Wealthy-Modeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

839

Trades

1,092

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 09-01 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 86% +$280

Other

13% 40% -$116

Sports

0% 100% +$8

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$160	171	+171	Down	+$11	06-09 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:40 UTC	1	$123	138	+138	Up	-$123	06-09 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	1	$117	129	+129	Down	+$12	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	1	$116	120	+120	Up	+$4	06-09 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 23?	1	$115	125	+125	No	-$115	08-23 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:00 UTC	1	$112	126	+126	Up	-$112	07-04 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:50 UTC	3	$110	119	+119	Down	+$9	06-23 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:45 UTC	1	$109	112	+112	Down	+$3	07-04 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?	1	$108	116	+116	Yes	+$8	08-23 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:20 UTC	1	$106	109	+109	Down	+$3	07-04 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:15 UTC	1	$104	106	+106	Up	+$2	07-04 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:05 UTC	1	$102	104	+104	Up	+$2	07-04 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 21:50 UTC	1	$101	102	+102	Up	+$1	07-04 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:15 UTC	1	$100	111	+111	Down	-$100	06-10 09:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:45 UTC	2	$100	111	+111	Down	+$11	06-10 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	2	$100	112	+112	Down	+$12	06-09 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:20 UTC	1	$100	105	+105	Up	+$5	06-09 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:55 UTC	2	$100	103	+103	Up	+$3	06-21 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$99	102	+102	Down	+$3	06-09 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 21:40 UTC	1	$98	102	+102	Down	+$4	07-04 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 23?	1	$97	108	+108	Yes	+$11	08-23 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$97	98	+98	Down	+$1	07-04 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:15 UTC	1	$96	131	+131	Down	+$35	06-09 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:55 UTC	1	$95	102	+102	Up	+$7	06-09 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 21:20 UTC	1	$95	97	+97	Up	+$2	07-04 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:45 UTC	1	$92	99	+99	Down	+$7	06-09 20:48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 22?	1	$92	97	+97	Yes	+$5	08-22 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:40 UTC	1	$90	95	+95	Up	+$5	06-09 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:10 UTC	1	$90	112	+112	Down	+$22	06-10 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:30 UTC	1	$90	99	+99	Up	+$9	06-28 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 05:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xf15dfd…
08-31 17:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 31?	Yes	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x4f7def…
08-31 16:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xef6ae3…
08-31 16:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x4679cc…
08-31 14:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x0ad29a…
08-31 14:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xe4e474…
08-31 13:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0x43c3ed…
08-26 13:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xa96983…
08-26 11:57:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xa2d45c…
08-26 08:51:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x35454b…
08-26 08:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa3b51c…
08-26 02:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0x69e867…
08-25 20:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x2786cf…
08-25 19:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xbef074…
08-25 19:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x1bb4c9…
08-25 17:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$20	0xf9d112…
08-25 17:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca7329…
08-25 15:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdf36c9…
08-25 15:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd4986f…
08-25 12:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x58d01d…
08-25 10:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xa21737…
08-25 09:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xa28c26…
08-25 09:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4d0902…
08-25 08:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x290de5…
08-24 19:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x1ff49b…
08-24 19:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x46501f…
08-24 17:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x963e14…
08-24 14:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x1b1e24…
08-24 14:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xd6c967…
08-24 08:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xdd6e32…
08-24 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xed5e9c…
08-24 07:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xaedea4…
08-24 07:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4246e2…
08-24 05:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcbe7e6…
08-23 22:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x5e2256…
08-23 17:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	116	93¢	$108	0xb2f1fe…
08-23 06:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	108	90¢	$97	0xb79dd3…
08-22 22:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0x444754…
08-22 09:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x2f23c9…
08-21 20:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	74	84¢	$62	0x2e4602…
08-21 07:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	62	85¢	$53	0x9f5ef0…
08-20 17:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	53	80¢	$43	0x77deab…
08-20 06:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x20caae…
08-19 08:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xed60f2…
08-18 08:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb07f12…
08-17 04:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xc5c144…
08-16 09:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7b2245…
08-03 07:20:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0xc3c88a…
08-03 07:19:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xc88fbb…
08-03 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	68	34¢	$23	0xc732ba…
08-01 20:34:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x79d2ab…
08-01 20:33:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x6e1271…
08-01 20:33:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x33d35c…
07-31 22:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x2e2569…
07-31 22:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x7e458d…
07-31 22:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x1380fb…
07-31 12:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x304a57…
07-31 12:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x2159a0…
07-31 12:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x93262c…
07-30 11:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xad9242…
07-30 11:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0xb7df40…
07-29 11:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x94d95a…
07-29 11:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0cbc04…
07-29 11:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x44fddf…
07-29 11:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x1491f4…
07-29 11:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x89fce1…
07-29 11:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x929718…
07-25 19:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x6add84…
07-25 18:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x894920…
07-25 18:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	97	57¢	$55	0x96e0d5…
07-25 04:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$3	0x4aeb45…
07-25 04:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	88	24¢	$21	0x00d73d…
07-25 04:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	82	52¢	$43	0x0bf67a…
07-24 10:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	76	18¢	$13	0xcbadf7…
07-24 10:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9ab131…
07-23 09:54:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xe76434…
07-23 09:53:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	88	13¢	$11	0x6dc5aa…
07-23 09:53:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	78	57¢	$45	0x8e6ad2…
07-21 19:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	192	36¢	$70	0xfd6998…
07-21 19:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	238	6¢	$14	0x4513c6…
07-21 19:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	206	14¢	$28	0xcfe638…
07-20 20:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	131	28¢	$37	0x960721…
07-20 20:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	132	29¢	$38	0xd7b9cf…
07-20 20:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$34	0x55493a…
07-19 21:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x0926e7…
07-19 21:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	168	25¢	$42	0x8cad44…
07-19 21:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	164	30¢	$49	0x8dcb18…
07-19 19:35:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf29a36…
07-18 20:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	124	17¢	$21	0xb7984a…
07-18 20:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	145	24¢	$35	0xf23c81…
07-18 20:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	144	31¢	$44	0xb9ee91…
07-17 21:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	95	23¢	$22	0xa5f7b6…
07-17 21:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	105	23¢	$24	0xb17839…
07-17 21:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	103	36¢	$37	0x2ab06b…
07-16 21:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	82	23¢	$19	0xa97531…
07-16 21:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0x53a854…
07-16 21:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	84	32¢	$27	0xee1bd3…
07-15 22:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x674707…
07-15 22:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0xa5aeb8…
07-15 22:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0xa065bc…