Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$284

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$59.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-15 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$284

Politics

24% 0% —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes		-63	$-20	46¢	$-29	$-9	06-15 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	5	$4.1K	2,516	2,516	+0	No	+$284	04-13 04:05
will project hail mary 4th weekend box office be less than 18m	3	$2.4K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	04-11 08:54
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	7	$2.3K	2,017	1,516	+501	open	—	04-11 21:59
will hamnet win exactly 1 award at the oscars	6	$1.5K	966	966	+0	open	—	02-27 14:11
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 60m and 65m	7	$1.5K	925	833	+92	open	—	02-25 10:09
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	5	$1.4K	1,238	1,011	+227	open	—	04-13 16:56
will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	2	$1.4K	865	865	+0	open	—	03-24 08:51
will trump say gulf of america in february	4	$1.2K	828	828	+0	open	—	02-20 12:55
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 23 be less than 2200000	9	$1.2K	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	02-23 18:44
will turnout in the first round of the texas republican senate primary be between 2200000 and 2400000 voters	3	$1.1K	926	926	+0	open	—	02-26 23:29
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.1K	864	864	+0	open	—	04-21 03:42
will chlo zhao win best director at the 98th academy awards	3	$1.1K	544	543	+1	open	—	02-24 00:28
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	4	$1.0K	634	634	+0	open	—	01-09 15:06
will trump say ukraine during the state of the union address	2	$1.0K	584	584	+0	open	—	02-23 19:00
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	7	$1.0K	741	741	+0	open	—	01-11 13:48
scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	4	$1.0K	956	956	+0	open	—	02-21 02:07
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$958	908	899	+9	open	—	04-11 18:45
will fredrick love win the 2026 arkansas governor democratic primary election	5	$922	549	549	+0	open	—	01-10 01:43
will january 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	4	$870	584	584	+0	open	—	01-09 08:17
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	3	$834	556	556	+0	open	—	03-31 08:21
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	2	$809	578	578	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 16:06
col1 isf atn 2026 02 07 atn	3	$795	681	681	+0	open	—	02-28 08:39
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$724	652	652	+0	open	—	03-30 15:21
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	4	$684	459	459	+0	open	—	01-10 14:01
will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	5	$658	982	982	+0	open	—	01-09 02:44
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$634	598	598	+0	open	—	04-09 22:00
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in march	2	$619	418	418	+0	open	—	02-28 19:29
will israel be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	1	$610	753	0	+753	open	—	03-24 16:29
elc cha por 2025 12 06 total 2pt5	1	$609	896	0	+896	open	—	01-31 21:28
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	1	$608	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	04-13 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:43:06	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	32¢	$20	0xee521c…
04-23 14:43:48	FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	237	60¢	$141	0x34dcc4…
04-21 03:42:48	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	864	62¢	$536	0x42625d…
04-13 17:56:39	will trump say melania this week april 19	No	BUY	940	59¢	$555	0x4c1f5e…
04-13 17:40:17	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	864	64¢	$553	0x2326cd…
04-13 17:01:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	195	27¢	$53	0x410ad3…
04-13 16:56:51	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	326	54¢	$176	0x206e7b…
04-13 16:06:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	SELL	578	70¢	$405	0x829db7…
04-13 15:52:53	col1 foc ad1 2026 02 08 ad1	Yes	SELL	589	39¢	$230	0x0d19ae…
04-13 15:52:37	col1 foc ad1 2026 02 08 ad1	Yes	SELL	351	39¢	$137	0xee8f72…
04-13 15:19:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	195	37¢	$72	0xd1dacd…
04-13 15:18:45	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	553	56¢	$310	0x5ed97c…
04-13 15:11:21	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	959	46¢	$441	0x48e087…
04-13 14:59:51	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1,056	58¢	$608	0xad28b8…
04-13 13:29:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	672	61¢	$410	0x0d515d…
04-13 13:29:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	158	61¢	$96	0x934990…
04-13 12:50:59	col1 foc ad1 2026 02 08 ad1	Yes	BUY	940	13¢	$123	0x23fd49…
04-13 12:20:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	578	70¢	$405	0x0cbfc4…
04-13 04:19:25	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	94	23¢	$22	0xd1d3ba…
04-13 04:05:53	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	644	87¢	$560	0x304618…
04-13 04:04:37	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	780	87¢	$679	0xcc9c55…
04-13 04:03:33	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	643	87¢	$559	0xfb9f71…
04-12 08:46:57	US bank failure by June 30?	Yes	SELL	623	28¢	$174	0xcaa746…
04-11 21:59:17	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	501	16¢	$80	0x06a311…
04-11 21:17:19	US bank failure by June 30?	Yes	BUY	623	26¢	$162	0x747c1c…
04-11 18:57:21	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	185	56¢	$104	0x5cd732…
04-11 18:57:09	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	32	56¢	$18	0x1a8167…
04-11 18:45:23	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	54¢	$98	0x57d46d…
04-11 18:45:01	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	596	54¢	$322	0xa196c3…
04-11 18:43:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	54¢	$66	0x8f3066…
04-11 18:22:35	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	71	49¢	$35	0x99e947…
04-11 17:10:13	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	449	83¢	$373	0x75177e…
04-11 17:03:47	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	69	60¢	$41	0x981274…
