Carefree-Grassland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

380

Trades

1,126

lifetime

Volume

$5.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-10 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 74% +$67

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$166	87	87	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$110	126	0	+126	Down	$-2	05-09 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$108	60	60	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$100	119	0	+119	Down	+$2	05-09 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$90	92	0	+92	Up	+$2	05-08 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$90	93	0	+93	Up	+$3	05-08 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$88	90	0	+90	Down	+$2	05-08 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$88	89	0	+89	Down	+$1	05-08 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$88	88	0	+88	Down	+$0	05-08 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$85	87	0	+87	Up	+$2	05-08 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$85	86	0	+86	Up	+$1	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$80	100	0	+100	Up	+$10	05-10 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$75	78	0	+78	Up	+$3	05-08 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$75	76	0	+76	Down	+$1	05-08 04:39
btc updown 5m 1776500700	20	$66	76	57	+19	open	—	04-18 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$64	79	10	+68	Up	$-46	05-10 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$64	73	0	+73	Up	+$9	05-08 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$64	65	0	+65	Up	+$1	05-08 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	6	$50	65	0	+65	Down	$-2	05-09 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$48	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	05-08 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$48	65	0	+65	Up	+$17	05-08 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$48	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	05-08 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$48	50	0	+50	Up	+$2	05-07 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$46	78	0	+78	Up	+$2	05-08 01:03
btc updown 5m 1776705300	16	$45	37	35	+3	open	—	04-20 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$43	43	0	+43	Down	+$0	05-08 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	05-08 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	8	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	05-06 08:52
btc updown 5m 1776705600	30	$38	155	37	+119	open	—	04-20 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$36	39	25	+14	Down	$-4	05-08 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:50:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x256403…
06-08 15:23:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xde51b8…
05-31 05:46:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78de0c…
05-26 08:37:38	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7932fa…
05-26 07:37:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd087cf…
05-25 08:39:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x982531…
05-25 04:18:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xe73e74…
05-23 06:28:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x35921c…
05-23 05:38:27	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6b9fd…
05-21 15:28:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x03ef31…
05-19 03:10:20	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2ec357…
05-19 03:09:59	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x98b2d1…
05-19 03:09:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbb64bc…
05-19 03:08:00	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb79025…
05-18 08:13:53	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3aca7e…
05-18 08:13:04	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4b4d30…
05-18 08:12:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd47419…
05-18 07:57:34	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5c15cf…
05-18 03:14:20	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf40e87…
05-17 17:53:29	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa95fc1…
05-17 16:46:10	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x62f28a…
05-17 05:29:34	LoL: BRUTE vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season	eSuba	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab6d1c…
05-16 01:02:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x286774…
05-16 01:02:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2490c2…
05-15 13:29:14	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x99a405…
05-15 13:28:34	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xde16f0…
05-15 10:01:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x69e257…
05-15 07:42:51	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbb775c…
05-15 07:34:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x648d81…
05-15 07:32:02	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xaa153b…
05-15 07:29:37	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x80ea8e…
05-15 06:56:30	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x3a59ed…
05-15 06:54:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0891ee…
05-15 04:15:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x133bd4…
05-15 04:15:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x71cbc7…
05-15 01:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x0af3a5…
05-15 01:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x45bbd4…
05-15 01:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf997d3…
05-15 01:21:44	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8efc5a…
05-15 01:20:02	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x97cf44…
05-14 10:12:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5ef7b6…
05-14 10:12:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbed7a6…
05-14 06:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9f6a64…
05-14 06:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0xf33054…
05-14 06:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3ff937…
05-14 06:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3e5cd7…
05-14 05:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0xe4271b…
05-14 05:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x83f79f…
05-14 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x165dc5…
05-14 05:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x576eef…
05-11 01:03:58	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf739e7…
05-10 23:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbbd605…
05-10 23:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x23a25e…
05-10 23:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x07f134…
05-10 23:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcd2cd0…
05-10 23:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x043093…
05-10 23:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1deb47…
05-10 23:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xf0c99c…
05-10 23:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3f2a83…
05-10 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x63b72b…
05-10 18:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4b1ffc…
05-10 18:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd2df4e…
05-10 18:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x073eaf…
05-10 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb8a3f5…
05-10 18:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf32099…
05-10 18:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a2d5e…
05-10 18:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x860c8d…
05-10 18:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6cdd8f…
05-10 18:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf9d97b…
05-10 18:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7b429c…
05-10 18:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9f79c3…
05-10 18:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd9b620…
05-10 18:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xab98e9…
05-10 16:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb8c8b9…
05-10 16:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf9f9f6…
05-10 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x1b6c3c…
05-10 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x031abd…
05-10 16:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x3220bc…
05-10 16:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc03ecf…
05-10 16:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x02a5e3…
05-10 16:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb93ff4…
05-10 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xda9cdc…
05-10 15:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x15b5de…
05-10 15:56:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xa46412…
05-10 15:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xba745c…
05-10 15:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x615a67…
05-10 15:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xef89ba…
05-10 09:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x003387…
05-10 09:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8fd5df…
05-10 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdde178…
05-10 09:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x44463f…
05-10 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x411199…
05-10 09:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8d1f40…
05-10 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf2eb9e…
05-10 09:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd6e2cc…
05-10 09:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcc4232…
05-10 09:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xda8e50…
05-10 09:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe64176…
05-10 09:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf75870…
05-10 09:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x3ffc16…