Alarming-Burro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

687

Trades

5,633

lifetime

Volume

$49.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% +$906

Sports

2% 44% +$122

Crypto

1% 50% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	85	$1.5K	1,193	1,193	+0	Yes	+$28	03-25 15:56
will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	91	$1.1K	831	667	+164	No	-$98	02-28 04:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	60	$1.1K	830	634	+196	Yes	+$18	04-05 13:06
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	84	$977	747	747	+0	No	+$7	03-14 14:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	39	$892	657	514	+143	No	-$62	05-03 15:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	64	$796	710	600	+111	Yes	+$40	03-22 14:56
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	145	$729	800	595	+205	Yes	+$111	02-15 05:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 62 million views on day 3	38	$723	417	417	+0	No	+$8	03-24 00:46
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	36	$665	373	372	+0	No	+$28	03-29 18:07
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 4	23	$664	409	409	+0	Yes	+$21	03-10 17:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 81 and 82 million views on week 1	38	$615	431	296	+135	Yes	+$14	03-28 13:15
will mrbeasts latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5	39	$596	481	481	+0	No	+$71	04-09 16:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2	39	$546	527	290	+237	Yes	+$25	04-20 11:06
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	36	$543	450	242	+208	Yes	+$30	05-05 15:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	36	$537	464	464	+0	No	+$16	03-25 12:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	29	$528	351	349	+2	No	-$45	04-24 15:46
will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	25	$512	452	241	+211	Yes	+$46	04-08 13:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4	32	$489	295	294	+1	Yes	+$51	03-11 18:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	33	$487	376	268	+108	Yes	+$79	03-10 18:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	49	$477	505	480	+25	No	+$23	03-13 12:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?	22	$472	433	149	+284	Yes	+$22	06-04 14:59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	29	$461	432	133	+298	Yes	+$44	04-19 10:20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	15	$442	270	270	+0	No	-$29	10-27 00:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	23	$436	255	255	+0	Yes	+$18	03-26 08:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	23	$415	218	218	+0	No	+$1	08-09 12:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?	40	$410	302	302	+0	No	+$29	05-19 15:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	11	$372	200	200	+0	No	+$26	03-25 00:29
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	14	$372	310	90	+220	No	+$3	06-14 10:09
will house tour get 15 million or more views in the first week	31	$370	352	327	+25	No	-$8	04-13 14:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	25	$361	258	229	+29	No	-$9	05-31 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:21:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x29840e…
11-02 05:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7582f5…
11-02 04:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xff9ff9…
11-02 02:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6b8b3b…
11-02 01:35:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x76e71a…
11-01 18:18:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9e2eec…
11-01 18:17:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1406ad…
11-01 12:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x41cc65…
11-01 04:41:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0112a6…
11-01 00:17:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xbce53d…
10-31 21:21:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa035b8…
10-31 16:55:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x07fa72…
10-31 16:31:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf40e26…
10-31 13:37:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x12a2c9…
10-31 12:51:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd3e88f…
10-31 11:15:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xcd329c…
10-31 10:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x992857…
10-31 10:01:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xcfeb9a…
10-31 08:07:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6141ed…
10-30 17:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x182930…
10-30 15:08:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2da70d…
10-30 13:03:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x21734d…
10-30 12:29:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$17	0xa28a7f…
10-30 12:29:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x5a3572…
10-30 02:31:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe5833c…
10-29 20:22:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa90c53…
10-29 17:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x67dab2…
10-29 15:56:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf00757…
10-29 09:16:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x4b5cef…
10-29 06:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa303f9…
10-29 04:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbbf225…
10-29 03:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc1696b…
10-29 03:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x13b77d…
10-29 02:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x82df03…
10-28 17:55:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3e1049…
10-28 16:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x004b82…
10-27 20:14:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x4b95d5…
10-27 19:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xdd15c6…
10-27 18:58:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xfee57b…
10-27 18:37:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x29594a…
10-27 16:28:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0xd7337e…
10-27 16:09:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x08cf6e…
10-27 15:08:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x7d1c0e…
10-27 15:08:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf425dc…
10-27 15:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcb2090…
10-27 14:59:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4d9d36…
10-27 14:58:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xdb004c…
10-27 14:40:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5f8cd1…
10-27 14:29:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x99b122…
10-27 14:28:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x5b9888…
10-27 10:03:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x7a0bb7…
10-27 05:15:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x03ff3e…
10-27 00:24:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfbafdb…
10-27 00:19:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe94e01…
10-27 00:17:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xe30d3f…
10-26 20:10:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x317cf5…
10-26 20:09:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xec6bf6…
10-26 19:51:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x72691f…
10-26 19:39:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd9c991…
10-26 19:23:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x8c8c79…
10-26 19:07:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xb52c80…
10-26 19:07:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x04d5f6…
10-26 19:00:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d2212…
10-26 18:57:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xda0c8a…
10-26 18:57:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xbe9bfb…
10-26 18:39:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x206776…
10-26 18:39:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb52311…
10-26 17:08:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x43e941…
10-26 16:48:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x5e22de…
10-26 16:47:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x48ed6e…
10-26 16:05:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3b7643…
10-26 16:01:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x3c04ea…
10-26 15:09:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8fd6bc…
10-26 13:49:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x7f5419…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa08b9a…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6ef29d…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x392a54…
10-26 10:21:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8fd776…
10-26 09:30:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3e0f32…
10-25 21:11:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x73ba6c…
10-25 21:10:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xaf9b57…
10-25 20:37:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd1a99b…
10-25 19:00:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7b7a6b…
10-25 16:06:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xece150…
10-25 15:14:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2a942b…
10-25 14:24:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x946b0f…
10-25 14:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0b900d…
10-25 14:22:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc958ec…
10-25 14:06:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xac2b66…
10-25 13:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf9fa3e…
10-25 12:53:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x088b0f…
10-25 12:53:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0c014d…
10-25 12:43:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1cf703…
10-25 12:43:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0x7161c2…
10-25 03:25:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x33dcd5…
10-25 00:01:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xfb4cc4…
10-24 22:56:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 25?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2728d0…
10-24 21:42:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc6085a…
10-24 20:33:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xa3bb8e…
10-24 20:09:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x0854ff…