Liquid-Fellow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

242

Trades

539

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 09-23 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% +$112

Other

3% 29% $0

Politics

2% 75% +$1

Sports

2% 33% +$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	8	$188	184	184	+0	Down	+$0	06-04 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	4	$124	139	139	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	2	$96	97	97	+0	Up	-$1	05-28 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$91	122	67	+55	Up	+$23	05-25 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$81	100	52	+48	Up	+$24	05-23 20:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	7	$66	133	83	+50	Up	-$39	06-04 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	2	$58	67	67	+0	Down	-$10	06-01 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	2	$57	45	45	+0	Up	+$1	05-25 12:50
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	3	$54	41	41	+0	No	+$2	05-23 18:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	29	$44	34	34	+0	Up	-$8	05-14 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	1	$38	57	0	+57	Down	+$19	05-27 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	4	$35	32	32	+0	Down	+$5	05-23 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	26	$35	37	37	+0	Up	-$7	05-23 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$34	68	0	+68	Down	+$34	06-02 04:00
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	2	$33	41	41	+0	Down	-$6	06-05 02:09
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 5am et	4	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	06-26 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$30	61	0	+61	Down	+$31	05-27 17:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	1	$30	60	0	+60	Up	-$30	06-05 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	1	$29	46	0	+46	Up	+$17	05-24 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$27	52	0	+52	Down	+$25	06-03 15:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-23 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$22	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$21	22	21	+1	Up	+$16	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	8	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 13:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	2	$18	20	20	+0	Down	-$2	06-26 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3PM ET	1	$18	35	0	+35	Up	+$17	05-24 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$15	32	0	+32	Down	+$17	06-02 19:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 00:00 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	06-26 02:28
bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	2	$13	18	18	+0	Down	-$5	06-09 02:08
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$9	05-14 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 08:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8fed33…
08-05 07:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x212060…
08-05 07:41:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x06026a…
08-05 07:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc686c1…
08-05 07:33:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd5d034…
08-05 07:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9b2b7a…
08-05 07:20:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeebfc2…
06-27 16:01:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-27 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x85d195…
06-27 16:01:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-27 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x8afe66…
06-27 08:15:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x4631d4…
06-26 16:11:50	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1aeaa3…
06-26 15:53:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x765eeb…
06-26 10:16:14	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2d8d6d…
06-26 08:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e365d…
06-26 08:45:14	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x977ab9…
06-26 08:01:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x98171a…
06-26 02:28:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x97a1f3…
06-25 23:59:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9fcca2…
06-24 19:40:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x952fc4…
06-24 16:44:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x373454…
06-24 16:39:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xec04c0…
06-24 16:07:47	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x41bfeb…
06-24 16:03:52	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xac137a…
06-19 05:55:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc71ffe…
06-19 05:13:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x98882e…
06-18 08:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x693a8d…
06-18 08:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x356165…
06-09 05:29:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xc8e4a6…
06-09 02:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2cc041…
06-09 02:08:48	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x69e3fb…
06-08 15:29:43	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x86a988…
06-08 15:27:31	Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$2	0xe5e11d…
06-08 15:27:24	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x63233d…
06-08 15:27:18	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xcfe34d…
06-06 04:32:55	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x229bee…
06-06 04:21:43	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x78298c…
06-05 03:02:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x2c3298…
06-05 02:09:12	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	41	33¢	$14	0x03e779…
06-04 19:03:34	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xc971b7…
06-04 13:51:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x89b4f5…
06-04 12:38:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0xd6c638…
06-04 11:55:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x5f0bde…
06-04 11:51:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x26ab3d…
06-04 11:50:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xb309e0…
06-04 09:50:00	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x41e085…
06-04 09:46:36	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbe7255…
06-04 09:45:25	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xff6ee0…
06-04 09:42:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x856955…
06-04 09:23:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc185e5…
06-04 09:09:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x623159…
06-04 08:59:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2a135a…
06-04 08:50:09	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xd9a8ec…
06-04 08:50:01	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x470fa0…
06-04 08:25:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x685296…
06-04 08:17:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xfa5873…
06-04 08:17:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x0a39dc…
06-04 08:10:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	63	47¢	$30	0x069106…
06-04 07:06:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xd0f520…
06-04 07:06:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	48¢	$21	0xd8fa07…
06-04 06:23:25	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x10348c…
06-04 06:15:31	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5f4336…
06-03 15:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x4b9239…
06-03 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x5acf78…
06-03 15:23:22	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xfa40ae…
06-03 15:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x343253…
06-03 15:05:54	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x261878…
06-03 14:47:42	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe7de94…
06-03 14:41:33	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x2ca9e6…
06-03 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xdc34f6…
06-03 14:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x005162…
06-03 14:25:06	Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xbdab40…
06-03 14:24:42	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x16e5f4…
06-03 14:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xda78f9…
06-03 14:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x888c81…
06-03 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb37759…
06-03 14:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x2d9a64…
06-03 14:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x199cc1…
06-03 12:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x81ab57…
06-03 12:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x7af72e…
06-03 05:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x976abe…
06-03 05:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x1a8f3e…
06-02 19:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xf1da21…
06-02 19:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe8294c…
06-02 19:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xc327c9…
06-02 19:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x3e4576…
06-02 19:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x1b60be…
06-02 04:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x602927…
06-02 03:06:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x769923…
06-02 02:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	61	61¢	$37	0xdc92c4…
06-01 18:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x2b62b6…
06-01 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	67	36¢	$24	0x3efe0f…
06-01 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0xe19321…
06-01 17:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x6bf7c9…
06-01 11:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x5e2f79…
06-01 11:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc00e46…
05-29 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xf54835…
05-29 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd86f7d…
05-29 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x08dbee…
05-28 15:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	97	49¢	$48	0x958c54…
05-28 15:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0x41ef4e…