Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.58K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

1,557

Trades

3,115

lifetime

Volume

$75.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-27 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 77% -$1

Other

23% 49% -$1,887

Sports

5% 65% -$671

Politics

1% 0% -$25

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 574 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes		+5	$2	44¢	$2	+$0	10-25 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$3.0K	3,022	0	+3,022	Up	+$52	10-08 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$2.9K	3,134	0	+3,134	Down	+$196	10-08 17:43
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	2	$2.9K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$579	06-17 18:59
mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08	4	$1.6K	2,018	2,018	+0	Washington Nationals	-$1,001	06-09 04:16
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	5	$1.5K	1,722	1,722	+0	No	-$952	06-18 17:50
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	50	$1.5K	851	851	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$190	06-06 15:06
mlb cin sd 2026 06 08	2	$1.4K	891	891	+0	San Diego Padres	+$382	06-09 04:25
lol al lgd 2026 06 05 game1	24	$895	3,483	3,238	+244	Anyone's Legend	-$103	06-05 09:38
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	2	$629	594	594	+0	Yes	-$321	06-18 17:48
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	7	$502	1,320	0	+1,320	Yes	-$502	06-18 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	10-08 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:10 UTC	1	$490	504	0	+504	Up	+$14	10-16 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	Up	+$10	10-27 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Down	+$15	10-27 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	Down	+$10	10-27 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	1	$490	505	0	+505	Down	+$15	10-16 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Down	+$15	10-26 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Down	+$15	10-16 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Up	+$15	10-27 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Up	+$15	10-27 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Up	+$15	10-26 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Up	+$15	10-16 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$490	505	0	+505	Down	+$15	10-27 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:55 UTC	1	$490	505	0	+505	Up	+$15	10-16 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:30 UTC	1	$490	505	0	+505	Up	+$15	10-16 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	1	$490	500	0	+500	Down	+$10	10-16 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	Up	+$10	10-26 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$490	503	0	+503	Down	+$13	10-26 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	1	$490	502	0	+502	Up	-$490	10-16 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$490	501	0	+501	Up	+$11	10-27 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	395	96¢	$379	0xd3e4d8…
10-27 18:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x4aebba…
10-27 18:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	95¢	$84	0x851232…
10-27 18:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	501	98¢	$490	0xeb1240…
10-27 17:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	505	96¢	$485	0x15cae4…
10-27 14:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0x14e7a7…
10-27 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xc80e9c…
10-27 11:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0x27948a…
10-27 10:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0xb8ee2a…
10-27 07:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	507	95¢	$480	0xdb7bde…
10-27 05:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8c0292…
10-27 05:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb5f94d…
10-27 05:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6dad38…
10-27 05:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x771c17…
10-27 04:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9144db…
10-27 04:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x353d60…
10-27 04:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb1060…
10-27 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x9991e5…
10-27 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9844eb…
10-27 04:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa719fc…
10-27 04:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8ec38…
10-27 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x299143…
10-27 04:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbc9f31…
10-27 04:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd3a20b…
10-27 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb910ca…
10-27 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x79c6ca…
10-27 04:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdeeaf2…
10-27 04:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x64ad95…
10-27 04:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5826d2…
10-27 04:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3d224d…
10-27 04:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x515c8d…
10-27 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0x25e55e…
10-27 02:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x2bb989…
10-26 18:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0x453e68…
10-26 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0xc738c6…
10-26 10:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	503	97¢	$490	0xb7c0ff…
10-26 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0x7ed4d8…
10-26 09:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	501	98¢	$490	0xeaea13…
10-26 09:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xe5b835…
10-26 08:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	384	92¢	$355	0xf8df22…
10-26 08:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	133	94¢	$125	0x5c733e…
10-26 06:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	502	97¢	$485	0x57d992…
10-26 06:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	505	96¢	$485	0x72ee91…
10-26 05:20:03	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0xa98a61…
10-26 05:20:03	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0xa3f16e…
10-26 05:20:03	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x3ae16e…
10-26 05:20:03	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0x139852…
10-26 05:19:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x227eef…
10-26 05:19:17	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xff4571…
10-26 05:19:17	Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xfd526f…
10-26 05:19:17	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xf73cd3…
10-26 05:19:17	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xe5b6f5…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xd6300c…
10-26 05:19:17	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xcd545f…
10-26 05:19:17	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xc9e089…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xc4bfd4…
10-26 05:19:17	Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?	Pennsylvania	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xc1b9dd…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x8ab4b2…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x79d30e…
10-26 05:19:17	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x7426e2…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x657a44…
10-26 05:19:17	Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x63b8da…
10-26 05:19:17	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	56	65¢	$36	0x5973cc…
10-26 05:19:17	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x4592a3…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0x3e5160…
10-26 05:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x199ac9…
10-26 05:17:03	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xaabc89…
10-26 05:16:03	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x96ab30…
10-26 05:16:03	Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x46d578…
10-26 05:16:03	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x1b7b81…
10-26 05:15:03	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xeabc0a…
10-26 05:15:03	Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x994921…
10-26 05:15:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x959b8f…
10-26 05:15:03	Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x9133df…
10-26 05:15:03	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x84fa56…
10-26 05:15:03	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x77caa3…
10-26 05:15:03	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x1fdf2c…
10-26 05:15:03	Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x184493…
10-26 05:15:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x00b70c…
10-26 05:12:33	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3d5f83…
10-26 05:10:20	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x932e8f…
10-26 05:09:08	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xb8031f…
10-26 05:08:00	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x5969a3…
10-26 05:05:09	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x79385b…
10-26 05:04:05	Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x33f668…
10-26 05:03:38	Will "We're Fine" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	32	23¢	$7	0xb1fa64…
10-26 05:03:38	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x44d583…
10-26 05:03:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd60f3e…
10-26 05:03:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xaf5583…
10-26 05:03:03	Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa8557e…
10-26 05:03:03	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5444be…
10-26 05:00:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x99ac64…
10-26 04:40:17	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xb7e803…
10-26 04:39:08	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x62327d…
10-26 04:38:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa8128a…
10-26 04:31:24	Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xaf2d94…
10-26 04:25:06	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x358afc…
10-26 04:21:03	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	75	35¢	$26	0xb60b62…
10-26 04:16:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xa3d1d5…
10-26 04:15:53	Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xaf46eb…