Alienated-Mission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$62.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$592

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-27 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$14

Politics

26% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$4.6K	2,380	2,380	+0	open	—	06-27 22:21
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$2.3K	0	2,325	-2,325	open	—	06-18 09:33
bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	3	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-13 12:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	5	$2.1K	2,174	0	+2,174	open	—	06-03 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$2.0K	1,992	0	+1,992	open	—	05-27 00:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$2.0K	1,970	0	+1,970	Yes	+$2	05-07 23:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$2.0K	1,970	0	+1,970	Yes	+$12	05-09 14:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-24 19:49
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$1.9K	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	05-27 16:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,958	0	+1,958	open	—	05-19 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	05-02 00:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	05-04 01:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	7	$1.9K	1,881	0	+1,881	open	—	05-03 04:14
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	2	$1.6K	815	815	+0	open	—	04-01 17:21
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$1.6K	795	795	+0	open	—	03-31 14:29
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 9	2	$1.3K	680	680	+0	open	—	03-10 04:33
bitcoin above 60k on march 5	2	$1.3K	659	659	+0	open	—	03-05 04:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-13 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$971	980	0	+980	open	—	05-13 17:44
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	2	$853	860	0	+860	open	—	04-14 15:10
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$837	848	0	+848	open	—	04-21 13:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 20	1	$835	838	0	+838	open	—	04-20 14:27
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 19	1	$830	835	0	+835	open	—	04-20 01:20
bitcoin above 66k on april 7	5	$828	840	0	+840	open	—	04-07 14:08
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$814	823	0	+823	open	—	04-01 17:22
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	5	$807	820	0	+820	open	—	04-09 18:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	04-25 00:19
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	5	$793	800	0	+800	open	—	03-31 14:31
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	1	$781	785	0	+785	open	—	03-24 11:34
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$768	781	0	+781	open	—	03-23 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 22:21:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,158	98¢	$2,119	0x1e5710…
06-27 20:08:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	222	98¢	$218	0x312cf7…
06-24 20:04:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,380	97¢	$2,309	0xe38e88…
06-18 09:33:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	2,325	99¢	$2,309	0x6ff55c…
06-13 12:37:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	791	100¢	$787	0x3d8998…
06-13 12:33:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x33d70d…
06-13 12:32:42	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	1,320	100¢	$1,313	0x9512c5…
06-03 03:48:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	1,751	98¢	$1,723	0xd60de7…
06-03 03:22:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	422	98¢	$416	0x2c5360…
06-03 01:51:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2d2fe2…
06-03 01:51:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x8ad21f…
06-03 01:50:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc366bb…
05-27 16:31:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f137e…
05-27 16:31:06	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,950	100¢	$1,946	0x3438f0…
05-27 16:30:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf81692…
05-27 00:01:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5d731…
05-27 00:01:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d2346…
05-27 00:01:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,992	99¢	$1,980	0x6466ac…
05-24 19:49:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,950	0x74d241…
05-19 15:42:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,958	97¢	$1,900	0x59ad35…
05-16 18:47:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x190838…
05-13 17:44:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	980	99¢	$971	0x39dc74…
05-13 17:43:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc8ba31…
05-09 14:15:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,970	99¢	$1,958	0xfd0b64…
05-07 23:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,970	100¢	$1,968	0xed9c9c…
05-04 01:24:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,900	100¢	$1,896	0x48c6ab…
05-03 04:14:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e2817…
05-03 04:14:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xdf4e57…
05-03 02:23:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x324574…
05-03 01:43:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	389	100¢	$387	0xedf9ca…
05-03 01:40:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x2428c2…
05-03 00:08:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf58616…
05-03 00:07:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	881	100¢	$877	0x16b3af…
05-02 00:38:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,900	100¢	$1,898	0x270a6b…
04-25 00:20:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xcd2ed5…
