Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$383

Unrealized P&L

-$167

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

364

Trades

1,541

lifetime

Volume

$69.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$1.01K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Politics

74% 63% +$5,794

Other

25% 62% -$5,286

Tech

0% 33% -$100

Crypto

0% 72% -$20

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+367	$244	74¢	$271	+$27	10-11 21:32
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+314	$251	72¢	$226	-$25	10-24 13:14
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	+270	$200	78¢	$209	+$9	10-08 10:44
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$159	18¢	$175	+$15	10-22 16:15
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+141	$100	70¢	$98	-$2	10-21 17:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$225	3¢	$33	-$192	08-19 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will leavitt say kennedy or autism during the next white house press briefing	16	$8.4K	7,385	4,916	+2,469	No	-$5,556	01-15 18:31
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$2.0K	1,102	1,102	+0	No	+$154	06-21 21:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	18	$2.0K	2,217	1,860	+357	No	-$279	08-31 19:50
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$52	01-03 23:00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$1.8K	1,009	1,009	+0	No	+$53	06-09 15:55
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$1.5K	908	908	+0	Yes	+$290	06-08 22:37
Trump renames AI by September 30?	25	$1.4K	1,214	1,214	+0	Yes	+$287	09-29 18:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$914	547	547	+0	No	-$18	10-05 09:41
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	14	$815	576	576	+0	Yes	+$10	01-15 15:24
Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	4	$772	476	476	+0	Yes	+$170	10-25 20:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	16	$762	1,339	1,339	+0	No	-$233	01-08 23:18
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	5	$685	752	0	+752	Yes	+$67	10-06 19:34
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	7	$674	511	511	+0	open	—	10-29 19:55
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	11	$647	509	509	+0	Yes	+$165	10-04 00:44
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	5	$597	347	347	+0	Yes	+$96	10-11 09:22
Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	4	$595	388	388	+0	Yes	+$174	10-25 19:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$575	654	654	+0	open	—	10-27 20:15
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$568	333	333	+0	Yes	+$95	09-21 06:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$565	589	389	+200	No	-$187	10-04 21:20
will leavitt say minnesota or walz during the next white house press briefing	5	$557	332	332	+0	Yes	+$13	01-15 18:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$551	326	326	+0	open	—	10-21 07:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$526	660	0	+660	Yes	+$134	10-04 21:14
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	2	$525	415	415	+0	Yes	+$25	10-21 18:59
Will Trump say "Independent" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	5	$486	298	298	+0	Yes	+$104	10-06 00:30
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	4	$478	300	300	+0	open	—	10-28 02:09
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	7	$476	261	261	+0	Yes	+$41	10-06 00:15
will trump say joe 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	2	$450	302	302	+0	Yes	+$148	10-04 01:13
Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	5	$440	323	323	+0	Yes	+$139	10-16 21:09
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$431	434	0	+434	Yes	+$3	09-16 19:14
Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	9	$407	372	372	+0	No	-$120	10-16 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:55:51	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	SELL	287	99¢	$285	0xc018f7…
10-29 14:53:29	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	150	29¢	$44	0x7c0b72…
10-29 13:34:49	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	102	36¢	$37	0x41472b…
10-29 13:29:20	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xe38110…
10-29 13:29:19	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	109	35¢	$38	0x165a8a…
10-29 12:19:22	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xfffcb4…
10-29 11:05:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	414	13¢	$55	0xbfbc13…
10-29 10:24:56	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	224	65¢	$146	0x57b795…
10-29 10:22:19	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	161	39¢	$63	0x3d6292…
10-29 09:05:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x0e5863…
10-28 16:34:14	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xd09bfb…
10-28 16:15:43	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x10d514…
10-28 15:05:47	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	231	62¢	$143	0x0203e4…
10-28 13:51:26	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	282	55¢	$155	0x5022f0…
10-28 13:46:29	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	175	54¢	$95	0x1d442b…
10-28 13:45:52	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	218	57¢	$124	0xd0b328…
10-28 13:42:47	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa2ae24…
10-28 13:24:26	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbec870…
10-28 12:29:13	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	39	61¢	$24	0xf6eaac…
10-28 12:22:35	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	157	13¢	$20	0x686a42…
10-28 12:19:29	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	153	35¢	$54	0xf49290…
10-28 12:17:43	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	180	13¢	$23	0xdf391b…
10-28 12:16:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xe7707f…
10-28 12:15:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	359	13¢	$47	0x127f45…
10-28 12:12:38	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0x5dc0b9…
10-28 12:10:32	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	224	64¢	$144	0xa4e504…
10-28 12:05:46	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0x8e9ba4…
