Lighthearted-Living — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$331

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-08 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 60% +$1

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will paper rex win masters santiago 2026	3	$31	41	0	+41	open	—	03-14 17:16
val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	7	$28	30	25	+5	open	—	03-15 20:13
will russia enter ternuvate by february 28	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	01-30 15:21
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	5	$17	60	60	+0	open	—	03-25 13:48
val pr1 ag1 2026 03 10	3	$12	20	10	+10	open	—	03-10 20:17
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	6	$12	15	15	+0	Team Heretics	+$4	05-09 16:59
btc updown 5m 1780686000	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	06-05 18:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	06-03 14:21
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 31 125	3	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	01-23 23:36
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	4	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-15 20:04
val fnc1 tl1 2026 02 15	5	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	02-15 19:43
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	04-14 19:42
will communist party of nepal uml win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	12	$7	165	5	+160	open	—	03-06 04:53
val pr1 nrg 2026 03 02	5	$7	5	20	-15	open	—	03-02 21:02
val bbl1 nrg 2026 03 07	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-07 18:23
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	3	$7	10	5	+5	Team Vitality	+$2	05-08 18:26
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	2	$6	5	5	+0	Team Vitality	+$2	05-08 19:15
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	2	$6	30	0	+30	open	—	04-14 19:43
val ns1 g21 2026 03 09	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 09:42
btc updown 5m 1780685400	3	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	06-05 18:50
btc updown 5m 1780685700	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	06-05 18:54
btc updown 5m 1780932300	4	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	06-08 15:25
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	2	$5	10	0	+10	Team Vitality	$-5	05-08 18:03
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	2	$5	5	5	+0	KRÜ Esports	$-2	05-08 18:11
val kc3 fut1 2026 04 23	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 19:11
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 15:54
will nrg win masters santiago 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-13 18:49
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 20:11
will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	8	$4	200	200	+0	open	—	03-14 14:40
will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	9	$4	175	175	+0	open	—	03-16 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:25:06	btc updown 5m 1780932300	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1ea8d3…
06-08 15:25:04	btc updown 5m 1780932300	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x915b0d…
06-08 15:24:01	btc updown 5m 1780932300	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0xf91dce…
06-08 15:23:52	btc updown 5m 1780932300	Down	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x370e2d…
06-05 18:59:57	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xd912a5…
06-05 18:56:48	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x6fbc57…
06-05 18:54:37	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x86d8f5…
06-05 18:51:36	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1449ea…
06-05 18:50:13	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xdb05b6…
06-05 18:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1017db…
06-05 18:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x019d4c…
06-05 18:42:21	btc updown 5m 1780684800	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9d98c4…
06-05 18:39:07	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x5dfaad…
06-05 18:39:07	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x41caca…
06-05 18:37:31	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x32db93…
06-04 15:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xe0a295…
06-04 15:31:42	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x82f411…
06-03 14:21:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0b9a31…
06-03 14:00:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e5b9c…
05-19 00:51:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x13bdb7…
05-19 00:50:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x42d9b5…
05-18 09:17:17	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xb52ae5…
05-17 02:00:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x1d1c52…
05-17 01:14:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xfaa4d4…
05-15 21:41:20	Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd015d1…
05-15 17:57:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa3151e…
05-15 15:54:15	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	FUT Esports	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x74ebd9…
05-15 15:17:28	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4fe7a7…
05-15 15:17:25	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcfe61d…
05-11 03:02:52	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc8510e…
05-10 10:05:45	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9431c1…
05-10 05:39:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xea1340…
05-10 04:38:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x404c26…
05-09 16:59:27	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x623d39…
05-09 16:57:27	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb2bd10…
05-09 16:51:59	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xad024c…
05-09 16:49:20	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8a4ae9…
05-09 16:45:52	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2ff652…
05-09 16:21:46	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x699480…
05-08 20:19:42	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x630c3f…
05-08 19:15:41	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd75336…
05-08 18:39:41	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6d257a…
05-08 18:26:44	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Fnatic	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x30cafa…
05-08 18:18:46	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Team Vitality	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8abda8…
05-08 18:11:32	Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Evil Geniuses	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8d87ec…
05-08 18:03:24	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Fnatic	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf5eb9b…
05-08 18:01:46	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Fnatic	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6303fd…
05-08 17:55:28	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xefedc3…
05-08 17:47:46	Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	KRÜ Esports	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1e9a24…
05-08 00:05:39	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa3aef7…
05-02 08:25:28	Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?	No	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x8bcd53…
04-30 17:18:02	Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?	No	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x25f63d…
04-29 18:24:26	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner	Pcific Esports	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x594ab9…
04-29 18:17:16	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Pcific Esports	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xde21cc…
04-29 17:38:16	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Pcific Esports	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9ee1ba…
04-29 16:26:54	Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	FUT Esports	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb3361d…
04-25 15:41:54	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6aac20…
04-25 12:34:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x600578…
04-25 09:34:00	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x28a435…
04-25 09:25:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcc5026…
04-24 19:32:58	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Team Vitality	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa29b65…
04-23 19:11:54	val kc3 fut1 2026 04 23	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b1106…
04-15 20:11:10	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf87fe5…
04-15 20:04:52	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbdc696…
04-15 19:23:56	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcfe6cf…
04-15 19:23:56	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3b7c08…
04-15 19:23:56	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2afd10…
04-15 03:25:36	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf01725…
04-14 19:43:54	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4c1584…
04-14 19:42:22	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa4f348…
04-14 18:31:32	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf7eddc…
03-25 13:48:11	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xa4ec2a…
03-21 05:25:49	will rabi lamichhane be the next prime minister of nepal 993	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb54b07…
03-20 22:26:35	will pushpa kamal dahal prachanda be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x03a348…
03-16 01:46:39	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x56d9db…
03-15 20:13:07	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Paper Rex	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2a6f32…
03-15 20:09:41	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Nongshim RedForce	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x7c5b41…
03-15 20:03:05	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Paper Rex	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x03c276…
03-15 19:45:47	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Paper Rex	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd37cc0…
03-15 18:35:45	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xac3940…
03-15 18:20:25	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2f1424…
03-15 18:20:15	val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x974278…
03-15 16:41:29	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4864a3…
03-15 00:47:17	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x27849f…
03-14 18:11:17	val nrg pr1 2026 03 14	Paper Rex	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0d86fa…
03-14 17:16:39	will paper rex win masters santiago 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8f82c4…
03-14 17:10:55	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7c92d3…
03-14 14:45:41	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xdff35d…
03-14 14:40:17	will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x1c371c…
03-13 19:07:03	will paper rex win masters santiago 2026	No	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xd7a424…
03-13 18:58:21	val ns1 nrg 2026 03 13	NRG	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x459946…
03-13 18:58:01	val ns1 nrg 2026 03 13	NRG	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1150d1…
03-13 18:49:15	will nrg win masters santiago 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf6565c…
03-12 17:29:29	will paper rex win masters santiago 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x13b94b…
03-10 20:24:37	btc updown 5m 1773174000	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b47fc…
03-10 20:22:07	btc updown 5m 1773174000	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7b97ad…
03-10 20:17:07	val pr1 ag1 2026 03 10	All Gamers	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xd94829…
03-10 19:58:11	val pr1 ag1 2026 03 10	All Gamers	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x918737…
03-10 19:57:33	val pr1 ag1 2026 03 10	Paper Rex	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa692f5…
03-08 09:42:31	val ns1 g21 2026 03 09	G2 Esports	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xcbcd9e…