04-25 00:19:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0x30d766…
04-25 00:19:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x2fc5d1…
04-23 20:54:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	746	94¢	$705	0xde63e6…
04-23 20:42:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xe014c0…
04-21 13:52:48	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	848	99¢	$837	0x31d69c…
04-20 14:27:46	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	838	100¢	$835	0x6dacce…
04-20 01:20:38	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 19	No	BUY	835	99¢	$830	0x54e6f7…
04-18 15:05:50	USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbf659b…
04-18 15:00:34	USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4b9778…
04-18 14:52:26	USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x792bec…
04-18 14:43:10	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x8665f8…
04-14 15:10:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	678	99¢	$672	0xd61622…
04-14 15:09:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$181	0x5f9d62…
04-09 18:52:25	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	520	98¢	$512	0xc3faef…
04-09 18:45:59	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0xa06a2c…
04-09 18:24:55	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x5cfeaa…
04-09 18:24:33	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x9ae81a…
04-09 18:22:37	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x0272a9…
04-07 14:08:39	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	448	99¢	$442	0xd9a506…
04-07 14:07:35	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xa05af3…
04-07 14:07:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x202fe7…
04-07 14:07:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x3430e1…
04-07 14:07:13	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7d2030…
04-03 22:01:53	will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 3	No	BUY	307	99¢	$305	0x38901a…
04-02 14:43:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	719	100¢	$718	0x59cec3…
04-02 14:43:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 2	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0xb87a15…
04-01 17:22:21	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	823	99¢	$814	0x1a1768…
04-01 17:21:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	SELL	815	100¢	$814	0xca511b…
03-31 21:56:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	815	98¢	$801	0x35622e…
03-31 14:31:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x1d8b04…
03-31 14:31:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd1b5ec…
03-31 14:30:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb82fbb…
03-31 14:30:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xdb127a…
03-31 14:30:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	431	99¢	$427	0xef506e…
03-31 14:29:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	795	100¢	$793	0x6f4ffd…
03-25 18:14:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	795	99¢	$785	0x69546c…
03-24 11:34:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	785	99¢	$781	0x84c87c…
03-23 11:28:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	781	98¢	$768	0x85f0f4…
03-21 20:22:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	768	100¢	$767	0xe8c8a8…
03-20 14:17:27	ethereum above 2200 on march 20	No	BUY	719	99¢	$709	0x934c73…
03-20 14:17:19	ethereum above 2200 on march 20	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x3bd008…
03-18 23:08:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	750	98¢	$739	0x96e2a3…
03-17 13:11:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 17	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd1b77d…
03-17 13:09:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 17	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x42cc2d…
03-17 13:05:45	bitcoin above 76k on march 17	No	BUY	673	97¢	$655	0xcdb46e…
03-16 11:49:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	726	100¢	$724	0x60f5fc…
03-14 04:11:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	412	99¢	$406	0x234f80…
03-14 04:11:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x98f7bf…
03-14 04:10:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xa17ff4…
03-14 04:06:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xf47c59…
03-14 04:06:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x49623a…
03-13 07:13:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	715	100¢	$714	0x7f3b82…
03-12 07:15:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 12	No	BUY	714	100¢	$711	0xd02b67…
03-11 06:05:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	711	100¢	$708	0xb6c4ba…
03-10 04:33:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	708	98¢	$694	0xcaa1fa…
03-10 04:33:25	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 9	No	SELL	680	100¢	$679	0xe99de8…
03-09 13:34:37	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 9	No	BUY	680	98¢	$668	0xf2b1a0…
03-08 04:34:17	ethereum above 2100 on march 8	No	BUY	682	98¢	$669	0x27d153…
03-07 02:45:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	No	BUY	669	99¢	$664	0x592463…
03-06 04:49:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 6	No	BUY	634	100¢	$633	0xfa9c41…
03-06 04:48:45	ethereum above 1900 on march 6	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc836be…
03-05 04:31:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 5	Yes	BUY	663	99¢	$658	0xd11aa2…
03-05 04:30:51	bitcoin above 60k on march 5	Yes	SELL	659	100¢	$658	0x37e0ee…
03-04 13:34:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 5	Yes	BUY	659	100¢	$657	0xf5d7e7…
03-03 03:08:41	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 3	No	BUY	657	100¢	$655	0x33f70f…