Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

438

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 09-29 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 57% -$241

Other

12% 49% -$10

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on march 11	5	$424	215	215	+0	Yes	+$2	03-11 14:29
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	5	$411	206	206	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 19:59
googl close above 295 on march 11 2026	2	$399	204	204	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 00:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$386	194	194	+0	No	+$0	03-02 14:53
ethereum above 1900 on march 9	1	$250	257	0	+257	Yes	+$7	03-09 12:30
bitcoin above 72k on march 11	10	$246	259	75	+184	No	+$5	03-11 14:55
bitcoin above 58k on march 1	2	$221	111	111	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 03:16
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	3	$201	105	105	+0	No	-$1	03-13 09:18
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	1	$200	205	0	+205	No	+$5	03-12 14:18
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	2	$200	101	101	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 09:16
bitcoin above 70k on march 5	3	$190	196	0	+196	Yes	+$6	03-05 16:41
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	1	$190	191	0	+191	Yes	+$1	03-01 08:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	3	$180	185	0	+185	Yes	+$5	03-04 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:50 UTC	1	$128	233	0	+233	Down	-$128	03-15 07:49
solana above 90 on march 6	7	$122	95	95	+0	No	-$4	03-06 13:39
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	03-06 13:44
bitcoin above 70k on march 7	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-07 12:47
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-03 16:53
bitcoin above 64k on march 1	2	$99	52	52	+0	Yes	-$1	03-01 06:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	6	$97	115	20	+96	No	+$3	03-07 16:46
ethereum above 1900 on march 8	4	$92	105	13	+92	Yes	+$1	03-08 15:07
bitcoin above 66k on march 8	4	$92	102	10	+93	Yes	+$1	03-08 15:08
bitcoin above 68k on march 8	8	$91	105	21	+84	No	+$3	03-08 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:45 UTC	2	$87	116	115	+2	Down	-$41	03-15 07:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	16	$72	74	74	+0	Yes	-$14	03-11 13:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	15	$66	110	1	+109	Yes	+$1	03-10 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:20 UTC	2	$56	56	56	+1	Down	-$3	03-14 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:30 UTC	1	$55	141	0	+141	Down	+$86	03-14 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:25 UTC	2	$50	90	89	+1	Up	-$40	03-14 05:29
tsla close above 390 on march 6 2026	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	03-06 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 18:19:38	will claude opus output price be 50 or above in 2026	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x610ecf…
09-29 18:19:32	will claude opus output price be 10 or below in 2026	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xd96983…
09-25 09:14:59	will claude opus output price be 50 or above in 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51881a…
09-25 09:14:50	will claude opus output price be 10 or below in 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x829c47…
09-25 08:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa215c9…
09-25 08:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x135133…
09-25 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2c8bb0…
09-25 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xab88ca…
09-25 06:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7b3bb9…
09-25 05:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x532ebb…
09-25 05:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe17a03…
09-25 05:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x885659…
09-25 05:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc7341c…
09-25 05:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xad3f8f…
09-25 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc617e4…
09-24 11:07:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa19527…
09-24 11:02:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x453a09…
09-24 11:01:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5bd020…
09-24 10:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xaa0920…
09-24 10:55:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb0ade8…
09-24 04:33:08	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2dd01…
09-24 04:32:32	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf965dd…
09-23 18:13:47	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x316b02…
09-23 18:13:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x7132c3…
09-23 18:10:49	will ethereum dip to 2600 september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x830c48…
09-23 18:10:38	will ethereum reach 2700 september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcf4e4c…
09-23 04:21:59	Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x67f25d…
09-23 02:30:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 September 21-27?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2413b7…
09-23 02:30:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x47425a…
09-22 10:19:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x798ffb…
09-22 10:19:34	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23c156…
09-22 09:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xce00db…
09-22 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb9da0a…
09-22 06:31:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xc6ee3f…
09-22 06:31:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x455db5…
09-22 06:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa41ffe…
09-22 05:46:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x20ee1f…
09-22 05:45:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa8f290…
09-22 05:35:06	Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xbfa751…
09-22 05:34:52	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x3949af…
09-22 05:34:37	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x9de242…
09-22 05:34:22	Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3dea8c…
09-22 05:24:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf1b62b…
09-22 05:23:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x9c2207…
09-22 05:18:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x568262…
09-22 05:09:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1dac08…
09-22 05:06:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6d9f76…
09-22 05:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x49dd8c…
09-22 05:02:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x052395…
09-22 05:00:06	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xbec958…
09-21 12:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x98e9c8…
09-21 12:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7ee39a…
09-21 12:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x72f0cb…
09-21 12:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x6ee2fc…
09-21 12:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf3ea04…
09-21 12:18:29	Greenland snap election called by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xa65bea…
09-21 12:17:51	Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x2b7254…
09-21 11:08:14	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x9fc047…
09-21 06:40:06	Greenland snap election called by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd7b45a…
09-21 06:39:05	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xafb5e3…
09-21 06:38:35	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3d9bb6…
09-21 06:37:57	Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	228	0¢	$1	0x221cf6…
09-21 06:36:03	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb1150f…
09-21 06:34:54	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x156972…
09-21 06:34:15	Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x89145a…
09-21 06:33:15	Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x74cf38…
09-21 06:32:41	Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x274701…
09-21 06:32:06	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe94ca6…
09-21 06:31:26	Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xebf81e…
03-15 07:49:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	233	55¢	$128	0x1decf5…
03-15 07:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	115	20¢	$23	0x1529d1…
03-15 07:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	116	55¢	$64	0x337dba…
03-15 07:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x8495a7…
03-15 07:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0x3c01a6…
03-15 07:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x1733fd…
03-15 07:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xac5f7f…
03-15 07:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x178ec5…
03-15 07:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0a0bf9…
03-15 07:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf23a47…
03-15 05:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8ed079…
03-15 05:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5bc79d…
03-15 05:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34e32c…
03-15 05:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x28dd40…
03-15 05:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaecc29…
03-15 04:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa41a78…
03-14 17:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3cc7cf…
03-14 17:34:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x715fc5…
03-14 17:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7618cd…
03-14 17:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3134c9…
03-14 16:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x36ca68…
03-14 16:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x7f3af2…
03-14 16:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xccf418…
03-14 16:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x9b3887…
03-14 16:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x924562…
03-14 16:19:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x5ccfc0…
03-14 16:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xea99dc…
03-14 15:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x48cbf7…
03-14 14:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e09d9…
03-14 13:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa251b8…
03-14 13:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x449245…