Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$680

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-11 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 53% +$988

Politics

36% 0% -$2,700

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	—	+1,300	$700	2¢	$20	-$680	11-11 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$1.5K	7,466	0	+7,466	No	-$1,493	01-21 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$812	957	711	+246	Down	+$312	11-11 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$700	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	11-11 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$488	1,589	515	+1,073	resolved	-$312	11-11 21:49
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	11	$422	3,202	3,202	+0	No	-$218	01-25 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$400	662	0	+662	resolved	-$400	11-11 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$391	486	307	+179	Down	+$81	11-11 20:53
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$388	276	276	+0	open	—	11-11 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$351	370	370	+0	Down	+$151	11-11 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$300	752	0	+752	Down	+$452	11-11 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$300	6,370	0	+6,370	Up	-$300	11-11 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$300	705	0	+705	Up	+$405	11-11 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$300	617	0	+617	Up	+$317	11-11 21:11
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$300	890	0	+890	resolved	-$300	11-11 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$300	709	0	+709	resolved	-$300	11-11 21:55
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$300	492	0	+492	Down	-$300	11-11 20:22
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$273	585	236	+348	Up	-$27	11-11 21:08
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$200	347	0	+347	Down	+$147	11-11 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$200	310	0	+310	Up	+$110	11-11 21:20
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$200	756	0	+756	Down	-$200	11-11 20:44
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$200	2,221	0	+2,221	No	-$200	01-28 20:39
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$195	780	0	+780	No	-$195	01-28 20:34
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$180	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$180	01-20 14:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$174	217	217	+0	Yes	-$43	02-03 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$110	297	0	+297	Down	-$110	11-11 20:33
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$105	1,023	0	+1,023	No	-$105	02-20 14:43
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	6	$100	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$100	01-28 20:40
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$70	470	0	+470	No	-$70	02-03 19:11
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$50	500	0	+500	No	-$50	02-19 22:42
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$45	957	0	+957	No	-$45	02-19 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 22:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	276	72¢	$198	0x1162c7…
11-11 22:10:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x968c51…
11-11 22:10:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	129	69¢	$90	0x858ff3…
11-11 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x44069b…
11-11 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe52fc7…
11-11 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe0c654…
11-11 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x78b0c6…
11-11 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x768ea5…
11-11 22:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x579b3c…
11-11 22:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x2ef22e…
11-11 22:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x3da98b…
11-11 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xb47a9f…
11-11 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xe3886b…
11-11 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x063651…
11-11 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xf7716d…
11-11 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xee5d71…
11-11 21:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe8b3fc…
11-11 21:53:30	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	431	23¢	$100	0xd311e0…
11-11 21:53:00	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x184ace…
11-11 21:52:54	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x4ac538…
11-11 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,073	9¢	$100	0xdb2ab1…
11-11 21:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	515	17¢	$88	0x0b0462…
11-11 21:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x3f4960…
11-11 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x6c4e99…
11-11 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x2be339…
11-11 21:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xa27322…
11-11 21:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0xcf4c46…
11-11 21:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xc7fce9…
11-11 21:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x4a709e…
11-11 21:27:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0x2557bc…
11-11 21:27:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0x0f7f96…
11-11 21:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xdaf0c1…
11-11 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x30eeb5…
11-11 21:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	370	68¢	$251	0x9bbadc…
11-11 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xb65b7a…
11-11 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xe60185…
11-11 21:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xff6f2b…
11-11 21:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7a949e…
11-11 21:08:28	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0xfc32f5…
11-11 21:06:37	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	143	17¢	$25	0x25d318…
11-11 21:05:49	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	236	52¢	$123	0xeff0d4…
11-11 21:05:33	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x791096…
11-11 21:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xa55c1d…
11-11 21:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x5e2d1a…
11-11 21:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	711	79¢	$562	0x005d10…
11-11 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x915ace…
11-11 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	354	28¢	$100	0x72d4c7…
11-11 20:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,076	2¢	$25	0xc2ee8e…
11-11 20:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	179	31¢	$55	0x845dbe…
11-11 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	307	77¢	$236	0x408371…
11-11 20:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x1ea4ee…
11-11 20:44:15	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0xc3c6f7…
11-11 20:44:15	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x1235ef…
11-11 20:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xcbf5ef…
11-11 20:36:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x39b4b3…
11-11 20:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xe7735b…
11-11 20:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x168727…
11-11 20:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbd338e…
11-11 20:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2,259	4¢	$84	0xcd6ced…
11-11 20:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	412	4¢	$16	0x1b9d5a…
11-11 20:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,899	5¢	$88	0xec33d0…
11-11 20:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	214	6¢	$12	0x4bd871…
11-11 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,137	6¢	$69	0xd755b1…
11-11 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	448	7¢	$31	0xcfd993…
11-11 20:22:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x92e67f…
11-11 20:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xc3d81a…
11-11 20:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x1d7e8e…
11-11 20:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x5b4539…
02-20 14:43:06	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	1,023	10¢	$105	0xfa0c27…
02-19 22:42:20	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xc94466…
02-19 22:41:36	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	957	5¢	$45	0x3703a7…
02-03 19:11:18	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	470	15¢	$70	0xa09836…
02-03 19:10:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	217	30¢	$65	0xb72f28…
01-28 20:40:34	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	274	4¢	$11	0xa8f194…
01-28 20:40:24	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x290f5c…
01-28 20:40:10	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc0680e…
01-28 20:40:02	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x5de9f7…
01-28 20:39:38	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	Yes	BUY	1,888	9¢	$170	0x6e8b0f…
01-28 20:39:24	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x83f085…
01-28 20:39:08	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xd1db4c…
01-28 20:34:48	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	780	25¢	$195	0x402d91…
01-28 20:32:56	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	2,109	4¢	$84	0xb6bcd1…
01-25 15:25:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	217	50¢	$108	0x66e693…
01-25 15:23:30	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	SELL	3,202	3¢	$102	0x8096b2…
01-21 23:31:44	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	3,366	20¢	$673	0xfa854a…
01-21 23:28:24	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0xef74f2…
01-21 23:24:48	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x64f870…
01-21 23:24:24	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbd9a89…
01-21 23:24:16	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x820354…
01-21 23:24:02	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xc403c1…
01-21 23:23:56	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xb84d35…
01-21 23:23:28	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	260	10¢	$26	0xeeb647…
01-21 23:19:28	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x480f0f…
01-21 23:18:50	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x16c8b3…
01-21 23:18:42	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	2,669	10¢	$267	0xb28b5e…
01-20 20:14:12	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	344	20¢	$69	0x025233…
01-20 20:12:08	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ec339…
01-20 20:11:30	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	3,751	20¢	$750	0x1a142d…
01-20 14:08:46	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	3,000	6¢	$180	0x9b049b…