Finished-Crocus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$263

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

562

Trades

2,027

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

83% 49% -$41

Sports

10% 45% -$143

Crypto

6% 48% -$103

Politics

1% 24% -$20

Tech

1% 100% +$43

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	10	$389	400	200	+200	Yes	-$129	07-01 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 10?	15	$338	217	217	+0	Yes	+$63	06-10 09:41
crint ind nzl 2026 01 28	16	$332	369	369	+0	New Zealand	-$44	01-28 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 13:45 UTC	3	$311	159	159	+0	Up	+$3	01-05 13:57
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 520 539	2	$309	157	157	+0	No	+$5	01-09 08:41
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 140 164	4	$294	153	153	+0	No	+$10	01-17 11:19
nba atl lal 2026 01 13	6	$276	164	164	+0	Lakers	-$4	01-14 05:37
crsou pre mi 2026 01 12	8	$260	279	279	+0	Pretoria Capitals	+$68	01-12 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 1?	4	$254	152	152	+0	Yes	+$35	07-01 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	10	$244	125	125	+0	No	+$5	05-23 15:36
crint ind nzl 2026 01 11	8	$227	300	300	+0	India	+$13	01-11 15:40
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 total 4pt5	3	$227	118	118	+0	Under	+$2	01-25 17:06
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 65 89	2	$227	118	118	+0	No	+$10	01-14 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?	8	$227	120	120	+0	Yes	+$12	05-31 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	11	$199	170	170	+0	Yes	+$53	05-22 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?	15	$196	150	150	+0	Yes	+$86	06-19 07:25
epl bre not 2026 01 25 total 3pt5	3	$190	97	97	+0	Under	+$5	01-25 15:58
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	7	$187	182	182	+0	Yes	+$85	06-30 04:16
nba nyk sac 2026 01 14	2	$185	100	100	+0	Kings	+$11	01-15 04:59
bitcoin up or down january 2 9am et	2	$184	175	175	+0	Up	-$2	01-02 14:02
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559	2	$181	99	99	+0	No	+$7	01-09 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$177	100	100	+0	No	+$23	05-08 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 9?	14	$176	103	103	+0	No	+$28	06-09 10:06
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	10	$176	177	177	+0	No	-$1	01-16 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?	7	$176	233	233	-0	Yes	-$112	06-20 15:33
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$175	100	100	+0	No	+$25	06-30 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 17?	6	$170	100	100	+0	Yes	+$30	05-17 12:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	2	$169	100	100	+0	No	+$31	06-29 11:00
crint ind nzl 2026 01 23	5	$167	89	89	+0	India	+$10	01-23 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 27?	2	$165	90	90	+0	No	+$13	06-27 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 10:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x84818c…
07-16 10:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x9d2b31…
07-16 10:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0xdc90be…
07-16 09:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x19d20b…
07-16 09:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa7e14a…
07-16 09:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc6fe0c…
07-16 09:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0x091d1e…
07-16 07:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0x938ea4…
07-16 07:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x74e480…
07-16 06:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x7a0dec…
07-16 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x673f5b…
07-16 03:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x1237c3…
07-15 22:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xbc3013…
07-15 22:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6c5883…
07-15 22:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc292fa…
07-15 15:21:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x88eac8…
07-15 14:19:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xcd97a1…
07-15 12:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	62	87¢	$54	0x660e80…
07-15 11:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x9d6327…
07-15 10:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x3e5864…
07-15 10:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x934ad0…
07-15 10:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x546370…
07-15 09:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xd955aa…
07-15 09:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x62f856…
07-15 08:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7736e7…
07-15 08:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xde84c2…
07-14 14:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xee009b…
07-14 13:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0xe7423b…
07-14 12:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x95d412…
07-14 12:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x378555…
07-14 10:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x5af3ee…
07-14 10:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xc42b68…
07-14 10:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcacb86…
07-14 10:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xddc507…
07-13 16:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xd9da00…
07-13 16:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x59e306…
07-13 12:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?	No	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x6b75a5…
07-13 07:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0x9e08d5…
07-13 07:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xf5a404…
07-13 05:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x017455…
07-13 05:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x09593c…
07-13 03:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x887aa2…
07-13 03:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xf11da3…
07-13 03:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xd4990a…
07-12 16:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	39	92¢	$35	0xe4beb9…
07-12 13:10:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x66ed44…
07-12 13:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$10	0x29ebed…
07-12 13:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xfd8a97…
07-12 05:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb4f275…
07-12 05:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x39b31d…
07-12 05:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x019b6d…
07-03 03:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xa04738…
07-03 03:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0x5c3ff4…
07-03 03:42:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x854c72…
07-02 23:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x127877…
07-02 22:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x03a804…
07-02 22:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x650cf5…
07-02 22:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x88ae9a…
07-02 22:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xa73442…
07-02 22:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xfa9eb6…
07-02 22:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9d209f…
07-02 21:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x11231d…
07-02 21:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7a4bf5…
07-02 15:35:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	88	78¢	$68	0xff79b0…
07-02 15:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xa0c397…
07-02 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x8d1d04…
07-02 09:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x4ad5f3…
07-02 09:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	27	35¢	$9	0xbcd52c…
07-02 08:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x69d310…
07-02 08:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x27e305…
07-01 14:53:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1ac877…
07-01 12:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0x30dac0…
07-01 12:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x5a6a9c…
07-01 12:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xe404b9…
07-01 12:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x5b4244…
07-01 12:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x2d0ad3…
07-01 08:50:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x24f316…
07-01 08:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa10f33…
07-01 08:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe97e86…
07-01 08:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x0d632b…
07-01 08:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	125	95¢	$119	0x963f2f…
07-01 07:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	152	72¢	$109	0xc5b1c5…
07-01 05:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xd8efdf…
07-01 05:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x5c7dee…
07-01 05:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xc0607e…
07-01 05:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xa496d8…
07-01 05:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0xd56a2d…
07-01 02:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x7fd4bb…
07-01 02:34:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd5d1b2…
07-01 01:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	58	44¢	$26	0x49d01f…
06-30 19:25:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x29dbee…
06-30 19:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0xe1925f…
06-30 19:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6e3b97…
06-30 18:58:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdd343a…
06-30 18:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xcce4ee…
06-30 18:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x65169c…
06-30 18:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xc7550b…
06-30 18:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x517c3b…
06-30 17:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0xb50f5a…
06-30 12:33:38	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5d4941…