Carefree-Grassland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$437

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

1,063

Trades

2,199

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-16 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 67% -$114

Other

47% 44% -$313

Politics

0% 44% -$4

Sports

0% 38% -$8

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$206	108	108	+0	Yes	+$4	06-12 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11?	9	$204	108	108	+0	No	+$12	06-11 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$166	87	87	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?	13	$139	115	115	+0	Yes	-$4	07-11 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$110	126	0	+126	Down	-$2	05-09 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$108	60	60	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$100	119	0	+119	Down	+$2	05-09 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	7	$96	108	108	+0	Yes	-$49	06-14 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 11?	12	$93	95	95	+0	No	+$2	07-11 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$90	92	0	+92	Up	+$2	05-08 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$90	93	0	+93	Up	+$3	05-08 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$88	90	0	+90	Down	+$2	05-08 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$88	89	0	+89	Down	+$1	05-08 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$88	88	0	+88	Down	+$0	05-08 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	8	$87	57	57	+0	Yes	-$3	06-21 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$85	86	0	+86	Up	+$1	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$85	87	0	+87	Up	+$2	05-08 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?	9	$81	59	59	+0	Yes	-$7	06-09 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$80	100	0	+100	Up	+$10	05-10 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$75	78	0	+78	Up	+$3	05-08 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$75	76	0	+76	Down	+$1	05-08 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	11	$75	64	64	+0	Yes	+$8	07-13 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?	6	$74	42	42	+0	No	+$10	07-07 04:06
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	3	$71	45	45	+0	Yes	+$16	07-09 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 8?	10	$69	80	25	+55	No	+$6	07-08 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	7	$69	42	42	+0	No	+$1	06-21 05:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:25 UTC	20	$66	76	57	+19	Up	-$10	04-18 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$64	79	10	+68	Up	-$46	05-10 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$64	73	0	+73	Up	+$9	05-08 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$64	65	0	+65	Up	+$1	05-08 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 02:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd72199…
07-16 02:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x85c4d2…
07-16 02:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2627ea…
07-15 09:37:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb40ff7…
07-15 09:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0dcba4…
07-15 09:30:58	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5d2262…
07-15 09:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9160a9…
07-15 09:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xc06197…
07-15 07:55:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4ccee0…
07-15 07:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x57f7e7…
07-15 07:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x68578d…
07-15 07:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf08c94…
07-15 06:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x52afb9…
07-15 06:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf83b51…
07-15 06:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f5882…
07-15 06:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 16?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf6f82c…
07-15 06:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x92a4bb…
07-15 06:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa26961…
07-15 06:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0b0fa8…
07-15 06:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x8643b7…
07-15 05:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe5451b…
07-15 04:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdddaa7…
07-15 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb00632…
07-15 02:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb81325…
07-15 02:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd455f4…
07-15 02:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x028ba1…
07-15 02:29:11	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x365fba…
07-15 02:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfcd454…
07-15 02:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe78209…
07-15 02:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x63a3c1…
07-15 00:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2bc3ad…
07-15 00:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9454fb…
07-15 00:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x876258…
07-15 00:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4914c4…
07-15 00:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x27d7eb…
07-14 23:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x481871…
07-14 23:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb673fc…
07-14 16:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc92271…
07-14 16:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcebfec…
07-14 15:50:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x471a0f…
07-14 14:53:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xadedd3…
07-14 14:51:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdee617…
07-14 13:07:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9f939d…
07-14 13:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8e7bda…
07-14 13:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd08192…
07-14 09:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5ebb03…
07-14 08:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xbfc043…
07-14 08:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xe0fe5e…
07-14 07:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x9b0147…
07-14 07:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd1685d…
07-14 06:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x1d6963…
07-14 06:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xcedc69…
07-14 05:24:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb15565…
07-14 05:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xd1eebd…
07-14 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8a8307…
07-14 05:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xb4a822…
07-14 05:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd605d0…
07-14 05:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0c5e7f…
07-14 04:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5f1172…
07-14 02:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x026494…
07-13 16:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x7ae5f0…
07-13 16:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5e334d…
07-13 15:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4a5349…
07-13 15:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x553889…
07-13 15:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1d9b42…
07-13 14:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3c9a81…
07-13 14:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x277337…
07-13 14:24:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4e7885…
07-13 14:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x998114…
07-13 14:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6ca8c4…
07-13 12:49:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x65ecb3…
07-13 12:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x231844…
07-13 12:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x270be8…
07-13 10:55:50	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7f6fca…
07-13 10:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x766424…
07-13 09:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x8bc34e…
07-13 08:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2a2a38…
07-13 07:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	27	87¢	$24	0x14d636…
07-13 07:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x64267e…
07-13 07:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x011f8e…
07-13 07:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0b20ac…
07-13 05:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1db5cf…
07-13 05:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xe85824…
07-13 05:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe2b0d6…
07-13 05:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x99a7f6…
07-13 05:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x69609b…
07-13 04:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xacd877…
07-13 04:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x294945…
07-13 04:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x5ecf43…
07-13 04:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x5a0348…
07-13 04:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9e5e1b…
07-13 04:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe3bb79…
07-13 04:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x8a432c…
07-13 04:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x71af36…
07-13 02:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x0248b7…
07-13 01:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x73e842…
07-13 01:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x0ae815…
07-13 01:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x25405c…
07-13 01:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0xe40d93…
07-12 11:13:37	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9faebe…