Able-Pilaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

6,236 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$214

$55.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-31 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$921

Other

0% 33% -$28

Politics

0% 20% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 447 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:15 UTC	2	$682	346	346	+0	Up	+$4	03-21 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 05:50 UTC	2	$582	309	309	+0	Down	+$0	03-21 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:20 UTC	2	$458	278	276	+2	Up	+$23	03-21 06:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 12:45 UTC	5	$419	326	321	+4	Down	+$1	01-13 12:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 18:00 UTC	10	$400	237	236	+1	Up	+$8	03-29 18:15
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:00 UTC	4	$372	233	231	+2	Up	+$3	03-09 11:05
bitcoin above 94k on january 6	4	$371	310	417	-107	No	-$115	01-06 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:25 UTC	1	$365	557	0	+557	Up	-$365	03-21 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:30 UTC	6	$354	227	226	+2	Down	+$4	03-29 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 05:20 UTC	4	$339	314	314	+0	Up	+$279	03-21 05:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 21:00 UTC	6	$312	190	189	+2	Down	+$22	03-29 21:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:00 UTC	6	$302	163	163	+0	Up	+$0	03-29 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:15 UTC	4	$302	170	169	+1	Up	+$8	03-29 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:00 UTC	4	$300	239	236	+3	Down	-$15	03-29 21:03
bitcoin up or down january 13 1pm et	6	$295	178	178	+0	Up	+$18	01-13 18:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 12:30 UTC	4	$293	220	217	+3	Up	+$33	01-13 12:41
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	6	$288	183	182	+1	Up	-$7	03-29 15:00
bitcoin up or down january 20 4pm et	12	$285	262	262	+0	Down	+$9	01-20 21:50
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 12:00 UTC	6	$280	194	193	+1	Up	-$29	03-09 12:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	4	$270	165	164	+1	Down	+$9	03-09 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 15:00 UTC	6	$265	142	142	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:30 UTC	3	$263	261	109	+152	Down	-$90	03-29 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:45 UTC	7	$263	173	172	+1	Down	+$13	02-03 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:35 UTC	4	$254	269	267	+2	Down	+$20	03-11 09:40
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 8am et	7	$254	185	184	+2	Up	+$3	03-29 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:00 UTC	3	$251	193	185	+8	Up	+$52	03-21 06:04
bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et	4	$248	149	149	+0	Up	+$4	02-01 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:30 UTC	6	$229	156	154	+1	Down	+$5	03-29 12:44
bitcoin up or down january 13 8am et	5	$229	231	231	+0	Down	-$84	01-13 13:58
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:20 UTC	2	$225	114	114	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xedc785…
10-31 17:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x3746d1…
10-31 16:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x734650…
10-31 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xfd57c9…
10-31 16:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x8a04ce…
10-31 16:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x49fc18…
10-31 15:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd17ed8…
10-31 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1e08fa…
10-31 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x61d477…
10-31 13:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa4a5f0…
10-31 11:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xa89294…
10-31 11:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x02eee5…
10-31 10:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0a55e2…
10-31 10:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xfcae9d…
10-31 09:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xef8e19…
10-31 09:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd9516e…
10-31 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa9a2d6…
10-31 05:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x815388…
10-31 04:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3e7aab…
10-31 02:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb7215d…
10-31 02:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3ac8d7…
10-31 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x2383b1…
10-31 00:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5434a4…
10-30 21:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x06038b…
10-30 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x0e0e1b…
10-30 20:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f6654…
10-30 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa0e826…
10-30 19:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe8beaf…
10-30 19:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc9c16c…
10-30 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x758e56…
10-30 19:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfc6052…
10-30 19:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xddd27f…
10-30 19:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5e32ab…
10-30 18:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf8511e…
10-30 18:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7cf65e…
10-30 18:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7c5bf8…
10-30 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x143d05…
10-30 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xabd578…
10-30 18:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6fd9dc…
10-30 18:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x27c176…
10-30 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9151f3…
10-30 17:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb3403…
10-30 17:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x8ebdef…
10-30 17:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x988748…
10-30 17:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa7c091…
10-30 17:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x965afe…
10-29 13:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x461a6e…
10-29 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa48ce2…
10-29 13:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x79b6db…
10-29 13:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf6e596…
10-29 12:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1a03da…
10-29 12:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x146027…
10-29 12:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x197307…
10-29 12:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc89c90…
10-29 12:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x4dc603…
10-29 12:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4abba2…
10-28 02:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x85b318…
10-28 02:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfad64f…
10-28 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc1d7ce…
10-28 01:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe0de30…
10-27 23:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x1a7c93…
10-27 23:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x38528a…
10-27 22:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x89f3ee…
10-27 22:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x16fd27…
09-30 20:10:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc706aa…
09-30 15:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcd5dfd…
09-30 15:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeb9142…
09-30 15:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe1db44…
09-30 15:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x92a288…
09-30 15:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0297b6…
09-30 15:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd53390…
09-30 15:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xca0581…
09-30 15:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd13abf…
09-30 14:56:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x621182…
09-30 14:55:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6b3c10…
09-30 14:52:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb805c4…
09-30 14:51:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf10f67…
09-30 14:41:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xbd4a4c…
09-30 14:41:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeeaf63…
09-30 14:37:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9ebfa6…
09-30 14:36:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x05edde…
09-30 14:31:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2931ff…
09-30 14:27:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8d6df7…
09-30 14:27:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa46391…
09-30 14:16:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf48466…
09-30 14:16:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x59991f…
09-30 14:13:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9a61ca…
09-30 14:02:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf86a35…
09-30 14:01:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7ee482…
09-30 13:57:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd69450…
09-30 13:56:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8f62d4…
09-30 13:41:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1d685d…
09-30 13:28:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6c003f…
09-30 13:27:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x745786…
09-30 13:13:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x41f49d…
09-30 13:13:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa4639b…
09-30 13:08:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x297eae…
09-30 13:07:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa24bf2…
09-30 13:01:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x20da06…
09-30 13:00:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x84d1c9…