Thunderous-Plum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

136

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$39.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-01 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

91% 95% +$23,534

Sports

8% 100% +$2,741

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$75

Tech

0% 83% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top20 tom hoge	2	$8.6K	10,562	10,562	+0	No	+$6,654	03-03 13:16
knife above 200 on january 26	2	$7.4K	7,540	7,540	+0	No	+$6,937	01-24 08:44
Will Susan Altman be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	2	$4.2K	5,360	5,360	+0	No	-$3,538	03-03 12:51
will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by march 31 746	2	$3.7K	3,740	3,740	+0	Yes	+$3,104	03-03 12:10
mlb stl pit 2026 03 05	2	$3.3K	3,302	3,302	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$2,741	03-03 13:20
will sp global say portfolio optimization during earnings call	2	$3.2K	3,163	3,163	+0	No	+$2,562	02-06 15:03
cs2 fdb bhe 2026 03 25 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$3.2K	3,326	3,326	+0	Fake do Biru	+$2,993	03-25 13:46
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top5 collin morikawa	2	$2.5K	2,999	2,999	+0	Yes	+$1,829	03-03 13:12
will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 4500 and 5000	2	$1.1K	1,510	1,510	+0	Yes	+$1,072	04-05 13:25
Will Jason Cass be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	2	$875	1,786	1,786	+0	No	+$697	03-03 12:06
usd krw up or down on february 6 2026	2	$868	868	868	+0	Down	+$816	02-06 14:53
aus syd ade 2026 02 14 syd	2	$358	377	377	+0	No	+$275	01-24 08:39
will the announcers say white house or trump during holloway vs oliveira 2	2	$104	113	113	+0	No	+$75	03-03 12:04
will one piece season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week 552	2	$88	101	101	+0	No	+$72	03-25 13:16
will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 4000 and 4500	2	$83	109	109	+0	No	+$76	04-05 13:11
over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	-$20	07-01 13:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-19 15:25
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	1	$19	20	0	+20	Over	+$1	06-13 15:31
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	03-06 13:21
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 6?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-05 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 25?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-24 03:02
highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 30c	1	$16	19	0	+19	No	+$3	04-20 02:23
highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 29c	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-15 15:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	04-30 13:23
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-06 13:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-25 14:05
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-24 08:46
ethereum above 2300 on march 3	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-03 12:11
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-03 13:38
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-15 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:20:32	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x508148…
06-13 15:31:04	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb0aa2a…
05-24 03:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a4123…
05-24 03:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc9d038…
05-24 03:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8b47bd…
05-19 15:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x662191…
05-05 13:05:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x007c83…
04-30 13:23:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x21a0e8…
04-26 06:39:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb0a35e…
04-26 06:39:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd396c9…
04-26 06:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2f2cb…
04-26 06:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3e335b…
04-26 06:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x98c837…
04-26 06:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d92b8…
04-26 06:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3f11fa…
04-26 06:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ad9d3…
04-26 06:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x397674…
04-26 06:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x453d48…
04-26 06:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x44b6b1…
04-26 06:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9b593…
04-26 06:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5da528…
04-20 02:23:54	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 30c	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xa25bd2…
04-15 15:25:34	highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 29c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1f34b6…
04-05 13:26:19	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdac27f…
04-05 13:26:17	will ethereum reach 2300 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6f4ba…
04-05 13:26:15	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x495985…
04-05 13:26:09	will ethereum dip to 1700 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ed549…
04-05 13:26:09	will ethereum dip to 1800 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x056239…
04-05 13:26:01	will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a0e86…
04-05 13:25:59	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0b08a…
04-05 13:25:55	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52d1b5…
04-05 13:25:53	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x063459…
04-05 13:25:21	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 4500 and 5000	Yes	SELL	1,510	73¢	$1,102	0x31467f…
04-05 13:24:31	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 4500 and 5000	Yes	BUY	1,510	2¢	$30	0x7cb68e…