10-28 11:58:55	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x5089cd…
10-28 11:56:53	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	110	66¢	$73	0xfd2f1a…
10-28 02:09:36	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	129	72¢	$93	0xe02f4e…
10-28 02:09:30	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	171	72¢	$123	0xa33911…
10-27 23:15:05	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	112	51¢	$57	0xb8175e…
10-27 23:14:03	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xca19f7…
10-27 23:01:51	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x948cc3…
10-27 22:08:54	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	210	57¢	$120	0x99fffd…
10-27 21:10:33	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	270	49¢	$132	0x5d9d67…
10-27 20:40:48	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	986	8¢	$79	0xf3d400…
10-27 20:36:20	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	68	53¢	$36	0x17625a…
10-27 20:35:54	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	132	54¢	$71	0x9d01d2…
10-27 20:19:44	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	986	8¢	$79	0xf2adf9…
10-27 20:15:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	182	19¢	$35	0xe1a6cf…
10-27 20:14:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x8a2bcb…
10-27 20:14:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xcaa2a7…
10-27 20:14:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x9dbc63…
10-27 20:14:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x770986…
10-27 20:14:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x486238…
10-27 20:14:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x35efe4…
10-27 20:14:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x2c5ae1…
10-27 20:14:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x54492f…
10-27 20:14:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	359	19¢	$68	0xae8a93…
10-27 20:09:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x8926a1…
10-27 20:08:32	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	861	8¢	$69	0x4187d0…
10-27 18:48:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0xe8952f…
10-27 18:45:12	will trump say cleveland during his midterm rally in ohio october 28 oh	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$32	0x6e936f…
10-27 18:41:36	will trump say job during his midterm rally in ohio october 28 oh	Yes	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0x009ec5…
10-27 17:52:11	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x6b2deb…
10-27 17:36:27	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe5e114…
10-27 17:18:48	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas not air?	No	BUY	143	95¢	$136	0x135cb2…
10-27 16:50:05	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	41	62¢	$26	0x2dbda7…
10-27 16:37:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x792f44…
10-27 10:53:47	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x14191d…
10-27 10:53:17	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x9d3aa9…
10-26 22:55:57	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x497ff1…
10-26 22:19:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xb29e4e…
10-26 22:17:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xf4ed1f…
10-26 22:16:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	123	74¢	$92	0x43fe61…
10-26 22:16:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	111	75¢	$83	0x1f35a6…
10-26 22:00:20	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x118631…
10-26 21:59:03	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x6cf0f6…
10-26 21:58:39	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x32e2b1…
10-26 20:21:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xd43b88…
10-26 20:21:45	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb76a3e…
10-26 19:29:38	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	106	39¢	$42	0x8ccdf2…
10-26 18:23:48	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	401	56¢	$225	0xccbdb7…
10-25 20:47:15	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	476	99¢	$471	0xa66e46…
10-25 19:43:08	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	388	99¢	$385	0xb640b5…
10-25 18:56:05	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	195	43¢	$83	0x1905ff…
10-25 18:20:29	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	250	62¢	$155	0xc9338d…
10-25 18:18:12	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0xba5c59…
10-25 12:44:02	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd7294a…
10-25 11:10:05	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3f3744…
10-25 11:09:36	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	205	66¢	$135	0x18a481…
10-25 11:03:18	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	210	61¢	$127	0x0206e5…
10-25 08:10:35	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x74fe54…
10-25 07:10:17	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	Yes	BUY	589	1¢	$8	0x1042e2…
10-24 20:32:17	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x09b928…
10-24 20:18:57	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x7956ef…
10-24 19:16:11	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0x92da4a…
10-24 17:02:06	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x8e93c5…
10-24 16:55:44	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x13df2c…
10-24 16:55:30	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x5383e8…
10-24 16:54:53	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	110	61¢	$67	0xcdcca1…
10-24 16:47:17	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	123	51¢	$63	0x4867e2…
10-24 16:45:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0x47f922…
10-24 16:43:20	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0xa56afc…
10-24 16:22:47	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x311809…
10-24 16:18:32	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x381cbc…
10-24 16:01:02	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x7c6b7a…
10-24 14:04:35	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	148	58¢	$86	0x4e5d47…
10-24 13:59:53	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$11	0x9333aa…