Gaseous-Metric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

167

Trades

440

lifetime

Volume

$59.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-24 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

69% 18% +$18,515

Crypto

28% 32% -$1,021

Other

3% 25% -$78

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	10	$32.4K	27,632	27,632	+0	Yes	+$22,547	02-28 09:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$2.3K	1,303	1,303	+0	Yes	+$233	04-07 23:38
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$1000	4,933	0	+4,933	No	-$1,000	03-18 19:40
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$1000	5,660	0	+5,660	No	-$1,000	03-18 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:55 UTC	3	$994	896	893	+3	Down	+$777	03-19 15:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$980	1,420	0	+1,420	No	-$980	05-29 15:28
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$904	833	833	+0	Yes	+$704	05-21 13:56
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$800	3,463	0	+3,463	No	-$800	04-08 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 17:10 UTC	2	$515	333	329	+5	Up	+$120	03-19 17:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$500	910	0	+910	Yes	-$500	04-08 13:14
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	1	$500	4,031	0	+4,031	No	-$500	04-02 02:30
saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	1	$500	5,482	0	+5,482	No	-$500	03-20 21:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:25 UTC	3	$490	297	293	+4	Up	+$94	03-19 16:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	5	$450	32,276	0	+32,276	No	-$450	03-02 11:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:45 UTC	5	$410	5,037	0	+5,037	Up	-$410	03-19 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$384	554	190	+363	Down	-$216	05-16 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:25 UTC	11	$357	250	250	+0	Up	+$137	03-19 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$318	625	0	+625	Up	+$307	05-16 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:20 UTC	3	$310	2,335	0	+2,335	Down	-$310	03-19 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$300	535	0	+535	Down	-$300	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$291	270	270	+0	Down	+$91	05-16 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$281	306	189	+118	Down	-$119	05-16 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC	2	$249	153	151	+2	Down	+$51	03-18 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$238	427	0	+427	Up	+$188	05-10 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:45 UTC	3	$230	352	0	+352	Down	+$122	03-18 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$225	127	127	+0	Down	+$25	05-15 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$225	2,440	0	+2,440	Up	-$225	05-16 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:35 UTC	4	$220	3,519	0	+3,519	Up	-$220	03-19 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:30 UTC	3	$210	1,863	0	+1,863	Up	-$210	03-19 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 18:25 UTC	3	$210	1,643	0	+1,643	Down	-$210	03-19 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 09:11:13	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x045fa7…
05-29 15:28:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,420	69¢	$980	0x16a62f…
05-28 23:43:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x13c48f…
05-28 18:51:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0x0823ac…
05-26 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x037666…
05-23 15:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	573	4¢	$25	0x3b790d…
05-23 15:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	358	3¢	$11	0x2c0055…
05-21 14:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x592a9f…
05-21 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7f6a00…
05-21 14:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	108	15¢	$17	0x6bf29f…
05-21 14:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xaf58e0…
05-21 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x5f4d22…
05-21 13:56:24	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	833	96¢	$804	0xc05c3d…
05-17 04:28:01	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x6efd13…
05-17 04:19:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	791	13¢	$100	0x67af34…
05-17 04:10:59	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0x9027d1…
05-16 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa73003…
05-16 01:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x77260e…
05-16 01:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x13c73a…
05-16 00:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xaefd7e…
05-16 00:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x57a51c…
05-16 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	190	44¢	$84	0x8e9e62…
05-16 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xccb04b…
05-16 00:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	499	20¢	$100	0xadd72b…
05-16 00:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,051	2¢	$25	0x471696…
05-16 00:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	905	11¢	$100	0x233d5b…
05-16 00:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	484	21¢	$100	0x47abcd…
05-16 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa63a30…
05-16 00:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	189	43¢	$81	0xbd7327…
05-16 00:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xe7d030…
05-16 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x978893…
05-16 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x5e5b9d…
05-16 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xa8e69c…
05-16 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xa9046c…
05-16 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0x76e841…
05-16 00:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x760a82…
05-16 00:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	270	71¢	$191	0x3688d3…
05-16 00:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x3634a0…
05-16 00:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x419a52…
05-16 00:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1ef5fc…
05-15 16:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x378534…
05-15 16:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	355	28¢	$100	0x4600eb…
05-15 16:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	284	35¢	$100	0xbcca61…
05-15 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	41¢	$30	0x5453e4…
05-15 16:04:19	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	BUY	577	17¢	$100	0xd12d69…
05-15 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x564c5c…
05-15 14:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0xa851e2…
05-15 14:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x0e8079…
05-15 14:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xc09b9e…
05-12 07:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,135	9¢	$100	0x9537ce…
05-12 07:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc9fa5d…
05-12 07:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x95a4a4…
05-10 11:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0b00ee…
05-10 11:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x28018e…
05-10 11:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xf542c0…
05-10 11:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	241	4¢	$10	0x198bf1…
05-10 11:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xf0e05a…
05-10 11:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	329	30¢	$100	0xc12aa4…
05-10 11:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x5114c9…
05-10 11:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0xf045d9…
05-10 11:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x758868…
05-10 11:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,583	1¢	$16	0x1d8c0e…
04-15 16:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc1d2df…
04-14 08:36:25	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,151	3¢	$40	0x879291…
04-12 13:27:51	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x4666a3…
04-08 15:38:57	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,062	23¢	$700	0xbf5487…
04-08 13:14:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	910	55¢	$500	0x95d0ea…
04-08 10:30:11	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	401	25¢	$100	0x713c0d…
04-07 23:38:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,303	98¢	$1,283	0xdc2ccb…
04-07 22:55:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	617	89¢	$550	0xf22f9a…
04-07 22:36:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	686	73¢	$500	0x7ada64…
04-06 22:42:35	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,422	7¢	$100	0x7f8d14…
04-02 02:30:11	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,031	12¢	$500	0x4e4df9…
04-02 02:23:33	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$10	0xd9483d…
04-02 02:02:25	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	416	5¢	$20	0x61a692…
03-24 15:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x12ec25…
03-20 21:41:35	Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf6b873…
03-20 21:40:05	Will Denmark come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x5ee526…
03-20 21:21:07	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	5,482	9¢	$500	0x7a49ec…
03-20 21:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0x5a80dd…
03-20 21:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xc1c51b…
03-20 21:09:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7c355b…
03-20 21:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6c70aa…
03-20 21:01:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xa48928…
03-20 20:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xbd0f3c…
03-20 20:57:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	131	23¢	$30	0x44dffe…
03-20 20:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	106	38¢	$40	0xab67e5…
03-20 20:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x80ab9a…
03-20 20:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xfb88b8…
03-20 20:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xc6becf…
03-20 20:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x575428…
03-20 20:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	149	96¢	$143	0xb28c73…
03-20 20:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xab31da…
03-20 20:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x97b770…
03-20 20:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	218	5¢	$10	0xf81b6f…
03-20 14:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x581721…
03-20 14:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x0e0ff2…
03-20 14:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	246	4¢	$10	0xb6058b…
03-20 14:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	167	93¢	$155	0x5551a0…
03-20 14:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x110ae6…