Smug-Native — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 09-10 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

40% 0% -$2

Sports

38% 33% -$1

Crypto

22% 88% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.7K	877	877	+0	No	-$2	02-12 05:22
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$886	444	444	+0	No	$0	02-12 09:02
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$866	437	437	+0	No	$0	02-13 08:56
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$773	390	390	+0	No	$0	02-25 03:57
will ethereum dip to 1600 april 13 19	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-17 05:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-30 06:46
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-07 07:03
will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-16 08:32
bitcoin above 72k on june 23 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-18 06:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-10 08:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-21 03:33
bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-12 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 08:10:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa95d04…
07-21 03:33:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x38c4c3…
07-12 03:59:07	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2dccd…
06-18 06:56:55	bitcoin above 72k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4cd20a…
05-30 06:46:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2442a0…
05-07 07:03:55	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ede6b…
04-17 05:24:52	will ethereum dip to 1600 april 13 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa5df7…
03-16 08:32:41	will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4dd4b6…
02-25 03:57:10	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	390	99¢	$387	0xd2cfd5…
02-25 01:45:22	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	390	99¢	$387	0xbbf1ba…
02-13 08:56:35	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	437	99¢	$433	0x67066f…
02-13 05:17:19	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	437	99¢	$433	0x2201df…
02-12 09:02:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	444	100¢	$443	0xab1360…
02-12 05:57:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	444	100¢	$443	0x791b4d…
02-12 05:22:57	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$424	0xed5b29…
02-12 01:27:53	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	426	100¢	$425	0x7662c5…
02-11 08:28:29	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	451	100¢	$449	0x7d6e48…
02-11 05:16:03	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0x244704…