Warlike-Checkbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

4,769

Trades

10,685

lifetime

Volume

$48.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-23 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:25 UTC	160	$882	1,776	+1,776	Up	+$7	04-13 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:40 UTC	138	$868	1,716	+1,716	Down	+$6	04-13 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:45 UTC	82	$751	1,464	+1,464	Up	-$44	04-10 20:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 07:45 UTC	85	$751	1,470	+1,470	Up	-$24	04-15 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC	96	$646	1,283	+1,283	Up	-$6	04-11 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:30 UTC	80	$646	1,270	+1,270	Down	-$49	04-13 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:35 UTC	98	$571	1,127	+1,127	Up	+$11	04-13 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 13:05 UTC	63	$556	1,085	+1,085	Down	+$32	04-11 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:15 UTC	54	$484	862	+862	Up	-$62	04-15 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:55 UTC	47	$447	938	+938	Up	-$3	04-10 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 15:15 UTC	64	$438	887	+887	Up	-$12	04-11 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 21:15 UTC	59	$434	839	+839	Up	-$46	04-10 21:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC	73	$424	835	+835	Up	-$21	04-11 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:20 UTC	62	$417	855	+855	Down	+$11	04-13 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 21:20 UTC	61	$406	811	+811	Up	-$52	04-10 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:20 UTC	62	$400	782	+782	Up	-$12	06-05 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:40 UTC	55	$380	795	+795	Up	-$6	04-10 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:00 UTC	56	$353	704	+704	Up	+$3	06-05 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 21:00 UTC	43	$344	652	+652	Down	-$12	04-10 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 21:10 UTC	46	$314	676	+676	Down	-$19	04-10 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:25 UTC	50	$283	575	+575	Down	+$3	06-05 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:40 UTC	38	$271	511	+511	Up	-$26	06-05 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:15 UTC	48	$263	536	+536	Up	-$20	06-05 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:30 UTC	47	$262	525	+525	Down	+$5	06-05 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:10 UTC	37	$262	506	+506	Down	+$11	06-05 15:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC	49	$258	533	+533	Up	-$31	04-11 11:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 12:15 UTC	46	$255	503	+503	Down	-$24	04-11 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:05 UTC	46	$235	448	+448	Down	+$12	06-05 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 21:25 UTC	33	$218	471	+471	Down	-$19	04-10 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:45 UTC	33	$217	439	+439	Up	+$16	06-05 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1d4265…
10-16 07:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x56cd70…
10-16 06:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9cae0d…
10-16 06:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x215630…
10-09 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xae95e3…
10-09 15:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb70eae…
10-09 15:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x8d0516…
10-09 15:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd33138…
10-09 14:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x387858…
10-09 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x08f60a…
10-09 14:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x738250…
10-09 14:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x7422bf…
10-09 13:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x5ac014…
10-09 13:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x69634f…
10-09 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xcba643…
10-09 13:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x340736…
10-09 13:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfebd5c…
10-09 13:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9bf8fe…
10-09 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x32387d…
10-09 12:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6bf0b0…
10-09 11:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1f5a2e…
10-09 11:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xb6bff0…
10-09 11:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x399056…
10-09 10:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x91a185…
10-09 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x143da2…
10-09 08:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd706eb…
10-09 08:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf2160d…
10-09 07:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa91671…
10-09 07:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x35a99d…
10-09 05:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x83e804…
10-09 05:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb745fb…
10-09 04:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb2515c…
10-09 03:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x111da0…
10-09 03:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9bb5d0…
10-09 03:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x4a19d5…
10-09 03:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xbbc1c3…
10-09 02:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x95fbfc…
10-09 02:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5201c9…
10-09 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf8de34…
10-09 01:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc93454…
10-09 00:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x66e46b…
10-08 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd0c116…
10-08 23:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xfaf45d…
10-08 22:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1f57bd…
10-08 22:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb92179…
10-08 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x75a95a…
10-08 21:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3ce72a…
10-08 20:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x01cddc…
10-08 19:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7396ea…
10-08 19:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9e6426…
10-08 18:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2b96b5…
10-08 18:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x529a11…
10-08 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfbb97a…
10-08 18:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3ec2e0…
10-08 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xed2698…
10-08 17:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xbfc02b…
10-08 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2e23dd…
10-08 17:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xdb1605…
10-08 17:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4e649d…
10-08 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xcedb05…
10-08 17:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa1ccc7…
10-08 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf1c404…
10-08 17:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf6a276…
10-08 17:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x480a9c…
10-08 16:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xf7cf67…
10-08 16:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x64d72c…
10-08 16:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x498e7b…
10-08 16:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x29edae…
10-08 16:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3f3332…
10-08 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x64ce93…
10-08 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xebc86e…
10-08 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0121a…
10-08 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa9c65e…
10-08 15:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x15c4e3…
10-08 15:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xd8de11…
10-08 15:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd9bfdb…
10-08 15:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcc7caf…
10-08 15:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe68c17…
10-08 15:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe73d2b…
10-08 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb90afa…
10-08 15:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x730537…
10-08 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xccd838…
10-08 14:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0065c0…
10-08 14:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xb1c0a4…
10-08 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x737ddc…
10-08 13:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0a5922…
10-08 13:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa2967f…
10-08 13:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xc50dab…
10-08 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf63d66…
10-08 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb9409e…
10-08 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x013d59…
10-08 12:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7ea2fe…
10-08 12:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf7ac9a…
10-08 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x4c6775…
10-08 11:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xdd74c1…
10-08 10:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe51a2a…
10-08 08:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x739927…
10-08 08:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0531ae…
10-08 08:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xbce11e…
10-08 07:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xba9d74…