(anonymous) 0x1e836b…a299a1 Create alert
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
34
lifetime
Volume
$257
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$134
16 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-11 11:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93% — —
Sports
4% — —
Politics
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +40 $18 44¢ $18 -$1 11-10 21:51
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $51.5B by November 30? No +20 $12 78¢ $16 +$4 11-09 18:39
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $15 76¢ $15 $0 11-11 07:50
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +20 $16 67¢ $13 -$2 11-09 19:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $15 63¢ $13 -$2 11-10 21:55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 62¢ $12 -$2 11-09 12:50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 38¢ $8 +$4 11-09 14:16
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? No +20 $5 37¢ $7 +$3 11-10 21:54
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds at APEC? Yes +16 $7 42¢ $7 $0 11-11 11:28
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $5 33¢ $7 +$1 11-09 21:42
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +20 $5 24¢ $5 +$0 11-11 08:53
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $51.5B by November 30? Yes +20 $8 22¢ $4 -$4 11-09 22:35
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $29.25B by November 30? Yes +20 $3 18¢ $4 +$1 11-10 22:11
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the March meeting? No +5 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 11-10 08:03
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the March meeting? Yes +5 $7 38¢ $2 -$5 11-10 17:05
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +1 $0 29¢ $0 +$0 11-11 09:41