04-05 13:16:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 200 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c5334…
04-05 13:16:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15b9cf…
04-05 13:16:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x143748…
04-05 13:16:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68c67a…
04-05 13:11:17	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 4000 and 4500	Yes	SELL	109	73¢	$80	0x949cbe…
04-05 13:10:55	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 4000 and 4500	Yes	BUY	109	3¢	$3	0xe5a7b5…
03-25 14:05:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7b71f9…
03-25 14:05:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x863564…
03-25 14:05:05	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9d781…
03-25 14:05:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55cb04…
03-25 14:04:59	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa81ef2…
03-25 14:04:27	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae57aa…
03-25 14:04:23	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7545ad…
03-25 14:04:19	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0b804…
03-25 14:04:15	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99a7be…
03-25 14:04:13	will mistral have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd113c8…
03-25 14:04:09	will alibaba have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2986bc…
03-25 14:04:05	will xai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf72ffd…
03-25 13:46:01	cs2 fdb bhe 2026 03 25 map handicap home 1pt5	Fake do Biru	SELL	360	93¢	$335	0x73fc18…
03-25 13:45:45	cs2 fdb bhe 2026 03 25 map handicap home 1pt5	Fake do Biru	SELL	2,966	93¢	$2,758	0x40a5d0…
03-25 13:45:05	cs2 fdb bhe 2026 03 25 map handicap home 1pt5	Fake do Biru	BUY	2,966	3¢	$89	0x44b40e…
03-25 13:44:01	cs2 fdb bhe 2026 03 25 map handicap home 1pt5	Fake do Biru	BUY	360	3¢	$11	0x98bc64…
03-25 13:16:47	will one piece season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week 552	Yes	SELL	101	79¢	$80	0x09ed36…
03-25 13:16:01	will one piece season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week 552	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0xacd60c…
03-15 14:51:55	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc7d9a0…
03-15 14:51:53	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe878f2…
03-15 14:51:47	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x89ac2e…
03-15 14:51:43	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x02be5f…
03-15 14:51:39	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ff0ea…
03-06 13:21:19	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd73d7c…
03-06 13:20:57	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa165df…
03-03 13:38:55	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbdb9b3…
03-03 13:38:53	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x487234…
03-03 13:38:49	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf15976…
03-03 13:38:45	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf850d4…
03-03 13:21:29	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x052050…
03-03 13:20:35	mlb stl pit 2026 03 05	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	3,302	92¢	$3,038	0x20fd17…
03-03 13:19:39	mlb stl pit 2026 03 05	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3,302	9¢	$297	0x8151ff…
03-03 13:17:49	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77cb6c…
03-03 13:17:47	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x08f56c…
03-03 13:17:45	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5e046…
03-03 13:17:41	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7330be…
03-03 13:17:39	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa52fea…
03-03 13:17:37	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a7c80…
03-03 13:16:11	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top20 tom hoge	Yes	SELL	10,562	72¢	$7,605	0x59b565…
03-03 13:14:25	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top20 tom hoge	Yes	BUY	10,562	9¢	$951	0x73e63b…
03-03 13:12:57	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top5 collin morikawa	Yes	SELL	2,999	72¢	$2,159	0x5ab7f5…
03-03 13:11:41	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top5 collin morikawa	Yes	BUY	2,999	11¢	$330	0x7b1b0a…
03-03 12:51:17	Will Susan Altman be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	SELL	5,360	6¢	$322	0x93fbeb…
03-03 12:48:29	Will Susan Altman be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	BUY	5,360	72¢	$3,859	0xb6c120…
03-03 12:12:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd41bbe…
03-03 12:12:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0998b1…
03-03 12:12:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 3	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5287f2…
03-03 12:12:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2863f3…
03-03 12:11:59	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb0ad5…
03-03 12:11:51	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa192ec…
03-03 12:11:49	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0caf3…
03-03 12:11:45	will opinion launch a token on march 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa26d74…
03-03 12:11:43	will opinion launch a token on march 7	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa487fa…
03-03 12:11:35	solana above 70 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4c2df…
03-03 12:11:31	solana above 80 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x349160…
03-03 12:11:29	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9e5dc6…
03-03 12:11:27	solana above 100 on march 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32ae8f…
03-03 12:11:19	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc525bf…
03-03 12:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x113fa1…
03-03 12:11:13	ethereum above 1800 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x645f81…