04-11 17:00:37	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	715	60¢	$429	0x1fd5ed…
04-11 16:59:09	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	112	60¢	$67	0xbbe44d…
04-11 14:04:45	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x2abf4e…
04-11 13:13:59	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	217	57¢	$124	0x62c84b…
04-11 12:09:41	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0xc352d7…
04-11 12:09:25	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	758	52¢	$394	0x44edb2…
04-11 08:54:27	will project hail mary 4th weekend box office be less than 18m	No	SELL	837	98¢	$821	0xdae292…
04-11 08:53:19	will project hail mary 4th weekend box office be less than 18m	No	SELL	446	98¢	$438	0x005e16…
04-10 16:03:11	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0xe54569…
04-10 14:26:07	will project hail mary 4th weekend box office be less than 18m	No	BUY	1,283	89¢	$1,142	0xc37dd8…
04-09 22:16:23	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	570	58¢	$331	0x0a9d5c…
04-09 22:15:23	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x4763af…
04-09 22:00:21	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	54¢	$56	0x620470…
04-09 21:58:47	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	224	54¢	$121	0xc648ab…
04-09 21:57:31	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	271	54¢	$146	0x4f64ab…
04-09 12:53:03	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,016	17¢	$173	0x6de090…
04-09 11:41:45	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	479	11¢	$53	0x9c1db2…
04-09 11:40:49	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xe09c6a…
04-08 17:43:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	2,516	75¢	$1,887	0x0519da…
04-08 13:46:59	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	19¢	$68	0x2a09e5…
04-08 13:46:39	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	19¢	$13	0x217149…
04-08 13:46:21	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	582	19¢	$111	0xd279e6…
04-08 13:46:21	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x677864…
04-08 12:48:25	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	588	9¢	$53	0xe1d4b5…
04-07 16:52:03	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,516	84¢	$1,273	0x1cb10e…
04-07 12:56:51	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	598	52¢	$311	0x694050…
03-31 08:21:59	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	SELL	510	76¢	$388	0x57f0f7…
03-31 08:21:47	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	SELL	46	76¢	$35	0xd1048f…
03-30 17:08:53	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	SELL	48	29¢	$14	0x002806…
03-30 17:08:35	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	SELL	202	29¢	$59	0x51c1a8…
03-30 15:21:13	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0x5a70d9…
03-30 15:19:43	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	587	55¢	$323	0xe7c056…
03-29 19:03:58	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	BUY	556	74¢	$411	0x84ea5b…
03-29 17:36:16	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	652	56¢	$365	0xaa839d…
03-29 15:22:48	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	BUY	250	27¢	$68	0x97f866…
03-25 19:18:43	bra2 bot ber 2026 04 05 bot	Yes	SELL	361	48¢	$173	0xaa76c0…
03-25 19:05:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	305	82¢	$251	0xcfd18c…
03-25 18:58:59	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	524	31¢	$162	0x50cefb…
03-24 16:29:29	will israel be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	753	81¢	$610	0x702cae…
03-24 14:59:13	bra2 bot ber 2026 04 05 bot	Yes	BUY	361	41¢	$148	0x7f779e…
03-24 14:35:17	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	305	82¢	$251	0xb334c4…
03-24 12:51:11	cehl kar lib 2026 03 24	Liberec	BUY	580	48¢	$278	0x1c4c4e…
03-24 08:51:41	will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	SELL	865	87¢	$753	0x4ae5fe…
03-24 05:38:03	Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	53	30¢	$16	0xc3b159…
03-24 05:37:41	Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	510	30¢	$153	0x8dcec4…
03-23 21:28:43	will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	865	72¢	$623	0x15f0c3…
03-23 20:38:43	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	524	40¢	$210	0x869f46…
03-22 07:16:51	mex que jua 2026 02 22 draw	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x519765…
03-21 17:09:45	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	76	35¢	$27	0x840899…
03-20 21:39:39	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	76	37¢	$28	0xf3dd33…
03-20 21:14:35	Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	563	11¢	$62	0xd52394…
03-18 15:59:15	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	635	67¢	$425	0xe73cf4…
03-18 15:58:07	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xf1413a…
03-16 15:08:49	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	685	64¢	$438	0xb98742…
03-15 14:19:41	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	854	30¢	$256	0xc7c989…
03-13 03:43:29	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x333fd9…
03-11 10:31:01	will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	No	SELL	323	41¢	$132	0xfad276…
03-11 10:29:47	will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	No	SELL	85	43¢	$37	0xa30261…
03-10 16:08:33	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	SELL	280	15¢	$42	0xee078d…
03-06 14:11:23	will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	No	BUY	409	23¢	$94	0x589b97…
03-06 13:40:57	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	BUY	280	25¢	$70	0x14c5a3…
02-28 22:13:57	will sinners win best cast in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	No	SELL	480	31¢	$149	0xec285f…
02-28 20:39:41	will sinners win best cast in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	No	BUY	480	72¢	$346	0x67677a…
02-28 19:29:39	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	418	60¢	$251	0xd14549…
02-28 17:45:05	will adolescence win best producer of a tv limited or anthology series at the 37th pga awards	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f9a75…
02-28 17:39:45	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x1bbc88…
02-28 17:30:35	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	418	88¢	$368	0x0f324d…