Thirsty-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

547

lifetime

Volume

$8.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-20 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$15

Other

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	1	$1.3K	1,462	+1,462	open	—	01-26 02:52
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	3	$979	1,255	+1,255	open	—	01-07 06:42
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	1	$940	979	+979	open	—	01-05 05:02
xrp above 1pt3 on april 3	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-03 15:00
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-17 15:04
bitcoin above 71200 on april 9 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:39
xrp above 1pt1 on july 9 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	07-09 15:00
ethereum above 1800 on july 5 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-05 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-28 15:01
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	05-28 15:32
bitcoin above 72200 on april 10 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-10 15:27
bitcoin above 69400 on april 6 2026 1pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-06 16:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-28 15:01
ethereum above 2200 on april 9	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:03
ethereum above 2300 on april 16	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-16 15:19
ethereum above 2300 on april 24	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-24 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-29 15:01
Bitcoin above 77,400 on May 1, 12AM ET?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-01 03:34
eth updown 4h 1775188800	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-03 07:05
eth updown 4h 1775692800	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-09 03:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-03 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-11 11:01
eth updown 4h 1780920000	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	06-08 15:30
eth updown 4h 1776168000	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-14 15:09
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-04 03:05
sol updown 4h 1783684800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	07-10 15:02
sol updown 4h 1775491200	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-06 19:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-02 07:53
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-28 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:52:01	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf84d99…
07-20 03:03:31	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 19	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3d5b6f…
07-20 03:03:30	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x2560eb…
07-19 23:04:15	sol updown 5m 1784502000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb16f35…
07-19 17:58:07	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x378a0e…
07-19 08:27:33	eth updown 15m 1784448900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x558808…
07-19 07:27:54	eth updown 15m 1784445300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97e200…
07-19 05:59:30	btc updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80af4e…
07-19 00:50:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb41755…
07-18 10:13:46	xrp updown 15m 1784368800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x499d5b…
07-17 23:27:22	btc updown 15m 1784330100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54e190…
07-17 15:42:30	sol updown 15m 1784302200	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x512f54…
07-17 15:42:27	doge updown 15m 1784302200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf88ee1…
07-17 15:42:24	xrp updown 15m 1784302200	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe9df69…
07-17 07:01:07	btc updown 4h 1784260800	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x65bfa0…
07-17 07:01:04	eth updown 4h 1784260800	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe38fab…
07-17 07:01:00	xrp updown 4h 1784260800	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4649b0…
07-17 03:42:52	eth updown 15m 1784259000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe65001…
07-17 03:42:19	sol updown 15m 1784259000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb24704…
07-17 03:42:15	btc updown 15m 1784259000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x514ea5…
07-16 23:53:08	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbff199…
07-16 23:53:07	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbbbc1b…
07-16 06:57:52	sol updown 15m 1784184300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x500dc1…
07-16 00:57:46	eth updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9f2463…
07-15 23:05:55	sol updown 4h 1784145600	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x7a948b…
07-15 02:50:14	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x73d145…
07-14 23:54:01	xrp up or down july 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x60803a…
07-14 23:53:59	solana up or down july 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3431d…
07-14 20:55:59	ethereum up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x91bcf1…
07-14 20:55:56	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xebd8de…
07-14 17:50:53	solana up or down july 14 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x87af37…
07-14 17:50:50	ethereum up or down july 14 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0af97a…
07-14 17:24:11	xrp updown 5m 1784049600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfff70…
07-14 04:50:31	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6fc6a…
07-13 19:50:32	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe6fbf2…
07-13 19:50:23	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x252f58…
07-13 19:50:13	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x67b5a3…
07-13 19:50:11	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7400df…
07-13 18:51:05	solana up or down july 13 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x363670…
07-13 17:14:23	eth updown 15m 1783962000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef55af…
07-13 08:51:58	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb388e0…
07-13 02:52:20	solana up or down july 12 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x537261…
07-12 16:24:59	xrp updown 5m 1783873200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28ab1b…
07-12 11:39:26	eth updown 4h 1783843200	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2b8525…
07-12 04:50:14	ethereum up or down july 12 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x43a553…
07-11 18:28:58	eth updown 15m 1783793700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x487557…
07-11 18:28:56	btc updown 15m 1783793700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9e4c9…
07-11 15:51:19	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65f0ca…
07-11 13:51:34	ethereum up or down july 11 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc7da52…
07-11 10:57:14	sol updown 15m 1783766700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf86e81…
07-11 10:57:10	btc updown 15m 1783766700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9899dd…
07-11 10:55:14	xrp up or down july 11 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9630df…
07-11 04:43:20	sol updown 15m 1783744200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65dd03…
07-11 04:43:19	eth updown 15m 1783744200	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x09ce47…
07-11 03:14:14	eth updown 15m 1783738800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17e4b2…
07-11 00:51:35	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x439d0b…
07-10 22:13:07	eth updown 15m 1783720800	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x44a088…
07-10 18:56:38	xrp up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x619cf7…
07-10 17:50:14	xrp up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6c8144…
07-10 17:44:01	sol updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51f5da…
07-10 15:02:04	sol updown 4h 1783684800	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x30f65c…
07-10 15:01:59	xrp updown 4h 1783684800	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x99b803…
07-10 11:00:35	eth updown 4h 1783670400	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa00212…
07-10 11:00:34	btc updown 4h 1783670400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa04404…
07-10 10:51:04	solana up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf1573c…
07-10 10:50:59	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x489648…
07-10 05:50:43	solana up or down july 10 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2bad33…
07-10 05:50:40	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9053b8…
07-10 03:14:22	btc updown 15m 1783652400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd68b7c…
07-10 01:13:49	eth updown 15m 1783645200	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x892f32…
07-09 15:54:47	xrp up or down july 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0b214c…
07-09 15:00:22	xrp above 1pt1 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc40794…
07-08 22:52:50	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7a9971…
07-08 20:14:25	sol updown 5m 1783541400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54d32c…
07-08 17:50:05	xrp up or down july 8 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x017787…
07-07 23:32:28	btc updown 4h 1783454400	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9c011f…
07-07 19:16:49	btc updown 4h 1783440000	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9159d3…
07-07 19:13:25	btc updown 15m 1783450800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd01490…
07-07 16:50:17	ethereum up or down july 7 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x25a02a…
07-06 15:35:02	bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x82b4b7…
07-06 07:51:53	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9a724b…
07-06 07:51:50	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x596887…
07-06 03:51:44	solana up or down july 5 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x684736…
07-05 16:51:25	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x10f713…
07-05 15:11:11	solana up or down on july 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fb1d9…
07-05 15:00:55	eth updown 4h 1783252800	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x85cf0c…
07-05 15:00:46	ethereum above 1800 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7719be…
07-05 11:42:55	eth updown 15m 1783251000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd5966…
07-05 11:02:02	btc updown 4h 1783238400	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xf03303…
07-04 19:51:14	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd8848e…
07-03 22:43:47	btc updown 15m 1783117800	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x37da4b…
07-03 15:12:20	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x1a59f7…
07-03 15:12:16	solana up or down on july 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde2e0e…
07-03 14:12:19	sol updown 15m 1783087200	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf8cd66…
07-02 22:51:53	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2bee45…
07-02 19:12:37	eth updown 15m 1783018800	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x917128…
07-01 09:58:23	btc updown 15m 1782899100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2080c…
07-01 07:13:08	btc updown 15m 1782889200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fa6d8…
07-01 02:52:28	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3dec82…
06-30 23:58:52	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e59e4…