Thirsty-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

412

lifetime

Volume

$7.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$15

Other

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	1	$1.3K	1,462	+1,462	open	—	01-26 02:52
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	3	$979	1,255	+1,255	open	—	01-07 06:42
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	1	$940	979	+979	open	—	01-05 05:02
bitcoin above 71200 on april 9 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:39
xrp above 1pt3 on april 3	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-03 15:00
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-17 15:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-28 15:01
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	05-28 15:32
bitcoin above 72200 on april 10 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-10 15:27
bitcoin above 69400 on april 6 2026 1pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-06 16:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-28 15:01
ethereum above 2200 on april 9	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:03
ethereum above 2300 on april 16	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-16 15:19
ethereum above 2300 on april 24	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-24 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-29 15:01
Bitcoin above 77,400 on May 1, 12AM ET?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-01 03:34
eth updown 4h 1775188800	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-03 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-03 15:04
eth updown 4h 1775692800	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-09 03:13
eth updown 4h 1780920000	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	06-08 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-11 11:01
btc updown 4h 1776312000	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-16 07:52
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-04 03:05
xrp updown 4h 1777017600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-24 11:29
sol updown 4h 1776614400	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-19 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-07 07:00
xrp updown 4h 1775505600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-06 23:00
will xrp dip to 1pt35 on april 15	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-16 03:04
eth updown 4h 1775505600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-06 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:27:06	eth updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11fe1d…
06-09 02:57:27	eth updown 15m 1780973100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f1aab…
06-08 17:57:25	eth updown 15m 1780940700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c8fe4…
06-08 15:30:54	bnb updown 4h 1780920000	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb1b416…
06-08 15:30:10	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x529e2d…
06-08 11:57:54	xrp updown 15m 1780919100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca8827…
06-08 11:46:58	btc updown 4h 1780905600	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x888e8c…
06-08 11:28:12	sol updown 4h 1780905600	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc11bda…
06-08 11:28:09	eth updown 4h 1780905600	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x68c1ce…
06-08 10:54:28	solana up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x48c958…
06-07 20:27:57	sol updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89cdc3…
06-07 20:27:55	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c513c…
06-07 14:51:57	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa769b0…
06-07 14:51:54	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x992216…
06-02 20:25:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe14473…
06-02 11:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdd0ef…
06-02 07:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x586614…
06-02 03:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x5c6c81…
06-01 12:56:08	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0004f9…
06-01 03:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb07857…
06-01 03:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xaee1f9…
05-31 21:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x716b2a…
05-30 19:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd49480…
05-30 19:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32ce10…
05-30 16:50:19	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a48fe…
05-30 14:14:35	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62591e…
05-29 23:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x68ec65…
05-29 07:51:21	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe69807…
05-28 20:11:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x493083…
05-28 20:11:28	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca62df…
05-28 20:11:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x41d50f…
05-28 20:11:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x367d50…
05-28 20:11:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x481cd0…
05-28 16:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f9404…
05-28 15:32:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x59368e…
05-28 15:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xf84751…
05-28 15:01:55	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd6ba07…
05-28 15:01:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfc5ccd…
05-28 15:01:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb1536a…
05-28 07:53:47	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x82835a…
05-28 03:26:13	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x25d6d4…
05-28 03:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x61d941…
05-26 23:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xf3630a…
05-26 20:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1242f3…
05-26 20:10:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2b301f…
05-26 20:10:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8e975…
05-26 20:10:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x914b03…
05-26 11:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3fc9f8…
05-25 23:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xae8e6d…
05-13 07:19:52	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x950570…
05-13 04:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a1552…
05-12 20:11:20	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5fa84…
05-12 20:11:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc0c7a9…
05-12 20:11:15	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x21883e…
05-12 18:54:06	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58d92f…
05-12 06:55:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x06879f…
05-11 19:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xbda68d…
05-11 19:00:23	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdfdadc…
05-11 19:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7998c6…
05-11 18:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd244e5…
05-11 11:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe59d1a…
05-11 11:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90d44b…
05-11 11:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf2907…
05-11 11:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dbc23…
05-11 11:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x5d5c25…
05-11 10:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4e6f54…
05-11 06:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4bd07c…
05-11 04:51:19	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x995531…
05-10 23:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa4ee16…
05-09 22:52:19	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe325f6…
05-09 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf53d0f…
05-09 16:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6ae311…
05-09 13:50:20	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc12286…
05-09 13:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa8a40c…
05-09 10:54:54	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf2f878…
05-08 05:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5d5eb…
05-08 03:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x18af28…
05-08 03:01:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb49477…
05-08 03:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x47da5f…
05-07 20:55:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc5feb5…
05-07 20:55:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97d399…
05-07 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2462bc…
05-07 15:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x62d70f…
05-07 15:01:10	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8dd2a1…
05-07 15:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa20904…
05-07 11:11:43	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x25bbe4…
05-07 09:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x11e8cd…
05-07 07:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x202ee4…
05-07 07:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa672e4…
05-07 01:56:37	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x047035…
05-06 17:55:11	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c23f0…
05-06 16:50:49	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c71ef…
05-06 14:50:27	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdb5d9f…
05-06 03:24:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x77199a…
05-05 16:51:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6bf601…
05-05 16:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5c4e8…
05-05 16:51:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5b163…
05-05 13:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf804fd…
05-05 13:58:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7a2030…
05-05 07:13:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c1ef3…