:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0xc8ebee…
04-07 04:07:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	800	18¢	$144	0xca47dd…
04-07 01:12:35	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x4d61ec…
04-05 05:23:43	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	30¢	$33	0x46c0ec…
04-05 01:58:21	highest temperature in chengdu on april 5 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x05ba0d…
04-04 10:57:09	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0xb49000…
04-04 09:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4db8cf…
04-04 06:24:45	highest temperature in chengdu on april 4 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xf1b051…
04-03 15:18:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0xef3d9b…
04-03 08:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x072b97…
04-03 02:31:51	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x69af03…
04-02 23:15:51	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6159c4…
04-02 04:24:43	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xa2c536…
04-02 01:43:55	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x0ffebd…
04-02 01:43:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x768fc5…
04-01 05:00:29	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x686077…
04-01 03:04:53	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xcc4b95…
04-01 02:22:29	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x575a15…
03-31 06:54:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0xcb96f8…
03-29 02:03:02	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x82c133…
03-28 14:03:13	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	40¢	$67	0x767bf0…
03-27 07:07:09	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x542842…
03-27 07:06:27	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf6fad6…
03-27 07:06:03	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xc3e938…
03-27 07:01:01	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x4b7142…
03-27 07:00:45	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 21c	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xb02f0f…
03-27 06:59:25	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	No	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0xdec9a1…
03-27 06:57:45	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x92d5d4…
03-27 06:57:41	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8eef78…
03-27 06:45:53	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4d02d8…
03-27 06:42:51	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 21c	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbcd856…
03-27 06:39:31	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2cee9a…
03-27 06:39:09	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x82b60f…
03-27 06:33:37	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x394acd…
03-27 06:30:19	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xd090fd…
03-26 15:41:39	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x5453c2…
03-26 07:19:41	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xb79557…
03-26 07:19:33	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x42c871…
03-26 07:19:23	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9b0ce6…
03-26 07:08:55	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x0ef832…
03-26 06:58:41	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x5e0413…
03-26 06:58:13	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x5fa0ad…
03-25 11:01:55	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xb53e82…
03-25 08:37:25	highest temperature in chengdu on march 25 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xbc6b09…
03-25 08:37:15	highest temperature in chengdu on march 25 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xd194f8…
03-25 08:28:59	highest temperature in chengdu on march 25 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x1aa394…