Lustrous-Leptocephalus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$2.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-12 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 43% +$46

Other

20% — —

Politics

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$202	106	106	+0	open	—	05-25 11:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$194	108	108	+0	open	—	05-28 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$189	117	117	+0	open	—	05-29 07:58
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	10	$164	147	147	+0	open	—	05-28 20:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$136	160	0	+160	open	—	05-30 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$120	154	0	+154	open	—	05-16 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$106	60	56	+4	Up	+$2	05-13 04:49
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$98	86	86	+0	open	—	05-13 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$98	77	77	+0	open	—	05-29 09:28
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	4	$87	59	59	+0	open	—	05-28 19:15
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$72	42	42	+0	open	—	05-28 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$69	106	0	+106	open	—	05-30 08:17
btc updown 5m 1781257200	6	$65	81	81	+0	open	—	06-12 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$55	84	0	+84	Down	+$29	05-13 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$52	60	5	+54	Down	+$4	05-13 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	Up	+$44	05-13 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$45	87	0	+87	open	—	05-16 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$40	70	0	+70	open	—	05-29 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$29	54	0	+54	open	—	05-29 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	05-28 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$27	55	0	+55	open	—	05-30 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$27	93	0	+93	open	—	05-16 14:40
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-28 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-29 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$20	57	0	+57	Down	$-20	05-13 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	10	$19	15	18	-3	open	—	05-29 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$17	48	16	+32	open	—	05-20 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:13:48	btc updown 5m 1781259000	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xfd2dd4…
06-12 10:11:22	btc updown 5m 1781259000	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xed4379…
06-12 10:09:01	btc updown 5m 1781258700	Down	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x0e2288…
06-12 10:08:06	btc updown 5m 1781258700	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x523774…
06-12 09:57:00	btc updown 5m 1781258100	Down	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x3fe8e1…
06-12 09:56:33	btc updown 5m 1781258100	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x093d15…
06-12 09:42:27	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xa1c64e…
06-12 09:41:55	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Up	SELL	28	34¢	$9	0x82121f…
06-12 09:41:48	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x878327…
06-12 09:41:03	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$23	0x620525…
06-12 09:40:40	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3c6e7e…
06-12 09:40:25	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x287fe3…
06-12 09:37:51	btc updown 5m 1781256900	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2d7b25…
06-12 09:37:15	btc updown 5m 1781256900	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5bfe3c…
06-12 09:35:54	btc updown 5m 1781256900	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x91c50d…
06-12 09:35:39	btc updown 5m 1781256900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2bd1bd…
05-30 08:25:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	160	85¢	$136	0x386f68…
05-30 08:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x14fdeb…
05-30 08:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4560d4…
05-30 08:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7a68b7…
05-30 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	93	73¢	$68	0xf26e4c…
05-30 08:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0x0933b6…
05-30 08:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xcd22c4…
05-30 08:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9da3c2…
05-30 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x20e786…
05-30 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4941c4…
05-29 22:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xf11a1f…
05-29 22:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x7e40e3…
05-29 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3b810b…
05-29 22:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x84cbc9…
05-29 22:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xd0bb27…
05-29 22:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x61ef62…
05-29 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x34acbe…
05-29 22:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2c2de1…
05-29 21:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x47fc56…
05-29 21:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2232c7…
05-29 21:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xbce314…
05-29 21:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc09146…
05-29 21:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfb3dfb…
05-29 21:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe7bca1…
05-29 21:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd88872…
05-29 21:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x418d02…
05-29 21:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x4a6eae…
05-29 21:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb3b997…
05-29 21:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x88e278…
05-29 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x05e2c2…
05-29 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd6f022…
05-29 19:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xb5e8c9…
05-29 18:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x7ef7f2…
05-29 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa69f68…
05-29 18:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xea57bc…
05-29 18:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x191f17…
05-29 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x021d9f…
05-29 17:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdcb474…
05-29 17:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x2dede9…
05-29 17:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdedafa…
05-29 17:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x704065…
05-29 17:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe47e64…
05-29 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa5f7a7…
05-29 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xed4e64…
05-29 17:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x29bcf1…
05-29 17:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb8b2bb…
05-29 17:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x9c5561…
05-29 17:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x11f936…
05-29 16:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x0cd2f2…
05-29 16:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x60ed45…
05-29 16:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaf97a3…
05-29 16:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x053e28…
05-29 16:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8e18cf…
05-29 16:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4be546…
05-29 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd7edd7…
05-29 10:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x06b6a0…
05-29 10:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x180158…
05-29 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x993eef…
05-29 10:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xf52f5b…
05-29 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe10e48…
05-29 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x86866e…
05-29 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x65c3d6…
05-29 10:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x362de7…
05-29 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x79f6c7…
05-29 10:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x707a04…
05-29 10:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9a6ab3…
05-29 10:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x23b816…
05-29 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa2d1a6…
05-29 10:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeaaa1c…
05-29 10:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x63b2fe…
05-29 10:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x38b00f…
05-29 09:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x775514…
05-29 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x3df5da…
05-29 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0c282e…
05-29 09:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6a4ccb…
05-29 09:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe08515…
05-29 09:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xb64d66…
05-29 09:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6df1e3…
05-29 09:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x22041e…
05-29 09:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x9d332d…
05-29 09:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0xb70b95…
05-29 09:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0xbf8465…
05-29 09:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x6da22b…
05-29 09:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x34f96f…