Thirsty-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

756

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-04 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 95% +$280

Other

5% 98% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	1	$1.3K	1,462	+1,462	Yes	+$206	01-26 02:52
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	3	$979	1,255	+1,255	No	+$276	01-07 06:42
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	1	$940	979	+979	Yes	+$39	01-05 05:02
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on August 28?	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	08-28 15:14
bitcoin above 71200 on april 9 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-09 15:39
xrp above 1pt3 on april 3	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-03 15:00
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-17 15:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-27 15:22
bitcoin above 80k on august 31 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-31 15:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 1?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-01 15:00
xrp above 1pt1 on july 9 2026	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	07-09 15:00
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 1?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-01 15:00
ethereum above 1800 on july 5 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	07-05 15:00
ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-04 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-28 15:01
xrp above 1 on august 11 2026	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	08-11 15:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	-$20	04-09 15:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-28 15:32
bitcoin above 72200 on april 10 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-10 15:27
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on August 26?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-26 15:10
bitcoin above 69400 on april 6 2026 1pm et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-06 16:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-28 15:01
ethereum above 2500 on august 31 2026	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	08-31 15:01
ethereum above 2400 on september 4 2026	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	09-04 15:00
ethereum above 2200 on april 9	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	-$19	04-09 15:03
ethereum above 2300 on april 24	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	04-24 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	1	$19	20	+20	No	-$19	04-29 15:01
ethereum above 2300 on april 16	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	04-16 15:19
bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	09-04 15:00
Bitcoin above 77,400 on May 1, 12AM ET?	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	05-01 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 15:00:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x867517…
09-04 15:00:30	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xfd381b…
09-04 15:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x91e0e8…
09-04 15:00:25	ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6d1279…
09-04 15:00:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x8e5918…
09-04 15:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2fb26f…
09-04 15:00:18	ethereum above 2400 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc7f1bc…
09-04 04:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85f503…
09-04 03:05:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x901c40…
09-04 03:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x78b27a…
09-03 20:41:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9da6e5…
09-03 20:41:04	wti up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd94e45…
09-03 11:45:25	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4ed421…
09-03 11:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6fa626…
09-03 11:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xbca979…
09-03 07:57:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xacb8c5…
09-03 05:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3b945e…
09-03 05:50:49	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc99f82…
09-02 20:13:37	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 2?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75deaf…
09-02 20:13:34	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 2?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93322a…
09-02 20:13:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a4b35…
09-02 17:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c5985…
09-02 14:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe57cef…
09-02 12:53:40	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76e5fc…
09-02 07:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xcfec1f…
09-01 23:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x29d0bc…
09-01 15:00:58	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc1a964…
09-01 15:00:55	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc1bc43…
09-01 15:00:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8b49d7…
09-01 15:00:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd6af8d…
09-01 15:00:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde4ca3…
08-31 23:08:57	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd7a621…
08-31 21:54:16	ethereum up or down august 31 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xffb735…
08-31 20:11:27	wti closes above 83 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x261715…
08-31 20:11:24	wti closes above 85 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6cc657…
08-31 20:11:21	wti closes above 87 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccf747…
08-31 19:14:42	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x85028f…
08-31 15:36:58	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe952f7…
08-31 15:14:03	solana above 100 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4977e…
08-31 15:11:39	xrp up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x152acf…
08-31 15:11:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9d30e…
08-31 15:01:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on August 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x622df1…
08-31 15:01:39	bitcoin above 80k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2093e3…
08-31 15:01:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfb8239…
08-31 15:01:33	ethereum above 2500 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2d7677…
08-31 11:21:12	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf06c65…
08-31 11:21:11	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc2f3ce…
08-31 04:51:55	ethereum up or down august 31 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90bdca…
08-31 03:08:06	will ethereum dip to 2350 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc22ddf…
08-31 03:08:03	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xff45db…
08-30 23:04:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcb9e60…
08-30 23:04:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x23b5b1…
08-30 23:04:09	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaea02a…
08-30 15:14:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84f83e…
08-30 15:10:45	solana up or down on august 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeab5d6…
08-30 11:34:21	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1ca2f6…
08-30 07:07:36	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x2acc76…
08-30 03:50:33	ethereum up or down august 29 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb80f3a…
08-30 02:58:00	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6c640…
08-29 19:28:40	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc00b47…
08-29 16:52:34	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97122e…
08-28 23:48:18	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x69ef90…
08-28 19:50:33	ethereum up or down august 28 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4d5680…
08-28 15:14:16	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x472df7…
08-28 15:14:13	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x137b81…
08-28 15:14:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb69f81…
08-28 11:21:49	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x211f3b…
08-28 11:21:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcbe2ec…
08-28 07:00:52	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x167b51…
08-28 06:52:19	solana up or down august 28 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcaf78a…
08-27 20:53:43	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x476b45…
08-27 20:53:40	ethereum up or down august 27 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x392f7d…
08-27 19:33:27	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6909ac…
08-27 15:22:34	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x4af75c…
08-27 15:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e63a1…
08-27 15:22:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 27?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x48e52a…
08-27 15:22:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa0bafd…
08-27 15:05:06	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2e8d87…
08-27 11:50:48	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x013b4c…
08-27 03:04:39	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb35861…
08-27 03:04:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x3d6f91…
08-27 03:04:33	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8358ea…
08-26 22:55:16	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x290707…
08-26 19:33:01	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe90088…
08-26 15:53:28	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7bd4cd…
08-26 15:26:49	bnb up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a0535…
08-26 15:10:45	solana up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x07567e…
08-26 15:10:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on August 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x181071…
08-25 23:06:49	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x80797c…
08-25 20:54:12	wti closes above 82 on august 25 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2688d…
08-25 17:54:55	bnb up or down august 25 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a7e92…
08-25 15:11:09	bnb up or down on august 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc170c…
08-25 15:11:06	xrp up or down on august 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb65287…
08-25 15:11:04	solana up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x652248…
08-25 11:48:19	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe09287…
08-25 03:12:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb154ee…
08-25 03:09:43	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf47b8e…
08-25 03:09:40	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba3ff9…
08-24 13:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8bf8a9…
08-24 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x213e58…