Definite-Pilgrim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.6%

Resolved

125

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$166.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$465

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 08-24 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 70% +$54

Other

21% 55% -$63

Politics

0% 33% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	103	$117.5K	58,959	58,959	+0	No	-$59	05-21 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$8.8K	4,409	4,409	+0	No	-$4	05-14 11:30
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	14	$8.2K	4,132	4,132	+0	No	-$4	05-19 11:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	8	$6.0K	3,002	3,002	+0	No	-$5	05-19 11:38
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	6	$5.5K	2,733	2,733	+0	No	-$3	05-16 17:28
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	4	$4.2K	2,106	2,106	+0	No	-$3	05-05 18:01
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$2.7K	1,360	1,359	+1	Yes	+$16	04-29 18:34
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	Yes	+$2	04-22 06:30
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	Yes	-$1	05-05 17:58
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	No	+$1	04-23 15:25
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	6	$951	929	929	+0	No	-$9	06-15 18:37
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	8	$889	1,130	1,130	+0	No	-$11	06-15 20:55
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	14	$800	401	401	+0	No	$0	05-15 12:12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	4	$791	851	851	+0	No	-$9	06-14 16:34
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$500	250	250	+0	No	$0	05-19 11:31
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$476	239	239	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 18:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$407	208	208	+0	No	+$5	05-25 17:47
OpenGradient FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$400	401	0	+401	Yes	+$1	04-21 16:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	10	$320	161	161	+0	No	$0	05-13 17:52
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$201	202	0	+202	Yes	+$1	04-15 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:40 UTC	2	$199	102	102	+0	Down	-$1	04-12 14:44
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-17 19:12
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$138	139	0	+139	Yes	+$0	04-14 18:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-16 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:00 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-10 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-12 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:15 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-14 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:55 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:25 UTC	1	$100	187	0	+187	Up	+$87	04-12 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:10 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-12 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 10:17:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in August?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x14285e…
08-24 10:17:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in August?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5b964…
08-24 10:15:33	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x56f48a…
08-24 10:13:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in August?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x74581c…
08-24 10:13:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in August?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b4601…
08-20 14:29:52	will ng dip to 2 20 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1e9f19…
08-06 17:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x92b04c…
08-06 17:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa5ceb7…
07-27 17:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6fb320…
07-13 20:07:37	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0xc3334d…
07-10 19:22:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x6514d1…
07-07 16:04:32	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xa46b4d…
07-06 16:14:05	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xa549d3…
07-05 17:19:56	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x48d463…
07-04 19:47:37	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xfca57e…
07-03 14:37:53	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x644466…
07-02 20:38:01	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x6915ff…
07-01 18:27:50	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xbbdbd2…
06-29 20:07:01	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x990afd…
06-28 17:35:55	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x35aeb4…
06-28 17:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd6ccce…
06-28 17:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x0dc063…
06-28 17:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x67633e…
06-28 17:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x3b40c2…
06-28 17:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	60	49¢	$30	0xd50768…
06-28 17:08:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x98843c…
06-28 06:52:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xeb5ffb…
06-28 06:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x25e9c3…
06-28 06:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x3a75a0…
06-28 06:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x7660ae…
06-27 16:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x1aac05…
06-27 16:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x60bfed…
06-27 15:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x8d122f…
06-26 20:11:34	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	120	43¢	$52	0xb3ce44…
06-24 19:33:59	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x6c7b5d…
06-23 19:36:59	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x029432…
06-22 16:36:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x811a50…
06-19 17:11:22	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x383708…
06-18 17:52:23	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x013aa2…
06-17 15:59:28	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x736dd4…
06-16 15:57:07	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x79cdc1…
06-15 20:55:25	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	303	32¢	$97	0xa8175a…
06-15 20:55:19	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x032005…
06-15 20:55:13	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	303	32¢	$97	0xfcdf38…
06-15 20:55:07	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x4096ab…
06-15 20:55:03	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	303	32¢	$97	0xe326e5…
06-15 20:54:57	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xe29a83…
06-15 20:54:49	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	221	67¢	$148	0xebaff0…
06-15 20:54:45	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0x3ff608…
06-15 18:37:28	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	429	34¢	$146	0x0fead5…
06-15 18:37:21	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	429	35¢	$150	0x7f69cf…
06-15 18:37:12	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	273	65¢	$177	0x7904d9…
06-15 18:37:01	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	273	66¢	$180	0x68c63d…
06-15 18:36:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	227	65¢	$148	0x22b1df…
06-15 18:36:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0xc5414d…
06-14 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xa7210d…
06-14 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7de9d0…
06-14 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x54818d…
06-14 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e4af3…
06-14 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x04e1c5…
06-14 19:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x45c266…
06-14 19:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x956a6e…
06-14 19:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xa97328…
06-14 19:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x90f3cb…
06-14 16:34:12	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	426	46¢	$196	0x2d46e2…
06-14 16:34:03	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x2bf25b…
06-14 16:33:57	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	426	46¢	$196	0x32dbc7…
06-14 16:33:49	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xdd7739…
05-25 17:47:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x202626…
05-23 18:22:28	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6ad170…
05-23 17:41:45	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xaad839…
05-22 02:10:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x94b98d…
05-21 20:08:11	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x549061…
05-21 20:08:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x76ed07…
05-21 10:37:38	Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Anton Matusevich	Hynek Barton	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa34582…
05-20 08:12:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	208	97¢	$201	0x584740…
05-19 11:39:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4935ce…
05-19 11:39:22	Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)	Buse	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e767f…
05-19 11:39:12	Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbf5e22…
05-19 11:38:51	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa905aa…
05-19 11:38:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	997	100¢	$993	0x70f02c…
05-19 11:38:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	997	100¢	$995	0x376c6b…
05-19 11:37:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	997	100¢	$993	0x67a3f9…
05-19 11:37:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	997	100¢	$995	0xa88627…
05-19 11:37:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	997	100¢	$994	0xf34b84…
05-19 11:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	997	100¢	$995	0x75e824…
05-19 11:37:23	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$999	0x9891e2…
05-19 11:36:48	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x68f550…
05-19 11:36:15	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$999	0x21ffd2…
05-19 11:36:08	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xd94af7…
05-19 11:35:30	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$999	0x1c1b87…
05-19 11:35:23	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xf933da…
05-19 11:35:16	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$999	0x9fea16…
05-19 11:35:05	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x986f09…
05-19 11:34:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$999	0x0e0784…
05-19 11:34:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xae7ad1…
05-19 11:34:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$999	0x761f2b…
05-19 11:34:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x8efb56…
05-19 11:34:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$999	0x9bb5f0…
05-19 11:34:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x3092f6…