Familiar-Mainstream — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$547

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-15 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$8

Other

44% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No		+6	$6	99¢	$6	+$0	06-08 03:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	06-08 03:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$6.4K	3,206	3,206	+0	open	—	05-13 01:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$4.7K	2,355	2,355	+0	open	—	05-13 02:07
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$1.1K	660	460	+200	open	—	05-13 00:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$330	337	0	+337	No	+$7	05-08 09:11
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$277	143	143	+0	open	—	05-13 01:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$215	108	108	+0	No	+$0	05-08 04:01
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	06-08 15:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	06-15 18:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$15	50	50	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 04:28
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-08 03:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 18:41:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb4e52a…
06-08 15:40:52	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x98a915…
06-08 03:44:30	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d2b8e…
06-08 03:43:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6e7573…
06-08 03:41:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba0365…
05-13 02:07:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,355	100¢	$2,348	0xbf5ac1…
05-13 02:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2,355	100¢	$2,350	0x594dfd…
05-13 01:54:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3,206	100¢	$3,196	0xe10e8a…
05-13 01:45:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3,206	100¢	$3,199	0x000397…
05-13 01:42:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xdab537…
05-13 00:32:52	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc130ba…
05-13 00:28:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x0ac99c…
05-13 00:26:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x617f7e…
05-13 00:24:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x796def…
05-13 00:06:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x426533…
05-12 23:53:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x2bc0f9…
05-12 23:17:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x2d64dd…
05-08 09:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xf0bbfe…
05-08 06:43:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	94¢	$135	0xcc637e…
05-08 04:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x47c00d…
05-08 04:27:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9c563b…
05-08 04:01:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa1acb5…
05-08 03:25:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	137	97¢	$133	0x67c1a1…
05-08 02:01:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xa5bc6c…